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Superligaen
Referee: Jacob A Sundberg
Midtjylland
S U U S U
2–1
Full-time
Horsens
T T S T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Midtjylland Horsens
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
50%
33%
Points per game
2,0
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
67%
50%
Both score Ø 67%
83%
50%
Average goals
3,3
2,0
Scored
2,2
0,8
Conceded
1,2
1,2
Goal diff per game
+1,0
-0,3
This season — Superligaen · 12/12 matches
Win Ø 33%
33%
33%
Points per game
1,4
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 38%
42%
33%
Both score Ø 50%
67%
33%
Average goals
3,2
1,8
Scored
1,7
0,8
Conceded
1,5
1,0
Goal diff per game
+0,2
-0,2
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

61% Possession 39%
19 Shots 8
8 Shots on target 1
4 Blocked shots 4
0 Goalkeeper saves 6
2 Corners 3
3 Offside 2
3 Free kicks against 14
1 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 1
The table before the match Midtjylland 5. · Horsens 10.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Nordsjaelland 13 7 4 2 +8 25
2 Randers FC 12 6 4 2 +5 22
3 Viborg 13 6 4 3 +4 22
4 Silkeborg 12 6 2 4 +5 20
5 Midtjylland 12 4 5 3 +2 17
6 Aarhus 13 5 2 6 +2 17
7 FC Copenhagen 13 5 2 6 +1 17
8 Brondby 13 4 4 5 -4 16
9 Odense 13 4 4 5 -5 16
10 Horsens 12 4 3 5 -2 15
11 Aalborg 13 3 5 5 -3 14
12 Lyngby 13 0 5 8 -13 5

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Midtjylland Horsens
20′
L. Musonda 0–1
D. Kruse
1–1 A. Dreyer
P. Sisto
22′
Half-time 1–1
50′
🔁 A. Ludwig
↦ M. Jensen
S. Gartenmann 🔁
↦ M. Thychosen
62′
G. Isaksen 🔁
↦ N. Dyhr
62′
75′
🔁 S. Iyede
↦ E. Just
75′
🔁 A. Sigurðarson
↦ S. Makienok
Paulinho 🔁
↦ O. Sørensen
79′
81′
🟥 Alexander Ludwig
83′
🔁 M. Lassen
↦ A. Jacobsen
84′
🔁 J. Gemmer
↦ M. Opondo
85′
🟨 Samson Iyede
2–1 K. Olsson
E. Sviatchenko
86′
90′
🟨 Matej Delač
Erik Sviatchenko 🟨
91′
Gustav Isaksen ℹ️
VAR: Goal cancelled
91′
Full-time 2–1

Line-ups

Midtjylland

4-3-3
1 J. Lössl G
17 M. Thychosen D
28 E. Sviatchenko D
73 Juninho D
44 N. Dyhr D
24 O. Sørensen M
5 E. Martínez M
8 K. Olsson M
36 A. Dreyer F
9 S. Kaba F
7 P. Sisto F
Bench (9)
4 S. Gartenmann
11 G. Isaksen
29 Paulinho
18 E. Chilufya
16 E. Ólafsson
20 V. Byskov
21 A. Nibe
26 P. Ortíz
35 Charles

Coach: Albert Capellas

Horsens

4-4-2
1 M. Delač G
18 T. Santos D
4 M. Kiilerich D
21 J. Gomez D
24 L. Musonda D
9 A. Jacobsen M
6 M. Opondo M
23 D. Kruse M
27 E. Just M
3 M. Jensen F
13 S. Makienok F
Bench (9)
33 A. Ludwig
26 S. Iyede
11 A. Sigurðarson
17 M. Lassen
14 J. Gemmer
19 M. Hannesbo
7 L. Qamili
8 J. Drachmann
30 M. Bobjerg

Coach: J. Askou

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
U
B
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Jacob A Sundberg · 21 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,3 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
21,9 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,05 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.