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Serie A
Referee: D Massa
Verona
S T T T T
1–2
Full-time
Milan
T S T S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Verona Milan
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 34%
17%
50%
Points per game
0,7
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
50%
67%
Both score Ø 59%
67%
50%
Average goals
2,5
3,0
Scored
0,8
1,5
Conceded
1,7
1,5
Goal diff per game
-0,8
+0,0
This season — Serie A · 9/9 matches
Win Ø 39%
11%
67%
Points per game
0,6
2,2
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
44%
56%
Both score Ø 67%
67%
67%
Average goals
2,8
3,0
Scored
0,9
2,0
Conceded
1,9
1,0
Goal diff per game
-1,0
+1,0
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

46% Possession 54%
19 Shots 16
5 Shots on target 6
7 Blocked shots 5
5 Goalkeeper saves 3
9 Corners 3
0 Offside 1
7 Free kicks against 9
3 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Verona 18. · Milan 5.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Napoli 10 8 2 0 +16 26
2 Atalanta 10 7 3 0 +10 24
3 Lazio 10 6 3 1 +16 21
4 Udinese 10 6 3 1 +9 21
5 Milan 9 6 2 1 +9 20
6 Roma 9 6 1 2 +3 19
7 Inter 10 6 0 4 +4 18
8 Juventus 10 4 4 2 +6 16
9 Sassuolo 10 3 3 4 +0 12
10 Empoli 10 2 5 3 -2 11
11 Torino 10 3 2 5 -4 11
12 Salernitana 10 2 4 4 -4 10
13 Monza 10 3 1 6 -6 10
14 Fiorentina 9 2 3 4 -4 9
15 Spezia 10 2 3 5 -10 9
16 Lecce 9 1 4 4 -3 7
17 Bologna 10 1 4 5 -7 7
18 Verona 9 1 2 6 -9 5
19 Cremonese 10 0 4 6 -12 4
20 Sampdoria 9 0 3 6 -12 3

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Verona Milan
9′
Miguel Veloso 1–0
own goal
2–0 K. Günter
F. Depaoli
19′
Half-time 2–0
46′
🔁 A. Rebić
↦ Brahim Díaz
46′
🔁 D. Origi
↦ O. Giroud
R. Piccoli 🔁
↦ A. Hrustić
54′
60′
🔁 T. Pobega
↦ R. Krunić
60′
🔁 I. Bennacer
↦ Y. Adli
M. Đurić 🔁
↦ T. Henry
65′
M. Hongla 🔁
↦ A. Tamèze
65′
Giangiacomo Magnani 🟨
67′
Martin Hongla 🟨
68′
J. Cabal 🔁
↦ G. Magnani
70′
Y. Kallon 🔁
↦ S. Verdi
71′
Davide Faraoni 🟨
75′
80′
🟨 Theo Hernández
81′
S. Tonali 2–1
A. Rebić
83′
🔁 M. Thiaw
↦ Rafael Leão
90′
🟨 Ante Rebić
Full-time 2–1

Line-ups

Verona

3-4-2-1
1 L. Montipò G
6 I. Hien D
23 G. Magnani D
21 K. Günter D
5 M. Faraoni M
61 A. Tamèze M
4 Miguel Veloso M
29 F. Depaoli M
10 A. Hrustić F
7 S. Verdi F
9 T. Henry F
Bench (11)
20 R. Piccoli
19 M. Đurić
18 M. Hongla
32 J. Cabal
30 Y. Kallon
16 M. Chiesa
24 F. Terracciano
22 A. Berardi
77 I. Sulemana
28 M. Praszelik
34 S. Perilli

Coach: S. Bocchetti

Milan

4-2-3-1
1 C. Tătărușanu G
20 P. Kalulu D
46 M. Gabbia D
23 F. Tomori D
19 T. Hernández D
33 R. Krunić M
8 S. Tonali M
10 Brahim Díaz M
7 Y. Adli M
17 Rafael Leão M
9 O. Giroud F
Bench (12)
12 A. Rebić
27 D. Origi
32 T. Pobega
4 I. Bennacer
28 M. Thiaw
40 A. Vranckx
83 A. Mirante
5 F. Ballo
14 T. Bakayoko
21 S. Dest
96 A. Jungdal
30 Junior Messias

Coach: S. Pioli

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
5,98
U
4,19
B ✓
1,56
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,77
U2,5
2,06
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

D Massa · 154 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,9 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
26,2 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,27 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.