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Superligaen
Referee: Jens Maae
Nordsjaelland
U T S U S
1–1
Full-time
Aarhus
T S T T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Nordsjaelland Aarhus
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
50%
33%
Points per game
1,8
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
50%
50%
Both score Ø 50%
67%
33%
Average goals
3,2
2,5
Scored
2,2
1,3
Conceded
1,0
1,2
Goal diff per game
+1,2
+0,2
This season — Superligaen · 12/12 matches
Win Ø 50%
58%
42%
Points per game
2,0
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
42%
42%
Both score Ø 50%
58%
42%
Average goals
2,5
2,2
Scored
1,6
1,2
Conceded
0,9
1,0
Goal diff per game
+0,7
+0,2
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

58% Possession 42%
10 Shots 6
4 Shots on target 2
4 Blocked shots 3
1 Goalkeeper saves 3
4 Corners 2
1 Offside 2
12 Free kicks against 14
5 Yellow cards 3
1 Red cards 0
The table before the match Nordsjaelland 1. · Aarhus 7.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Nordsjaelland 12 7 3 2 +8 24
2 Randers FC 12 6 4 2 +5 22
3 Viborg 13 6 4 3 +4 22
4 Silkeborg 12 6 2 4 +5 20
5 Midtjylland 12 4 5 3 +2 17
6 FC Copenhagen 13 5 2 6 +1 17
7 Aarhus 12 5 1 6 +2 16
8 Brondby 13 4 4 5 -4 16
9 Odense 13 4 4 5 -5 16
10 Horsens 12 4 3 5 -2 15
11 Aalborg 13 3 5 5 -3 14
12 Lyngby 13 0 5 8 -13 5

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Nordsjaelland Aarhus
Mario Dorgeles 🟨
11′
34′
🟨 Nicolai Poulsen
Mads Hansen ℹ️
VAR: Penalty awarded
43′
44′
🟨 Yann Bisseck
1–0 A. Schjelderup
45′
Half-time 1–0
46′
🔁 J. Duin
↦ S. Haugen
46′
🔁 F. Brandhof
↦ M. Emil Madsen
46′
🔁 E. Kahl
↦ T. Mølgaard
Martin Frese 🟨
47′
L. Walta 🔁
↦ M. Dorgeles
59′
Ernest Nuamah 🟨
63′
Mads Bidstrup 🟨
66′
Ernest Nuamah 🟨
67′
Ernest Nuamah 🟥
67′
E. Marxen 🔁
↦ M. Hansen
71′
O. Antman 🔁
↦ A. Schjelderup
71′
77′
🔁 S. Grønning
↦ S. Hausner
84′
🔁 A. D'Alberto
↦ G. Links
88′
T. Thiesson Kristensen 1–1
F. Brandhof
94′
🟨 Kevin Yakob
Full-time 1–1

Line-ups

Nordsjaelland

4-3-3
13 A. Hansen G
23 O. Villadsen D
4 K. Hansen D
39 A. Nagalo D
5 M. Frese D
29 M. Dorgeles M
18 M. Bidstrup M
10 M. Diomandé M
11 M. Hansen F
37 E. Nuamah F
7 A. Schjelderup F
Bench (9)
33 L. Walta
15 E. Marxen
22 O. Antman
31 A. Gülstorff
2 B. Engdahl
28 L. Coulibaly
36 R. Ascone
9 B. Nygren
42 K. Barslund

Coach: F. Pedersen

Aarhus

3-5-2
1 J. Hansen G
23 T. Thiesson Kristensen D
37 S. Hausner D
4 Y. Aurel Bisseck D
14 T. Mølgaard M
7 M. Emil Madsen M
6 N. Poulsen M
17 Kevin Yakob M
11 G. Links M
9 P. Mortensen F
10 S. Haugen F
Bench (9)
18 J. Duin
29 F. Brandhof
19 E. Kahl
27 S. Grønning
26 A. D'Alberto
28 A. Daghim
16 P. Kristian Bråtveit
43 D. Herrington
22 B. Hvidt

Coach: U. Rösler

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
U ✓
B
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Jens Maae · 18 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,3 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
22,6 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,17 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.