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La Liga
Referee: Antonio Mateu
Espanol
S T T U U
1–0
Full-time
Valladolid
S T T S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Espanol Valladolid
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
17%
33%
Points per game
0,8
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
83%
50%
Both score Ø 58%
83%
33%
Average goals
3,5
2,3
Scored
1,5
0,8
Conceded
2,0
1,5
Goal diff per game
-0,5
-0,7
This season — La Liga · 8/8 matches
Win Ø 19%
13%
25%
Points per game
0,8
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 63%
75%
50%
Both score Ø 57%
75%
38%
Average goals
3,4
2,4
Scored
1,4
0,8
Conceded
2,0
1,6
Goal diff per game
-0,6
-0,9
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

49% Possession 51%
15 Shots 14
3 Shots on target 2
5 Blocked shots 4
2 Goalkeeper saves 2
6 Corners 4
2 Offside 2
13 Free kicks against 11
1 Yellow cards 4
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Espanol 18. · Valladolid 15.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Real Madrid 9 8 1 0 +14 25
2 Barcelona 9 7 1 1 +17 22
3 Ath Madrid 9 6 1 2 +8 19
4 Sociedad 9 6 1 2 +3 19
5 Ath Bilbao 9 5 2 2 +11 17
6 Betis 8 5 1 2 +5 16
7 Valencia 9 4 2 3 +6 14
8 Osasuna 8 4 1 3 +1 13
9 Villarreal 8 3 3 2 +7 12
10 Vallecano 9 3 2 4 -2 11
11 Celta 9 3 1 5 -6 10
12 Mallorca 9 2 3 4 -3 9
13 Sevilla 9 2 3 4 -5 9
14 Girona 9 2 2 5 -3 8
15 Valladolid 8 2 2 4 -7 8
16 Getafe 9 2 2 5 -8 8
17 Almeria 8 2 1 5 -5 7
18 Espanol 8 1 3 4 -5 6
19 Cadiz 9 1 3 5 -13 6
20 Elche 9 0 3 6 -15 3

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Espanol Valladolid
15′
🟨 Zouhair Feddal
31′
🟨 Sergio Escudero
Half-time 0–0
46′
🔁 Joaquín Fernández
↦ Z. Feddal
52′
🟨 Monchu
59′
🟨 Roque Mesa
61′
🔁 J. Narváez
↦ Iván Sánchez
61′
🔁 S. Weissman
↦ Sergio León
Vinícius Souza 🟨
63′
José Carlos Lazo 🔁
↦ Aleix Vidal
71′
K. Bare 🔁
↦ Edu Expósito
71′
1–0 Joselu
Brian Oliván
78′
79′
🔁 Álvaro Aguado
↦ Roque Mesa
79′
🔁 Sergi Guardiola
↦ Kike Pérez
Nico Melamed 🔁
↦ Javi Puado
89′
Full-time 1–0

Line-ups

Espanol

4-1-3-2
13 B. Lecomte G
2 Óscar Gil D
5 Fernando Calero D
4 L. Cabrera D
14 Brian Oliván D
12 Vinicius Souza M
22 Aleix Vidal M
10 Darder M
20 Edu Expósito M
9 Joselu F
7 Javi Puado F
Bench (9)
16 José Carlos Lazo
8 K. Bare
21 Nico Melamed
1 Joan García
25 Álvaro Fernández
26 O. El Hilali
6 Pol Lozano
28 Simo
30 L. Koleosho

Coach: Diego Martínez

Valladolid

4-3-3
1 Jordi Masip G
18 Escudero D
5 Javier Sánchez D
3 Z. Feddal D
12 L. Olaza D
4 Kike Pérez M
17 Roque Mesa M
8 Monchu M
21 Iván Sánchez F
7 Sergio León F
10 Óscar Plano F
Bench (9)
24 Joaquín Fernández
20 J. Narváez
9 S. Weissman
6 Álvaro Aguado
16 Sergi Guardiola
14 M. Malsa
39 Lucas Rosa
32 David Torres
31 Álvaro Aceves

Coach: Pacheta

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
2,20
U
3,36
B
3,42
Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
O2,5
2,06
U2,5 ✓
1,78
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

Antonio Mateu · 160 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,9 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
23,6 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,17 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.