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LaLiga2
Referee: Rafael Sánchez
Lugo
T T U T U
0–1
Full-time
Las Palmas
S U S U U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Lugo Las Palmas
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
17%
33%
Points per game
0,8
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
67%
17%
Both score Ø 58%
83%
33%
Average goals
2,8
1,8
Scored
1,2
1,2
Conceded
1,7
0,7
Goal diff per game
-0,5
+0,5
This season — LaLiga2 · 9/9 matches
Win Ø 33%
22%
44%
Points per game
1,0
1,9
Over 2.5 Ø 39%
56%
22%
Both score Ø 50%
78%
22%
Average goals
2,6
1,9
Scored
1,1
1,4
Conceded
1,4
0,4
Goal diff per game
-0,3
+1,0
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

33% Possession 67%
7 Shots 15
2 Shots on target 5
1 Blocked shots 4
4 Goalkeeper saves 3
2 Corners 9
2 Offside 2
17 Free kicks against 7
3 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Lugo 19. · Las Palmas 3.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Alaves 10 5 4 1 +3 19
2 Burgos 10 4 6 0 +6 18
3 Las Palmas 9 4 5 0 +9 17
4 Cartagena 10 5 2 3 +3 17
5 Albacete 10 4 4 2 +2 16
6 Sp Gijon 9 4 3 2 +5 15
7 Eibar 9 4 3 2 +4 15
8 Huesca 10 4 3 3 +3 15
9 Andorra 10 4 3 3 +0 15
10 Granada 9 4 2 3 +1 14
11 Villarreal B 10 3 4 3 -1 13
12 Ponferradina 10 3 3 4 -3 12
13 Tenerife 10 2 5 3 -1 11
14 Ibiza 9 3 2 4 -4 11
15 Levante 9 2 4 3 +1 10
16 Zaragoza 9 2 4 3 -2 10
17 Leganes 10 3 1 6 -3 10
18 Oviedo 10 2 4 4 -3 10
19 Lugo 9 2 3 4 -3 9
20 Santander 9 2 2 5 -4 8
21 Mirandes 9 1 4 4 -5 7
22 Malaga 10 1 3 6 -8 6

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Lugo Las Palmas
Pablo Clavería 🟨
7′
Half-time 0–0
Xavi Torres 🔁
↦ Clavería
46′
46′
🔁 Sandro Ramírez
↦ F. Andone
46′
🔁 Jonathan Viera
↦ Alberto Moleiro
Alberto Rodríguez 🟨
52′
60′
Benito Ramírez 0–1
Sandro Ramírez
Ángel Baena 🔁
↦ J. Cuéllar
65′
M. El Hacen 🔁
↦ Juanpe
69′
I. Thiam 🔁
↦ Sebas Moyano
69′
73′
🔁 Sergi Cardona
↦ Enrique Clemente
76′
🔁 O. Mfulu
↦ Óscar Clemente
Jordi Calavera 🔁
↦ Miguel Loureiro
79′
80′
🔁 Álex Suárez
↦ Álvaro Lemos
82′
🟨 Eric Curbelo
Jose Ricardo 🟨
84′
Full-time 0–1

Line-ups

Lugo

4-1-4-1
13 Óscar Whalley G
15 Miguel Loureiro D
34 Jesús Fernández D
21 Alberto Rodríguez D
12 Zé Ricardo D
6 Juanpe M
29 J. Cuéllar M
4 Clavería M
7 Sebas Moyano M
8 Josep Señé M
16 Chris Ramos F
Bench (11)
14 Xavi Torres
11 Ángel Baena
18 M. El Hacen
32 I. Thiam
23 Jordi Calavera
17 N. Lozano
19 O. Lebedenko
1 P. Sequeira
26 Julen Fernández
22 Marc Carbó
31 C. Cotos

Coach: Hernán Pérez

Las Palmas

4-1-4-1
13 Álvaro Vallés G
14 Álvaro Lemos D
18 Sidnei D
6 Eric Curbelo D
5 Enrique Clemente D
8 Fabio González M
10 Alberto Moleiro M
17 Óscar Clemente M
12 E. Loiodice M
11 Benito Ramírez M
16 F. Andone F
Bench (12)
9 Sandro Ramírez
21 Jonathan Viera
3 Sergi Cardona
22 O. Mfulu
4 Álex Suárez
7 Vitolo
20 Joel del Pino
30 Cendón
1 Álex Domínguez
24 Pejiño
15 Álvaro Jiménez
23 Saúl Coco

Coach: García Pimienta

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
3,50
U
3,12
B ✓
2,17
Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
O2,5
2,19
U2,5 ✓
1,66
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

Rafael Sánchez · 65 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,0 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
25,1 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,30 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.