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Eredivisie
Referee: A Lindhout
Twente
S S U S T
3–0
Full-time
Groningen
T S T T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Twente Groningen
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 34%
50%
17%
Points per game
1,7
0,7
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
50%
50%
Both score Ø 50%
33%
67%
Average goals
2,5
2,8
Scored
1,7
1,0
Conceded
0,8
1,8
Goal diff per game
+0,8
-0,8
This season — Eredivisie · 8/9 matches
Win Ø 43%
63%
22%
Points per game
2,0
0,9
Over 2.5 Ø 53%
50%
56%
Both score Ø 46%
25%
67%
Average goals
2,4
3,2
Scored
1,8
1,1
Conceded
0,6
2,1
Goal diff per game
+1,1
-1,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

64% Possession 36%
24 Shots 5
7 Shots on target 2
7 Blocked shots 0
2 Goalkeeper saves 4
9 Corners 2
2 Offside 3
3 Free kicks against 10
1 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Twente 6. · Groningen 14.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 AZ Alkmaar 9 7 2 0 +12 23
2 Ajax 9 7 1 1 +19 22
3 PSV Eindhoven 9 7 0 2 +16 21
4 Feyenoord 9 6 2 1 +13 20
5 Sparta Rotterdam 10 5 2 3 +5 17
6 Twente 8 5 1 2 +9 16
7 Waalwijk 10 3 5 2 +6 14
8 Utrecht 9 3 3 3 -1 12
9 Heerenveen 9 2 5 2 -1 11
10 For Sittard 10 3 2 5 -5 11
11 Nijmegen 10 1 7 2 +0 10
12 Excelsior 9 3 1 5 -9 10
13 Go Ahead Eagles 10 2 3 5 -5 9
14 Groningen 9 2 2 5 -9 8
15 Cambuur 10 2 2 6 -9 8
16 Vitesse 10 2 2 6 -10 8
17 FC Emmen 10 1 3 6 -14 6
18 Volendam 10 1 3 6 -17 6

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Twente Groningen
16′
🔁 L. Valente
↦ T. Suslov
Virgil Misidjan 🟨
26′
Half-time 0–0
46′
🔁 R. Oratmangoen
↦ F. Krüger
46′
🔁 P. Abraham
↦ C. Ngonge
1–0 V. Misidjan
R. van Wolfswinkel
48′
2–0 J. Brenet
R. van Wolfswinkel
55′
66′
🔁 Y. Kalley
↦ I. Määttä
S. Steijn 🔁
↦ M. Kjølø
76′
Julio Pleguezuelo 🔁
↦ M. Hilgers
76′
D. Cleonise 🔁
↦ D. Rots
77′
80′
🔁 R. Lundqvist
↦ J. Pelupessy
3–0 R. van Wolfswinkel
84′
M. Ugalde 🔁
↦ R. van Wolfswinkel
85′
88′
🟨 Yahya Kalley
91′
🟨 Mike te Wierik
Full-time 3–0

Line-ups

Twente

4-3-3
1 L. Unnerstall G
20 J. Brenet D
2 M. Hilgers D
3 R. Pröpper D
5 G. Smal D
8 R. Zerrouki M
18 M. Vlap M
21 M. Kjølø M
11 D. Rots F
9 R. van Wolfswinkel F
10 V. Misidjan F
Bench (12)
14 S. Steijn
4 Julio Pleguezuelo
26 D. Cleonise
27 M. Ugalde
24 L. Everink
16 I. El Maach
22 P. Tytoń
17 A. Salah-Eddine
43 J. Haakmat
38 M. Bruns
32 C. Staring
37 T. van Leeuwen

Coach: R. Jans

Groningen

4-2-3-1
1 P. Leeuwenburgh G
2 D. Dankerlui D
5 M. te Wierik D
21 N. Kasanwirjo D
18 I. Määttä D
4 J. Pelupessy M
6 L. Duarte M
7 T. Suslov M
23 F. Krüger M
27 C. Ngonge M
9 R. Pepi F
Bench (11)
40 L. Valente
34 R. Oratmangoen
11 P. Abraham
15 Y. Kalley
22 R. Lundqvist
3 M. Šverko
25 J. de Boer
14 E. Matuta
10 D. Irandust
55 T. van Bergen
16 J. Hoekstra

Coach: F. Wormuth

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
1,40
U
4,70
B
7,53
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,69
U2,5
2,15
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

A Lindhout · 161 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,0 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
20,4 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,12 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.