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Serie A

Referee: J Sacchi

Inter

T T S S U

2–0

Full-time

Salernitana

U U T T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Inter Salernitana

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 34%

50%

17%

Points per game

1,7

1,0

Over 2.5 Ø 75%

67%

83%

Both score Ø 75%

67%

83%

Average goals

3,2

3,5

Scored

1,7

1,3

Conceded

1,5

2,2

Goal diff per game

+0,2

-0,8

This season — Serie A · 9/9 matches

Win Ø 39%

56%

22%

Points per game

1,7

1,1

Over 2.5 Ø 78%

89%

67%

Both score Ø 67%

78%

56%

Average goals

3,3

2,9

Scored

1,8

1,3

Conceded

1,6

Goal diff per game

+0,2

-0,2

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

62% Possession 38%

16 Shots 8

6 Shots on target 3

3 Blocked shots 1

3 Goalkeeper saves 4

6 Corners 4

0 Offside 4

12 Free kicks against 14

0 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Inter 8. · Salernitana 12. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Atalanta	10	7	3	0	+10	24
2	Napoli	9	7	2	0	+15	23
3	Lazio	9	6	2	1	+16	20
4	Udinese	9	6	2	1	+9	20
5	Milan	9	6	2	1	+9	20
6	Roma	9	6	1	2	+3	19
7	Juventus	10	4	4	2	+6	16
8	Inter	9	5	0	4	+2	15
9	Sassuolo	10	3	3	4	+0	12
10	Empoli	10	2	5	3	-2	11
11	Torino	10	3	2	5	-4	11
12	Salernitana	9	2	4	3	-2	10
13	Monza	10	3	1	6	-6	10
14	Fiorentina	9	2	3	4	-4	9
15	Spezia	9	2	2	5	-10	8
16	Lecce	9	1	4	4	-3	7
17	Bologna	9	1	4	4	-6	7
18	Verona	9	1	2	6	-9	5
19	Cremonese	9	0	3	6	-12	3
20	Sampdoria	9	0	3	6	-12	3

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Lazio	5	4	0	1	+8	12
2	Milan	5	4	0	1	+6	12
3	Juventus	5	3	2	0	+8	11
4	Udinese	5	3	2	0	+7	11
5	Atalanta	5	3	2	0	+4	11
6	Napoli	4	3	1	0	+7	10
7	Inter	4	3	0	1	+5	9
8	Roma	4	3	0	1	+4	9
9	Spezia	4	2	2	0	+2	8
10	Fiorentina	5	2	2	1	-1	8
11	Salernitana	5	2	1	2	+3	7
12	Sassuolo	5	2	1	2	+3	7
13	Bologna	5	1	3	1	+0	6
14	Monza	5	2	0	3	-1	6
15	Torino	5	1	2	2	-1	5
16	Empoli	5	1	2	2	-2	5
17	Lecce	4	0	3	1	-1	3
18	Verona	4	1	0	3	-4	3
19	Sampdoria	5	0	2	3	-6	2
20	Cremonese	4	0	1	3	-8	1

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Napoli	5	4	1	0	+8	13
2	Atalanta	5	4	1	0	+6	13
3	Roma	5	3	1	1	-1	10
4	Udinese	4	3	0	1	+2	9
5	Lazio	4	2	2	0	+8	8
6	Milan	4	2	2	0	+3	8
7	Empoli	5	1	3	1	+0	6
8	Inter	5	2	0	3	-3	6
9	Torino	5	2	0	3	-3	6
10	Juventus	5	1	2	2	-2	5
11	Sassuolo	5	1	2	2	-3	5
12	Lecce	5	1	1	3	-2	4
13	Monza	5	1	1	3	-5	4
14	Salernitana	4	0	3	1	-5	3
15	Cremonese	5	0	2	3	-4	2
16	Verona	5	0	2	3	-5	2
17	Fiorentina	4	0	1	3	-3	1
18	Bologna	4	0	1	3	-6	1
19	Sampdoria	4	0	1	3	-6	1
20	Spezia	5	0	0	5	-12	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.