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LaLiga2
Lugo
U U S T T
0–0
Full-time
Malaga
U T T U U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Lugo Malaga
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
33%
17%
Points per game
1,3
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 25%
33%
17%
Both score Ø 50%
50%
50%
Average goals
1,8
1,8
Scored
0,8
0,8
Conceded
1,0
1,0
Goal diff per game
-0,2
-0,2
This season — LaLiga2 · 34/34 matches
Win Ø 24%
24%
24%
Points per game
1,1
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 30%
38%
21%
Both score Ø 47%
53%
41%
Average goals
2,2
1,8
Scored
0,9
0,9
Conceded
1,3
0,9
Goal diff per game
-0,4
-0,1
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

8 Shots 9
1 Shots on target 6
2 Corners 8
16 Free kicks against 9
2 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Lugo 20. · Malaga 15.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Cadiz 34 17 10 7 +13 61
2 Zaragoza 34 16 10 8 +13 58
3 Almeria 34 15 11 8 +21 56
4 Huesca 34 16 6 12 +8 54
5 Elche 34 13 11 10 +8 50
6 Girona 34 13 10 11 +4 49
7 Vallecano 34 10 18 6 +8 48
8 Mirandes 34 11 15 8 +0 48
9 Ponferradina 34 11 14 9 +4 47
10 Sp Gijon 34 12 9 13 +3 45
11 Alcorcon 34 10 15 9 +1 45
12 Fuenlabrada 34 11 12 11 +1 45
13 Las Palmas 34 11 12 11 -3 45
14 Tenerife 34 11 10 13 +0 43
15 Malaga 34 8 16 10 -2 40
16 Oviedo 34 9 13 12 -5 40
17 Albacete 34 10 9 15 -13 39
18 Numancia 34 9 11 14 -4 38
19 La Coruna 34 8 14 12 -18 38
20 Lugo 34 8 13 13 -14 37
21 Extremadura UD 34 7 12 15 -14 33
22 Santander 34 4 17 13 -11 29

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Recent head-to-head meetings

21. Dec -19 Malaga – Lugo 1–1

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
3,17
U ✓
2,82
B
2,52
Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
O2,5
2,58
U2,5 ✓
1,48
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.