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LaLiga2

Malaga

T S U U U

1–0

Full-time

Lugo

U U S U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Malaga Lugo

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 25%

17%

33%

Points per game

1,0

1,5

Over 2.5 Ø 25%

33%

17%

Both score Ø 59%

50%

67%

Average goals

2,0

Scored

0,7

1,2

Conceded

1,3

0,8

Goal diff per game

-0,7

+0,3

This season — LaLiga2 · 11/11 matches

Win Ø 27%

27%

Points per game

1,3

1,4

Over 2.5 Ø 27%

27%

Both score Ø 50%

36%

64%

Average goals

1,9

2,3

Scored

0,8

1,2

Conceded

1,1

Goal diff per game

-0,3

+0,1

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

19 Shots 6

5 Shots on target 1

9 Corners 3

14 Free kicks against 18

1 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Malaga 14. · Lugo 10. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Eibar	12	7	3	2	+5	24
2	Almeria	11	7	1	3	+11	22
3	Sp Gijon	12	6	3	3	+3	21
4	Ponferradina	11	5	4	2	+5	19
5	Valladolid	12	5	4	3	+3	19
6	Cartagena	12	6	0	6	-2	18
7	Las Palmas	11	4	5	2	+2	17
8	Tenerife	11	5	2	4	+2	17
9	Huesca	11	4	3	4	+4	15
10	Lugo	11	3	6	2	+1	15
11	Fuenlabrada	12	3	6	3	+0	15
12	Ibiza	12	3	6	3	-3	15
13	Mirandes	11	4	2	5	+1	14
14	Malaga	11	3	5	3	-3	14
15	Burgos	11	3	4	4	+1	13
16	Oviedo	11	2	7	2	+0	13
17	Sociedad B	11	2	5	4	-2	11
18	Zaragoza	11	1	8	2	-2	11
19	Girona	11	3	2	6	-4	11
20	Leganes	11	2	4	5	-4	10
21	Amorebieta	11	1	5	5	-6	8
22	Alcorcon	11	2	1	8	-12	7

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Sp Gijon	6	5	0	1	+4	15
2	Ponferradina	6	4	2	0	+7	14
3	Las Palmas	6	4	2	0	+6	14
4	Almeria	5	4	1	0	+7	13
5	Eibar	6	4	1	1	+4	13
6	Cartagena	5	4	0	1	+5	12
7	Malaga	5	3	2	0	+4	11
8	Lugo	6	3	2	1	+2	11
9	Ibiza	6	2	3	1	+2	9
10	Fuenlabrada	6	2	3	1	+1	9
11	Burgos	5	2	2	1	+3	8
12	Valladolid	5	2	2	1	+2	8
13	Huesca	6	2	2	2	+2	8
14	Tenerife	5	2	1	2	+1	7
15	Mirandes	6	2	1	3	+0	7
16	Oviedo	6	1	4	1	+0	7
17	Girona	6	2	1	3	-1	7
18	Amorebieta	5	1	3	1	+0	6
19	Sociedad B	6	1	3	2	-2	6
20	Zaragoza	6	0	5	1	-1	5
21	Leganes	5	1	2	2	-2	5
22	Alcorcon	6	1	1	4	-9	4

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Valladolid	7	3	2	2	+1	11
2	Eibar	6	3	2	1	+1	11
3	Tenerife	6	3	1	2	+1	10
4	Almeria	6	3	0	3	+4	9
5	Huesca	5	2	1	2	+2	7
6	Mirandes	5	2	1	2	+1	7
7	Oviedo	5	1	3	1	+0	6
8	Sp Gijon	6	1	3	2	-1	6
9	Zaragoza	5	1	3	1	-1	6
10	Fuenlabrada	6	1	3	2	-1	6
11	Ibiza	6	1	3	2	-5	6
12	Cartagena	7	2	0	5	-7	6
13	Sociedad B	5	1	2	2	+0	5
14	Leganes	6	1	2	3	-2	5
15	Burgos	6	1	2	3	-2	5
16	Ponferradina	5	1	2	2	-2	5
17	Lugo	5	0	4	1	-1	4
18	Girona	5	1	1	3	-3	4
19	Alcorcon	5	1	0	4	-3	3
20	Las Palmas	5	0	3	2	-4	3
21	Malaga	6	0	3	3	-7	3
22	Amorebieta	6	0	2	4	-6	2

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.