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Ligue 1

Referee: J Brisard

Troyes

U T S U T

1–1

Full-time

Ajaccio

T T S T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Troyes Ajaccio

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 33%

33%

Points per game

1,3

1,0

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

67%

33%

Both score Ø 58%

83%

33%

Average goals

3,7

2,0

Scored

2,0

0,7

Conceded

1,7

1,3

Goal diff per game

+0,3

-0,7

This season — Ligue 1 · 10/10 matches

Win Ø 25%

30%

20%

Points per game

1,1

0,7

Over 2.5 Ø 65%

80%

50%

Both score Ø 65%

80%

50%

Average goals

3,9

2,2

Scored

1,8

0,7

Conceded

2,1

1,5

Goal diff per game

-0,3

-0,8

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

50% Possession 50%

9 Shots 15

2 Shots on target 7

4 Blocked shots 2

6 Goalkeeper saves 1

3 Corners 5

6 Offside 3

8 Free kicks against 14

2 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Troyes 12. · Ajaccio 18. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Paris SG	10	8	2	0	+23	26
2	Lorient	11	8	2	1	+7	26
3	Lens	11	7	3	1	+10	24
4	Marseille	10	7	2	1	+13	23
5	Monaco	10	6	2	2	+6	20
6	Lille	11	6	1	4	+3	19
7	Rennes	10	5	3	2	+11	18
8	Clermont	10	5	1	4	-1	16
9	Toulouse	11	4	3	4	-1	15
10	Lyon	10	4	2	4	+5	14
11	Montpellier	11	4	0	7	-1	12
12	Troyes	10	3	2	5	-3	11
13	Nice	10	3	2	5	-4	11
14	Reims	11	1	6	4	-7	9
15	Strasbourg	11	1	5	5	-7	8
16	Auxerre	10	2	2	6	-12	8
17	Angers	11	2	2	7	-14	8
18	Ajaccio	10	2	1	7	-8	7
19	Nantes	10	1	4	5	-9	7
20	Brest	10	1	3	6	-11	6

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Lens	6	6	0	0	+8	18
2	Lyon	6	4	1	1	+9	13
3	Marseille	6	4	1	1	+5	13
4	Lorient	5	4	1	0	+5	13
5	Rennes	5	4	0	1	+10	12
6	Toulouse	6	3	2	1	+1	11
7	Paris SG	4	3	1	0	+5	10
8	Montpellier	6	3	0	3	-1	9
9	Lille	5	3	0	2	-2	9
10	Clermont	5	3	0	2	-3	9
11	Monaco	5	2	1	2	-1	7
12	Troyes	4	1	2	1	-1	5
13	Nantes	4	1	2	1	-1	5
14	Auxerre	5	1	2	2	-3	5
15	Nice	5	1	1	3	-4	4
16	Angers	6	1	1	4	-7	4
17	Reims	5	0	3	2	-5	3
18	Strasbourg	6	0	3	3	-6	3
19	Brest	5	0	2	3	-9	2
20	Ajaccio	5	0	1	4	-6	1

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Paris SG	6	5	1	0	+18	16
2	Monaco	5	4	1	0	+7	13
3	Lorient	6	4	1	1	+2	13
4	Marseille	4	3	1	0	+8	10
5	Lille	6	3	1	2	+5	10
6	Clermont	5	2	1	2	+2	7
7	Nice	5	2	1	2	+0	7
8	Lens	5	1	3	1	+2	6
9	Rennes	5	1	3	1	+1	6
10	Troyes	6	2	0	4	-2	6
11	Reims	6	1	3	2	-2	6
12	Ajaccio	5	2	0	3	-2	6
13	Strasbourg	5	1	2	2	-1	5
14	Brest	5	1	1	3	-2	4
15	Toulouse	5	1	1	3	-2	4
16	Angers	5	1	1	3	-7	4
17	Montpellier	5	1	0	4	+0	3
18	Auxerre	5	1	0	4	-9	3
19	Nantes	6	0	2	4	-8	2
20	Lyon	4	0	1	3	-4	1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.