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LaLiga2
Referee: Álvaro Moreno
Malaga
S U T S T
1–1
Full-time
Ibiza
T T T U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Malaga Ibiza
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 34%
50%
17%
Points per game
1,7
0,7
Over 2.5 Ø 34%
17%
50%
Both score Ø 17%
17%
17%
Average goals
1,7
2,3
Scored
1,0
0,3
Conceded
0,7
2,0
Goal diff per game
+0,3
-1,7
This season — LaLiga2 · 41/41 matches
Win Ø 21%
24%
17%
Points per game
1,0
0,8
Over 2.5 Ø 37%
29%
44%
Both score Ø 43%
41%
44%
Average goals
1,9
2,4
Scored
0,9
0,8
Conceded
1,0
1,6
Goal diff per game
-0,2
-0,8
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

58% Possession 42%
9 Shots 7
2 Shots on target 3
2 Blocked shots 1
2 Goalkeeper saves 1
6 Corners 2
3 Offside 3
11 Free kicks against 10
4 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Malaga 19. · Ibiza 21.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Granada 41 21 9 11 +23 72
2 Las Palmas 41 18 17 6 +20 71
3 Alaves 41 19 13 9 +14 70
4 Levante 41 17 18 6 +15 69
5 Eibar 41 18 14 9 +8 68
6 Albacete 41 16 16 9 +10 64
7 Andorra 42 16 11 15 +10 59
8 Oviedo 41 16 11 14 +0 59
9 Cartagena 41 16 10 15 +0 58
10 Tenerife 42 14 15 13 +5 57
11 Burgos 42 13 15 14 -2 54
12 Zaragoza 42 12 17 13 +1 53
13 Leganes 41 14 11 16 -3 53
14 Huesca 41 11 19 11 +1 52
15 Mirandes 41 13 13 15 -5 52
16 Santander 41 13 12 16 -3 51
17 Sp Gijon 41 11 17 13 -2 50
18 Villarreal B 42 13 11 18 -6 50
19 Malaga 41 10 13 18 -7 43
20 Ponferradina 41 8 17 16 -16 41
21 Ibiza 41 7 12 22 -33 33
22 Lugo 42 6 13 23 -30 31

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Malaga Ibiza
Alex Calvo 🟨
25′
Alberto Escassi 🟨
32′
Half-time 0–0
A. Appiah 🔁
↦ Aleix Febas
46′
54′
🟨 Javi Vázquez
B. Ouacharaf 🔁
↦ Alberto Escassi
58′
1–0 A. Appiah
Luis Muñoz
61′
62′
🔁 Suleiman Camara
↦ Nolito
69′
🟨 Suleiman Camara
70′
🔁 K. Appin
↦ Isma Ruiz
71′
🔁 L. Juliš
↦ Coke
Rafael Rodríguez 🔁
↦ Alejandro Calvo
77′
Loren Zúñiga 🔁
↦ Rubén Castro
77′
85′
🔁 Xairo Rial
↦ W. Alarcón
85′
🔁 Alejandro Sánchez
↦ Fran Grima
Bilal Ouacharaf 🟨
87′
90′
Juan Fernández 1–1
Rafa Rodriguez 🟨
92′
Full-time 1–1

Line-ups

Malaga

3-4-3
13 Rubén Yáñez G
22 Jonás Ramalho D
23 Alberto Escassi D
5 Juande Rivas D
26 Alejandro Calvo M
10 Aleix Febas M
8 Luis Muñoz M
39 Cristian Gutiérrez M
21 Fran Villalba F
24 Rubén Castro F
12 P. Chavarría F
Bench (12)
2 A. Appiah
37 B. Ouacharaf
41 Rafael Rodríguez
29 Loren Zúñiga
4 Unai Bustinza
44 Jesús Martin
9 Fran Sol
20 E. Burgos
16 Genaro Rodríguez
30 Carlos López
3 Javi Jiménez
1 Manolo Reina

Coach: Sergio Pellicer

Ibiza

5-4-1
1 Germán Parreño G
2 Fran Grima D
3 Martín Pascual D
18 M. Mauro D
15 Juan Fernández D
12 Javi Vázquez D
23 Coke M
21 W. Alarcón M
29 Isma Ruiz M
9 Nolito M
7 Cristian Herrera F
Bench (11)
28 Suleiman Camara
20 K. Appin
19 L. Juliš
33 Xairo Rial
31 Alejandro Sánchez
32 Andrés Palacios
24 G. Escobar
13 Daniel Fuzato
10 Ekain Zenitagoia
26 Jorge Chanza
6 F. Grillo

Coach: Lucas Alcaraz

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
1,60
U ✓
3,88
B
5,50
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5
1,93
U2,5 ✓
1,84
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Álvaro Moreno · 70 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,5 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
26,3 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,36 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.