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Ekstraklasa

Referee: B Frankowski

Gornik Zabrze

U U S T T

1–2

Full-time

Lech Poznan

S U U S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Gornik Zabrze Lech Poznan

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 42%

33%

50%

Points per game

1,3

2,0

Over 2.5 Ø 42%

67%

17%

Both score Ø 58%

83%

33%

Average goals

3,7

1,5

Scored

1,7

1,2

Conceded

2,0

0,3

Goal diff per game

-0,3

+0,8

This season — Ekstraklasa · 11/11 matches

Win Ø 36%

27%

45%

Points per game

1,2

1,6

Over 2.5 Ø 46%

64%

27%

Both score Ø 50%

73%

27%

Average goals

3,4

1,9

Scored

1,5

1,1

Conceded

1,8

0,8

Goal diff per game

-0,3

+0,3

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

42% Possession 58%

18 Shots 23

8 Shots on target 7

5 Blocked shots 8

6 Goalkeeper saves 7

4 Corners 7

17 Free kicks against 10

3 Yellow cards 4

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Gornik Zabrze 14. · Lech Poznan 8. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Rakow	13	9	2	2	+14	29
2	Wisla Plock	13	7	3	3	+11	24
3	Legia	13	7	3	3	+1	24
4	Widzew Lodz	13	7	2	4	+8	23
5	Pogon Szczecin	13	6	4	3	+4	22
6	Stal Mielec	13	7	1	5	+1	22
7	Cracovia	13	5	3	5	+4	18
8	Lech Poznan	11	5	3	3	+3	18
9	Jagiellonia	13	4	5	4	+4	17
10	Warta Poznan	13	5	2	6	-1	17
11	Radomiak Radom	13	5	2	6	-3	17
12	Zaglebie	13	4	5	4	-5	17
13	Slask Wroclaw	13	4	4	5	-5	16
14	Gornik Zabrze	11	3	4	4	-3	13
15	Piast Gliwice	13	3	3	7	-3	12
16	Korona Kielce	13	3	3	7	-6	12
17	Lechia Gdansk	12	2	2	8	-14	8
18	Legnica	12	1	3	8	-10	6

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Rakow	7	6	1	0	+11	19
2	Wisla Plock	6	5	1	0	+9	16
3	Legia	6	5	1	0	+7	16
4	Pogon Szczecin	7	4	3	0	+6	15
5	Jagiellonia	7	4	1	2	+7	13
6	Slask Wroclaw	7	3	2	2	+0	11
7	Widzew Lodz	6	3	1	2	+4	10
8	Cracovia	7	3	1	3	+4	10
9	Stal Mielec	6	3	1	2	+2	10
10	Radomiak Radom	7	3	1	3	+0	10
11	Lech Poznan	7	3	1	3	-1	10
12	Piast Gliwice	6	2	1	3	+2	7
13	Zaglebie	6	1	4	1	+0	7
14	Legnica	6	1	2	3	-3	5
15	Gornik Zabrze	6	1	2	3	-4	5
16	Korona Kielce	6	1	1	4	-3	4
17	Warta Poznan	6	1	1	4	-5	4
18	Lechia Gdansk	5	0	2	3	-7	2

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Widzew Lodz	7	4	1	2	+4	13
2	Warta Poznan	7	4	1	2	+4	13
3	Stal Mielec	7	4	0	3	-1	12
4	Rakow	6	3	1	2	+3	10
5	Zaglebie	7	3	1	3	-5	10
6	Lech Poznan	4	2	2	0	+4	8
7	Wisla Plock	7	2	2	3	+2	8
8	Gornik Zabrze	5	2	2	1	+1	8
9	Cracovia	6	2	2	2	+0	8
10	Korona Kielce	7	2	2	3	-3	8
11	Legia	7	2	2	3	-6	8
12	Pogon Szczecin	6	2	1	3	-2	7
13	Radomiak Radom	6	2	1	3	-3	7
14	Lechia Gdansk	7	2	0	5	-7	6
15	Piast Gliwice	7	1	2	4	-5	5
16	Slask Wroclaw	6	1	2	3	-5	5
17	Jagiellonia	6	0	4	2	-3	4
18	Legnica	6	0	1	5	-7	1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.