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Premier League

Referee: A Taylor

Liverpool

S U S T S

1–0

Full-time

Man City

S S S S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Liverpool Man City

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 67%

50%

83%

Points per game

1,7

2,7

Over 2.5 Ø 83%

83%

Both score Ø 58%

83%

33%

Average goals

4,8

4,0

Scored

2,8

3,3

Conceded

2,0

0,7

Goal diff per game

+0,8

+2,7

This season — Premier League · 8/9 matches

Win Ø 52%

25%

78%

Points per game

1,3

2,6

Over 2.5 Ø 77%

75%

78%

Both score Ø 60%

75%

44%

Average goals

4,0

4,7

Scored

2,5

3,7

Conceded

1,5

1,0

Goal diff per game

+1,0

+2,7

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

37% Possession 63%

13 Shots 16

2 Shots on target 6

3 Blocked shots 6

6 Goalkeeper saves 1

5 Corners 6

3 Offside 0

10 Free kicks against 7

3 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Liverpool 12. · Man City 2. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Arsenal	10	9	0	1	+14	27
2	Man City	9	7	2	0	+24	23
3	Tottenham	10	7	2	1	+12	23
4	Chelsea	9	6	1	2	+5	19
5	Man United	9	5	1	3	-2	16
6	Newcastle	10	3	6	1	+8	15
7	Brighton	9	4	2	3	+3	14
8	Brentford	10	3	4	3	+1	13
9	Bournemouth	10	3	4	3	-12	13
10	Fulham	10	3	3	4	-4	12
11	West Ham	10	3	2	5	-2	11
12	Liverpool	8	2	4	2	+8	10
13	Crystal Palace	9	2	4	3	-2	10
14	Everton	10	2	4	4	-3	10
15	Leeds	9	2	3	4	-2	9
16	Aston Villa	10	2	3	5	-6	9
17	Wolves	10	2	3	5	-8	9
18	Southampton	10	2	2	6	-9	8
19	Leicester	10	1	2	7	-9	5
20	Nott'm Forest	10	1	2	7	-16	5

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Man City	5	5	0	0	+19	15
2	Tottenham	5	5	0	0	+11	15
3	Arsenal	5	5	0	0	+7	15
4	Brentford	5	3	1	1	+6	10
5	Chelsea	4	3	1	0	+5	10
6	Newcastle	5	2	3	0	+6	9
7	Liverpool	4	2	2	0	+10	8
8	Leeds	5	2	2	1	+3	8
9	Bournemouth	5	2	2	1	+0	8
10	Fulham	5	2	2	1	-1	8
11	Wolves	5	2	2	1	-1	8
12	Brighton	4	2	1	1	+3	7
13	Man United	4	2	1	1	+2	7
14	Crystal Palace	5	2	1	2	+0	7
15	West Ham	5	2	1	2	+0	7
16	Aston Villa	5	2	1	2	-1	7
17	Leicester	5	1	2	2	+2	5
18	Southampton	5	1	2	2	-1	5
19	Everton	5	1	2	2	-1	5
20	Nott'm Forest	5	1	1	3	-3	4

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Arsenal	5	4	0	1	+7	12
2	Chelsea	5	3	0	2	+0	9
3	Man United	5	3	0	2	-4	9
4	Man City	4	2	2	0	+5	8
5	Tottenham	5	2	2	1	+1	8
6	Brighton	5	2	1	2	+0	7
7	Newcastle	5	1	3	1	+2	6
8	Everton	5	1	2	2	-2	5
9	Bournemouth	5	1	2	2	-12	5
10	West Ham	5	1	1	3	-2	4
11	Fulham	5	1	1	3	-3	4
12	Crystal Palace	4	0	3	1	-2	3
13	Brentford	5	0	3	2	-5	3
14	Southampton	5	1	0	4	-8	3
15	Liverpool	4	0	2	2	-2	2
16	Aston Villa	5	0	2	3	-5	2
17	Leeds	4	0	1	3	-5	1
18	Wolves	5	0	1	4	-7	1
19	Nott'm Forest	5	0	1	4	-13	1
20	Leicester	5	0	0	5	-11	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.