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Taça de Portugal

Referee: João Ferreira

Felgueiras 1932

S S

1–2

Full-time

Sp Braga

S T T T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Felgueiras 1932 Sp Braga

Last 6 — all competitions · 2/6 matches

Win Ø 67%

100%

33%

Points per game

3,0

1,2

Over 2.5 Ø 75%

100%

50%

Both score Ø 75%

100%

50%

Average goals

5,0

3,0

Scored

3,5

1,3

Conceded

1,5

1,7

Goal diff per game

+2,0

-0,3

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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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The table before the match ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Pêro Pinheiro	3	3	0	0	+11	9
2	São João Ver	3	3	0	0	+11	9
3	Beira-Mar	3	3	0	0	+10	9
4	Dumiense	3	3	0	0	+9	9
5	Valadares Gaia	3	3	0	0	+6	9
6	Sanjoanense	3	3	0	0	+6	9
7	Vilaverdense	3	3	0	0	+5	9
8	Camacha	3	2	1	0	+7	7
9	Oliveira Hospital	3	2	1	0	+2	7
10	FC Serpa	3	2	0	1	+8	6
11	Leixoes	2	2	0	0	+8	6
12	Vitoria Setubal	2	2	0	0	+6	6
13	Vianense	3	2	0	1	+5	6
14	Fontinhas	3	2	0	1	+5	6
15	Academico Viseu	2	2	0	0	+5	6
16	Moreirense	2	2	0	0	+5	6
17	Belenenses	2	2	0	0	+5	6
18	Montalegre	3	2	0	1	+4	6
19	Felgueiras 1932	2	2	0	0	+4	6
20	Nacional	2	2	0	0	+4	6
21	Farense	2	2	0	0	+4	6
22	Sertanense	3	2	0	1	+3	6
23	Mafra	2	2	0	0	+3	6
24	Olhanense	3	2	0	1	+2	6
25	Rabo Peixe	2	2	0	0	+2	6
26	Canelas 2010	3	2	0	1	+2	6
27	Varzim	2	2	0	0	+2	6
28	Pevidem	2	2	0	0	+2	6
29	Bragança	3	2	0	1	+1	6
30	Tirsense	3	2	0	1	-1	6
31	Caldas	2	1	1	0	+3	4
32	Alverca	2	1	1	0	+2	4
33	Tondela	2	1	1	0	+2	4
34	Penafiel	2	1	1	0	+1	4
35	Paredes	2	1	1	0	+1	4
36	Machico	2	1	1	0	+1	4
37	Oriental Lisboa	3	1	1	1	+0	4
38	Pombal	3	1	1	1	-2	4
39	Benfica Castelo Branco	2	1	0	1	+7	3
40	Fafe	2	1	0	1	+4	3
41	Merelinense	2	1	0	1	+3	3
42	Gil Vicente	1	1	0	0	+3	3
43	Juventude Évora	2	1	0	1	+2	3
44	Oliveirense	2	1	0	1	+2	3
45	Guimaraes	1	1	0	0	+2	3
46	Arouca	1	1	0	0	+2	3
47	Casa Pia	1	1	0	0	+2	3
48	CF Os Belenenses	2	1	0	1	+1	3
49	Amora	2	1	0	1	+1	3
50	Ferreiras	2	1	0	1	+1	3
51	Estoril	1	1	0	0	+1	3
52	Anadia	1	1	0	0	+1	3
53	Trofense	2	1	0	1	+1	3
54	Famalicao	1	1	0	0	+1	3
55	UD da Serra	2	1	0	1	+0	3
56	Os Marialvas	2	1	0	1	+0	3
57	Real	2	1	0	1	+0	3
58	Gondomar	2	1	0	1	+0	3
59	Resende	2	1	0	1	+0	3
60	Sintrense	2	1	0	1	+0	3
61	Arronches e Benfica	2	1	0	1	+0	3
62	União de Leiria	2	1	0	1	+0	3
63	União Santarém	2	1	0	1	+0	3
64	Lajense	2	1	0	1	-1	3
65	Lagos	2	1	0	1	-1	3
66	Oriental Dragon	2	1	0	1	-1	3
67	Joane	2	1	0	1	-2	3
68	Vilafranquense	2	1	0	1	-2	3
69	Imortal Albufeira	2	1	0	1	-2	3
70	Courense	2	1	0	1	-4	3
71	Praiense	2	1	0	1	-4	3
72	Guarda Desportiva	1	0	1	0	+0	1
73	Vizela	1	0	1	0	+0	1
74	União de Tomar	1	0	1	0	+0	1
75	Estrela	1	0	1	0	+0	1
76	Academica	1	0	1	0	+0	1
77	Benfica	1	0	1	0	+0	1
78	Recreativa de Lamelas	1	0	1	0	+0	1
79	AR São Martinho	2	0	1	1	-2	1
80	Lusitânia	1	0	0	1	-1	0
81	Freamunde	1	0	0	1	-1	0
82	São Roque (Açores)	1	0	0	1	-1	0
83	Rio Ave	1	0	0	1	-1	0
84	Chaves	1	0	0	1	-1	0
85	Monção	1	0	0	1	-1	0
86	Leça	1	0	0	1	-1	0
87	1º Dezembro	1	0	0	1	-1	0
88	Vila Meã	1	0	0	1	-1	0
89	Atlético CP	1	0	0	1	-1	0
90	SC Paivense	1	0	0	1	-1	0
91	Rebordosa	1	0	0	1	-1	0
92	Alcains	1	0	0	1	-1	0
93	Madalena	1	0	0	1	-1	0
94	Fazendense	1	0	0	1	-1	0
95	Amarante	1	0	0	1	-1	0
96	Marinhense	1	0	0	1	-1	0
97	Gavionenses	1	0	0	1	-1	0
98	Santa Eulália	1	0	0	1	-1	0
99	Alpendorada	1	0	0	1	-1	0
100	Lusitânia Lourosa	1	0	0	1	-1	0
101	Feirense	1	0	0	1	-1	0
102	Águeda	1	0	0	1	-1	0
103	Monte Trigo	1	0	0	1	-1	0
104	Olímpico do Montijo	1	0	0	1	-1	0
105	Vasco Gama VF do Campo	1	0	0	1	-1	0
106	Boavista	1	0	0	1	-1	0
107	Silves	1	0	0	1	-2	0
108	Maritimo	1	0	0	1	-2	0
109	Atlético Arcos	1	0	0	1	-2	0
110	Vila Cortez	1	0	0	1	-2	0
111	Torreense	1	0	0	1	-2	0
112	Vila Caíz	1	0	0	1	-2	0
113	UD Rio Maior	1	0	0	1	-2	0
114	Comércio Indústria	1	0	0	1	-2	0
115	Régua	1	0	0	1	-2	0
116	Lusitano Évora 1911	1	0	0	1	-2	0
117	Mosteirense	1	0	0	1	-2	0
118	Culatrense	1	0	0	1	-2	0
119	CD Olivais e Moscavide	1	0	0	1	-2	0
120	Coruchense	1	0	0	1	-2	0
121	GR Vigor Mocidade	1	0	0	1	-2	0
122	Angrense	1	0	0	1	-2	0
123	Santa Clara	1	0	0	1	-2	0
124	Pacos Ferreira	1	0	0	1	-2	0
125	Portimonense	1	0	0	1	-2	0
126	Salgueiros	1	0	0	1	-3	0
127	Atlético Reguengos	1	0	0	1	-3	0
128	Mondinense	1	0	0	1	-3	0
129	Brito	1	0	0	1	-3	0
130	Moncarapachense	1	0	0	1	-3	0
131	Lusitano FCV	1	0	0	1	-3	0
132	Castrense	1	0	0	1	-3	0
133	Loures	1	0	0	1	-3	0
134	Castro Daire	1	0	0	1	-3	0
135	SC Covilha	1	0	0	1	-3	0
136	Fabril Barreiro	1	0	0	1	-4	0
137	Pedrógão São Pedro	1	0	0	1	-4	0
138	Maria da Fonte	1	0	0	1	-4	0
139	Vinhais	1	0	0	1	-4	0
140	Vilar de Perdizes	1	0	0	1	-4	0
141	Ribeira Brava	1	0	0	1	-5	0
142	Rebordelo	1	0	0	1	-5	0
143	Vasco da Gama Vidigueira	1	0	0	1	-5	0
144	Moura	1	0	0	1	-5	0
145	AD Portomosense	1	0	0	1	-6	0
146	Mortágua	1	0	0	1	-6	0
147	Sporting Mêda	1	0	0	1	-6	0
148	Águias do Moradal	1	0	0	1	-8	0
149	1º Maio Funchal	1	0	0	1	-8	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Pêro Pinheiro	3	3	0	0	+11	9
2	Valadares Gaia	3	3	0	0	+6	9
3	Vilaverdense	3	3	0	0	+5	9
4	Oliveira Hospital	3	2	1	0	+2	7
5	São João Ver	2	2	0	0	+9	6
6	Vitoria Setubal	2	2	0	0	+6	6
7	Dumiense	2	2	0	0	+4	6
8	Sanjoanense	2	2	0	0	+3	6
9	Varzim	2	2	0	0	+2	6
10	Bragança	3	2	0	1	+1	6
11	Caldas	2	1	1	0	+3	4
12	Pombal	2	1	1	0	+2	4
13	Oriental Lisboa	2	1	1	0	+1	4
14	Machico	2	1	1	0	+1	4
15	Benfica Castelo Branco	2	1	0	1	+7	3
16	Fafe	2	1	0	1	+4	3
17	Felgueiras 1932	1	1	0	0	+3	3
18	Fontinhas	2	1	0	1	+3	3
19	Sertanense	1	1	0	0	+3	3
20	Moreirense	1	1	0	0	+3	3
21	Juventude Évora	2	1	0	1	+2	3
22	Mafra	1	1	0	0	+2	3
23	Os Marialvas	1	1	0	0	+2	3
24	CF Os Belenenses	1	1	0	0	+2	3
25	Nacional	1	1	0	0	+2	3
26	Alverca	1	1	0	0	+2	3
27	Lagos	1	1	0	0	+2	3
28	Ferreiras	1	1	0	0	+2	3
29	Tondela	1	1	0	0	+2	3
30	Rabo Peixe	1	1	0	0	+1	3
31	Camacha	1	1	0	0	+1	3
32	Academico Viseu	1	1	0	0	+1	3
33	UD da Serra	2	1	0	1	+0	3
34	Gondomar	2	1	0	1	+0	3
35	Sintrense	2	1	0	1	+0	3
36	Canelas 2010	2	1	0	1	+0	3
37	FC Serpa	2	1	0	1	+0	3
38	Arronches e Benfica	2	1	0	1	+0	3
39	União Santarém	2	1	0	1	+0	3
40	Lajense	2	1	0	1	-1	3
41	Oriental Dragon	2	1	0	1	-1	3
42	Olhanense	2	1	0	1	-1	3
43	Penafiel	1	0	1	0	+0	1
44	Academica	1	0	1	0	+0	1
45	Recreativa de Lamelas	1	0	1	0	+0	1
46	AR São Martinho	2	0	1	1	-2	1
47	Merelinense	1	0	0	1	-1	0
48	Lusitânia	1	0	0	1	-1	0
49	Freamunde	1	0	0	1	-1	0
50	Amora	1	0	0	1	-1	0
51	Leça	1	0	0	1	-1	0
52	Resende	1	0	0	1	-1	0
53	SC Paivense	1	0	0	1	-1	0
54	Vianense	1	0	0	1	-1	0
55	Alcains	1	0	0	1	-1	0
56	Marinhense	1	0	0	1	-1	0
57	Santa Eulália	1	0	0	1	-1	0
58	Alpendorada	1	0	0	1	-1	0
59	União de Leiria	1	0	0	1	-1	0
60	Águeda	1	0	0	1	-1	0
61	Vasco Gama VF do Campo	1	0	0	1	-1	0
62	Trofense	1	0	0	1	-1	0
63	Silves	1	0	0	1	-2	0
64	Vila Caíz	1	0	0	1	-2	0
65	Montalegre	1	0	0	1	-2	0
66	Lusitano Évora 1911	1	0	0	1	-2	0
67	Coruchense	1	0	0	1	-2	0
68	Angrense	1	0	0	1	-2	0
69	Atlético Reguengos	1	0	0	1	-3	0
70	Tirsense	1	0	0	1	-3	0
71	Lusitano FCV	1	0	0	1	-3	0
72	Joane	1	0	0	1	-3	0
73	Loures	1	0	0	1	-3	0
74	Imortal Albufeira	1	0	0	1	-3	0
75	Fabril Barreiro	1	0	0	1	-4	0
76	Maria da Fonte	1	0	0	1	-4	0
77	Vinhais	1	0	0	1	-4	0
78	Rebordelo	1	0	0	1	-5	0
79	Vasco da Gama Vidigueira	1	0	0	1	-5	0
80	Moura	1	0	0	1	-5	0
81	Sporting Mêda	1	0	0	1	-6	0
82	Courense	1	0	0	1	-6	0
83	1º Maio Funchal	1	0	0	1	-8	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Beira-Mar	3	3	0	0	+10	9
2	Leixoes	2	2	0	0	+8	6
3	Vianense	2	2	0	0	+6	6
4	Montalegre	2	2	0	0	+6	6
5	Belenenses	2	2	0	0	+5	6
6	Farense	2	2	0	0	+4	6
7	Tirsense	2	2	0	0	+2	6
8	Pevidem	2	2	0	0	+2	6
9	Camacha	2	1	1	0	+6	4
10	Paredes	2	1	1	0	+1	4
11	FC Serpa	1	1	0	0	+8	3
12	Dumiense	1	1	0	0	+5	3
13	Academico Viseu	1	1	0	0	+4	3
14	Merelinense	1	1	0	0	+4	3
15	Olhanense	1	1	0	0	+3	3
16	Sanjoanense	1	1	0	0	+3	3
17	Gil Vicente	1	1	0	0	+3	3
18	Courense	1	1	0	0	+2	3
19	Oliveirense	2	1	0	1	+2	3
20	Moreirense	1	1	0	0	+2	3
21	Amora	1	1	0	0	+2	3
22	Guimaraes	1	1	0	0	+2	3
23	São João Ver	1	1	0	0	+2	3
24	Fontinhas	1	1	0	0	+2	3
25	Trofense	1	1	0	0	+2	3
26	Canelas 2010	1	1	0	0	+2	3
27	Nacional	1	1	0	0	+2	3
28	Arouca	1	1	0	0	+2	3
29	Casa Pia	1	1	0	0	+2	3
30	Rabo Peixe	1	1	0	0	+1	3
31	Joane	1	1	0	0	+1	3
32	Penafiel	1	1	0	0	+1	3
33	Estoril	1	1	0	0	+1	3
34	Resende	1	1	0	0	+1	3
35	Anadia	1	1	0	0	+1	3
36	Felgueiras 1932	1	1	0	0	+1	3
37	União de Leiria	1	1	0	0	+1	3
38	Mafra	1	1	0	0	+1	3
39	Imortal Albufeira	1	1	0	0	+1	3
40	Famalicao	1	1	0	0	+1	3
41	Real	2	1	0	1	+0	3
42	Sertanense	2	1	0	1	+0	3
43	Vilafranquense	2	1	0	1	-2	3
44	Praiense	2	1	0	1	-4	3
45	Guarda Desportiva	1	0	1	0	+0	1
46	Vizela	1	0	1	0	+0	1
47	União de Tomar	1	0	1	0	+0	1
48	Estrela	1	0	1	0	+0	1
49	Alverca	1	0	1	0	+0	1
50	Tondela	1	0	1	0	+0	1
51	Benfica	1	0	1	0	+0	1
52	São Roque (Açores)	1	0	0	1	-1	0
53	CF Os Belenenses	1	0	0	1	-1	0
54	Rio Ave	1	0	0	1	-1	0
55	Chaves	1	0	0	1	-1	0
56	Monção	1	0	0	1	-1	0
57	1º Dezembro	1	0	0	1	-1	0
58	Vila Meã	1	0	0	1	-1	0
59	Atlético CP	1	0	0	1	-1	0
60	Ferreiras	1	0	0	1	-1	0
61	Rebordosa	1	0	0	1	-1	0
62	Madalena	1	0	0	1	-1	0
63	Fazendense	1	0	0	1	-1	0
64	Amarante	1	0	0	1	-1	0
65	Gavionenses	1	0	0	1	-1	0
66	Lusitânia Lourosa	1	0	0	1	-1	0
67	Feirense	1	0	0	1	-1	0
68	Monte Trigo	1	0	0	1	-1	0
69	Olímpico do Montijo	1	0	0	1	-1	0
70	Oriental Lisboa	1	0	0	1	-1	0
71	Boavista	1	0	0	1	-1	0
72	Maritimo	1	0	0	1	-2	0
73	Atlético Arcos	1	0	0	1	-2	0
74	Vila Cortez	1	0	0	1	-2	0
75	Os Marialvas	1	0	0	1	-2	0
76	Torreense	1	0	0	1	-2	0
77	UD Rio Maior	1	0	0	1	-2	0
78	Comércio Indústria	1	0	0	1	-2	0
79	Régua	1	0	0	1	-2	0
80	Mosteirense	1	0	0	1	-2	0
81	Culatrense	1	0	0	1	-2	0
82	CD Olivais e Moscavide	1	0	0	1	-2	0
83	GR Vigor Mocidade	1	0	0	1	-2	0
84	Santa Clara	1	0	0	1	-2	0
85	Pacos Ferreira	1	0	0	1	-2	0
86	Portimonense	1	0	0	1	-2	0
87	Salgueiros	1	0	0	1	-3	0
88	Mondinense	1	0	0	1	-3	0
89	Brito	1	0	0	1	-3	0
90	Moncarapachense	1	0	0	1	-3	0
91	Castrense	1	0	0	1	-3	0
92	Lagos	1	0	0	1	-3	0
93	Castro Daire	1	0	0	1	-3	0
94	SC Covilha	1	0	0	1	-3	0
95	Pedrógão São Pedro	1	0	0	1	-4	0
96	Vilar de Perdizes	1	0	0	1	-4	0
97	Pombal	1	0	0	1	-4	0
98	Ribeira Brava	1	0	0	1	-5	0
99	AD Portomosense	1	0	0	1	-6	0
100	Mortágua	1	0	0	1	-6	0
101	Águias do Moradal	1	0	0	1	-8	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Felgueiras 1932 Sp Braga

Welton 🟨

22′

Nuno Namora 🔁

↦ Rui Rampa

35′

40′

🟨 U. Racic

Half-time 0–0

46′

🔁 André Horta

↦ J. Gorby

46′

🔁 Castro

↦ U. Račić

46′

🔁 Rodrigo Gomes

↦ Víctor Gómez

51′

🟨 P. Oliveira

60′

🟨 A. Horta

J. Silva 🟨

61′

⚽ Henrique Martins 1–0

own goal

Daniel Rodrigues 🔁

↦ Welton

62′

2–0 Daniel Rodrigues ⚽

64′

70′

🔁 Álvaro Djaló

↦ S. Banza

M. Sako 🔁

↦ Paulité

82′

M. Moura 🟨

83′

🔁 Abel Ruiz

↦ Iuri Medeiros

89′

⚽ Paulo Oliveira 2–1

Full-time 2–1

Line-ups

Felgueiras 1932

Bruno Silva

Mike

Henrique

João Cunha

Rui Rampa

Ivo Lemos

Welton

Henrique Martins

João Santos

João Silva

Paulité

Bench (9)

Nuno Namora

Daniel Rodrigues

M. Sako

André Couto

B. Zakari

G. Ofosu

Landinho

Miguel Barandas

S. Kuffour

Coach: Agostinho Bento

Sp Braga

Tiago Sá

Paulo Oliveira

Víctor Gómez

Fabiano

Bruno Rodrigues

U. Račić

J. Gorby

Iuri Medeiros

Ricardo Horta

S. Banza

Vítor Oliveira

Bench (9)

André Horta

Castro

Rodrigo Gomes

Álvaro Djaló

Abel Ruiz

D. Lainez

Dinis Pinto

L. Horníček

Vítor Tormena

Coach: Artur Jorge

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2

–

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–

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B ✓

–

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Over/under goals

O1,5 ✓

–

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U1,5

–

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O2,5 ✓

–

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U2,5

–

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O3,5

–

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U3,5 ✓

–

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Both teams to score

BLS ja ✓

–

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BLS nei

–

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Recent matches

2. Oct TP 3 years ago

11. Sep TP 4 years ago

Referee

João Ferreira · 60 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards

5,0 / match

Average

⚽ Free kicks

26,5 / match

Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,30 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.

How the model saw the match

Team trends

How the model assessed the goals markets

Most likely result

Match report

Line-ups

Felgueiras 1932

Sp Braga

Odds comparison

Recent matches

Referee