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LaLiga2

Referee: Jon González

Malaga

T U U U T

3–2

Full-time

Lugo

T U T U T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Malaga Lugo

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 0%

Points per game

0,5

0,3

Over 2.5 Ø 34%

17%

50%

Both score Ø 50%

33%

67%

Average goals

1,3

2,5

Scored

0,3

0,8

Conceded

1,0

1,7

Goal diff per game

-0,7

-0,8

This season — LaLiga2 · 10/10 matches

Win Ø 15%

10%

20%

Points per game

0,6

0,9

Over 2.5 Ø 45%

40%

50%

Both score Ø 55%

40%

70%

Average goals

2,0

2,4

Scored

0,6

1,0

Conceded

1,4

Goal diff per game

-0,8

-0,4

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

56% Possession 44%

13 Shots 16

5 Shots on target 8

4 Blocked shots 4

5 Goalkeeper saves 2

6 Corners 5

2 Offside 2

11 Free kicks against 10

3 Yellow cards 3

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Malaga 22. · Lugo 20. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Las Palmas	11	6	5	0	+11	23
2	Alaves	11	6	4	1	+4	22
3	Albacete	11	5	4	2	+3	19
4	Burgos	10	4	6	0	+6	18
5	Eibar	10	5	3	2	+5	18
6	Granada	10	5	2	3	+6	17
7	Cartagena	10	5	2	3	+3	17
8	Huesca	11	4	4	3	+3	16
9	Levante	11	4	4	3	+3	16
10	Sp Gijon	10	4	3	3	+0	15
11	Andorra	11	4	3	4	-1	15
12	Villarreal B	11	3	4	4	-2	13
13	Zaragoza	11	3	4	4	-2	13
14	Santander	11	3	3	5	-3	12
15	Ponferradina	11	3	3	5	-4	12
16	Tenerife	10	2	5	3	-1	11
17	Ibiza	10	3	2	5	-5	11
18	Leganes	11	3	1	7	-4	10
19	Oviedo	11	2	4	5	-4	10
20	Lugo	10	2	3	5	-4	9
21	Mirandes	10	1	4	5	-6	7
22	Malaga	10	1	3	6	-8	6

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Granada	5	4	1	0	+11	13
2	Eibar	5	4	1	0	+7	13
3	Las Palmas	5	3	2	0	+5	11
4	Burgos	5	3	2	0	+5	11
5	Huesca	6	3	2	1	+4	11
6	Alaves	5	3	2	0	+4	11
7	Sp Gijon	5	3	1	1	+4	10
8	Levante	6	3	1	2	+4	10
9	Villarreal B	5	2	3	0	+5	9
10	Tenerife	5	2	3	0	+3	9
11	Andorra	5	3	0	2	+3	9
12	Albacete	6	2	3	1	+1	9
13	Zaragoza	6	2	3	1	+1	9
14	Cartagena	5	2	1	2	+0	7
15	Leganes	5	2	1	2	+0	7
16	Ibiza	5	2	1	2	-1	7
17	Mirandes	6	1	3	2	-1	6
18	Santander	5	1	2	2	-2	5
19	Ponferradina	6	1	2	3	-3	5
20	Lugo	5	1	1	3	-2	4
21	Oviedo	6	1	1	4	-4	4
22	Malaga	4	0	2	2	-5	2

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Las Palmas	6	3	3	0	+6	12
2	Alaves	6	3	2	1	+0	11
3	Cartagena	5	3	1	1	+3	10
4	Albacete	5	3	1	1	+2	10
5	Burgos	5	1	4	0	+1	7
6	Ponferradina	5	2	1	2	-1	7
7	Santander	6	2	1	3	-1	7
8	Oviedo	5	1	3	1	+0	6
9	Levante	5	1	3	1	-1	6
10	Andorra	6	1	3	2	-4	6
11	Huesca	5	1	2	2	-1	5
12	Lugo	5	1	2	2	-2	5
13	Eibar	5	1	2	2	-2	5
14	Sp Gijon	5	1	2	2	-4	5
15	Malaga	6	1	1	4	-3	4
16	Zaragoza	5	1	1	3	-3	4
17	Ibiza	5	1	1	3	-4	4
18	Granada	5	1	1	3	-5	4
19	Villarreal B	6	1	1	4	-7	4
20	Leganes	6	1	0	5	-4	3
21	Tenerife	5	0	2	3	-4	2
22	Mirandes	4	0	1	3	-5	1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.