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LaLiga2

Lugo

U T U T T

1–0

Full-time

Malaga

T T U S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Lugo Malaga

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 17%

33%

Points per game

0,3

1,2

Over 2.5 Ø 42%

33%

50%

Both score Ø 42%

50%

33%

Average goals

2,2

Scored

0,5

1,2

Conceded

1,7

1,0

Goal diff per game

-1,2

+0,2

This season — LaLiga2 · 41/41 matches

Win Ø 25%

22%

27%

Points per game

1,1

Over 2.5 Ø 39%

34%

44%

Both score Ø 54%

66%

41%

Average goals

2,4

2,2

Scored

1,1

0,9

Conceded

1,3

1,4

Goal diff per game

-0,2

-0,5

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

15 Shots 13

2 Shots on target 1

3 Corners 6

15 Free kicks against 16

4 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Lugo 16. · Malaga 18. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Almeria	41	24	8	9	+33	80
2	Eibar	41	23	11	7	+17	80
3	Valladolid	41	23	9	9	+25	78
4	Tenerife	41	20	9	12	+17	69
5	Girona	41	20	7	14	+15	67
6	Las Palmas	41	18	13	10	+9	67
7	Oviedo	41	16	17	8	+15	65
8	Ponferradina	41	17	12	12	+3	63
9	Cartagena	41	17	6	18	+5	57
10	Zaragoza	42	12	20	10	-7	56
11	Huesca	41	13	15	13	+8	54
12	Burgos	41	15	9	17	+0	54
13	Leganes	41	13	14	14	-1	53
14	Mirandes	42	15	7	20	-4	52
15	Ibiza	41	12	16	13	-5	52
16	Lugo	41	9	20	12	-7	47
17	Sp Gijon	41	11	13	17	-4	46
18	Malaga	41	11	12	18	-20	45
19	Sociedad B	42	10	10	22	-18	40
20	Amorebieta	41	8	16	17	-20	40
21	Fuenlabrada	42	6	15	21	-26	33
22	Alcorcon	41	5	11	25	-35	26

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Eibar	21	14	5	2	+16	47
2	Almeria	21	14	4	3	+23	46
3	Valladolid	20	13	4	3	+22	43
4	Girona	21	13	3	5	+20	42
5	Cartagena	21	13	2	6	+22	41
6	Las Palmas	21	12	5	4	+11	41
7	Oviedo	20	10	8	2	+18	38
8	Mirandes	21	12	2	7	+14	38
9	Ponferradina	21	10	7	4	+12	37
10	Burgos	20	10	6	4	+15	36
11	Tenerife	20	9	5	6	+10	32
12	Lugo	20	8	8	4	+2	32
13	Zaragoza	21	7	10	4	+1	31
14	Huesca	21	7	9	5	+6	30
15	Amorebieta	20	7	8	5	+3	29
16	Leganes	20	7	8	5	+2	29
17	Ibiza	21	6	10	5	+5	28
18	Malaga	21	7	7	7	-6	28
19	Sp Gijon	20	8	3	9	+1	27
20	Fuenlabrada	21	4	10	7	-3	22
21	Sociedad B	21	4	4	13	-13	16
22	Alcorcon	20	2	7	11	-18	13

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Tenerife	21	11	4	6	+7	37
2	Valladolid	21	10	5	6	+3	35
3	Almeria	20	10	4	6	+10	34
4	Eibar	20	9	6	5	+1	33
5	Oviedo	21	6	9	6	-3	27
6	Las Palmas	20	6	8	6	-2	26
7	Ponferradina	20	7	5	8	-9	26
8	Girona	20	7	4	9	-5	25
9	Zaragoza	21	5	10	6	-8	25
10	Huesca	20	6	6	8	+2	24
11	Leganes	21	6	6	9	-3	24
12	Sociedad B	21	6	6	9	-5	24
13	Ibiza	20	6	6	8	-10	24
14	Sp Gijon	21	3	10	8	-5	19
15	Burgos	21	5	3	13	-15	18
16	Malaga	20	4	5	11	-14	17
17	Cartagena	20	4	4	12	-17	16
18	Lugo	21	1	12	8	-9	15
19	Mirandes	21	3	5	13	-18	14
20	Alcorcon	21	3	4	14	-17	13
21	Fuenlabrada	21	2	5	14	-23	11
22	Amorebieta	21	1	8	12	-23	11

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.