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LaLiga2

Referee: Víctor García

Malaga

T S T T T

1–1

Full-time

Villarreal B

U T S T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Malaga Villarreal B

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 34%

17%

50%

Points per game

0,5

1,7

Over 2.5 Ø 75%

67%

83%

Both score Ø 50%

50%

Average goals

2,8

3,5

Scored

0,8

1,8

Conceded

2,0

1,7

Goal diff per game

-1,2

+0,2

This season — LaLiga2 · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 34%

17%

50%

Points per game

0,5

1,7

Over 2.5 Ø 75%

67%

83%

Both score Ø 50%

50%

Average goals

2,8

3,5

Scored

0,8

1,8

Conceded

2,0

1,7

Goal diff per game

-1,2

+0,2

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

62% Possession 38%

15 Shots 7

7 Shots on target 2

3 Blocked shots 2

0 Goalkeeper saves 6

3 Corners 4

4 Offside 1

16 Free kicks against 18

3 Yellow cards 3

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Malaga 22. · Villarreal B 9. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Alaves	6	4	2	0	+4	14
2	Las Palmas	6	3	3	0	+7	12
3	Granada	6	4	0	2	+3	12
4	Cartagena	6	4	0	2	+2	12
5	Sp Gijon	7	3	2	2	+3	11
6	Eibar	6	3	1	2	+3	10
7	Huesca	7	3	1	3	+2	10
8	Burgos	6	2	4	0	+2	10
9	Villarreal B	6	3	1	2	+1	10
10	Albacete	6	3	1	2	+1	10
11	Andorra	6	3	1	2	-1	10
12	Levante	6	2	3	1	+4	9
13	Ponferradina	6	3	0	3	-1	9
14	Oviedo	6	2	2	2	+0	8
15	Zaragoza	7	2	2	3	-2	8
16	Tenerife	6	2	1	3	-1	7
17	Lugo	6	2	1	3	-2	7
18	Ibiza	7	2	1	4	-5	7
19	Mirandes	7	1	2	4	-5	5
20	Leganes	7	1	1	5	-4	4
21	Santander	6	1	1	4	-4	4
22	Malaga	6	1	0	5	-7	3

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Eibar	3	3	0	0	+6	9
2	Granada	3	3	0	0	+6	9
3	Huesca	4	3	0	1	+4	9
4	Villarreal B	3	2	1	0	+5	7
5	Levante	4	2	1	1	+4	7
6	Tenerife	3	2	1	0	+3	7
7	Las Palmas	3	2	1	0	+3	7
8	Sp Gijon	4	2	1	1	+2	7
9	Alaves	3	2	1	0	+2	7
10	Burgos	3	2	1	0	+2	7
11	Andorra	2	2	0	0	+3	6
12	Cartagena	3	2	0	1	+1	6
13	Mirandes	4	1	2	1	+0	5
14	Leganes	3	1	1	1	+0	4
15	Albacete	3	1	1	1	+0	4
16	Zaragoza	3	1	1	1	+0	4
17	Oviedo	4	1	1	2	-1	4
18	Ibiza	3	1	1	1	-1	4
19	Lugo	3	1	0	2	-1	3
20	Ponferradina	3	1	0	2	-2	3
21	Santander	3	0	1	2	-3	1
22	Malaga	2	0	0	2	-5	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Alaves	3	2	1	0	+2	7
2	Albacete	3	2	0	1	+1	6
3	Ponferradina	3	2	0	1	+1	6
4	Cartagena	3	2	0	1	+1	6
5	Las Palmas	3	1	2	0	+4	5
6	Sp Gijon	3	1	1	1	+1	4
7	Oviedo	2	1	1	0	+1	4
8	Lugo	3	1	1	1	-1	4
9	Zaragoza	4	1	1	2	-2	4
10	Andorra	4	1	1	2	-4	4
11	Burgos	3	0	3	0	+0	3
12	Santander	3	1	0	2	-1	3
13	Malaga	4	1	0	3	-2	3
14	Granada	3	1	0	2	-3	3
15	Villarreal B	3	1	0	2	-4	3
16	Ibiza	4	1	0	3	-4	3
17	Levante	2	0	2	0	+0	2
18	Huesca	3	0	1	2	-2	1
19	Eibar	3	0	1	2	-3	1
20	Tenerife	3	0	0	3	-4	0
21	Leganes	4	0	0	4	-4	0
22	Mirandes	3	0	0	3	-5	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.