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2. Bundesliga

Referee: P Alt

Holstein Kiel

U T T U S

3–1

Full-time

Heidenheim

S U U U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Holstein Kiel Heidenheim

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 33%

33%

Points per game

1,3

1,7

Over 2.5 Ø 59%

50%

67%

Both score Ø 67%

67%

Average goals

3,2

2,3

Scored

1,5

1,3

Conceded

1,7

1,0

Goal diff per game

-0,2

+0,3

This season — 2. Bundesliga · 11/11 matches

Win Ø 41%

36%

45%

Points per game

1,5

1,8

Over 2.5 Ø 64%

73%

55%

Both score Ø 59%

73%

45%

Average goals

3,8

2,2

Scored

1,8

1,5

Conceded

2,0

0,7

Goal diff per game

-0,2

+0,7

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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

52% Possession 48%

15 Shots 9

5 Shots on target 4

4 Blocked shots 2

3 Goalkeeper saves 2

6 Corners 7

3 Offside 1

7 Free kicks against 10

0 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Holstein Kiel 9. · Heidenheim 4. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Darmstadt	12	8	3	1	+10	27
2	Hamburg	12	8	1	3	+7	25
3	Paderborn	11	7	1	3	+17	22
4	Heidenheim	11	5	5	1	+8	20
5	Hannover	12	6	2	4	+5	20
6	Fortuna Dusseldorf	12	5	2	5	+5	17
7	Karlsruhe	12	5	2	5	+4	17
8	Kaiserslautern	11	3	7	1	+3	16
9	Holstein Kiel	11	4	4	3	-2	16
10	Braunschweig	12	4	3	5	-6	15
11	St Pauli	12	3	5	4	+1	14
12	Hansa Rostock	12	4	2	6	-7	14
13	Nurnberg	12	4	1	7	-9	13
14	Sandhausen	11	3	3	5	-2	12
15	Regensburg	11	3	3	5	-8	12
16	Greuther Furth	12	1	7	4	-5	10
17	Magdeburg	12	3	1	8	-12	10
18	Bielefeld	12	2	2	8	-9	8

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Paderborn	6	5	0	1	+15	15
2	Darmstadt	6	4	2	0	+8	14
3	Fortuna Dusseldorf	6	4	1	1	+9	13
4	St Pauli	6	3	3	0	+7	12
5	Heidenheim	5	3	2	0	+5	11
6	Hannover	6	3	2	1	+3	11
7	Karlsruhe	6	3	1	2	+4	10
8	Hamburg	6	3	1	2	+2	10
9	Braunschweig	6	3	1	2	+1	10
10	Sandhausen	6	3	1	2	+1	10
11	Kaiserslautern	6	2	3	1	+1	9
12	Hansa Rostock	6	3	0	3	+0	9
13	Regensburg	6	2	3	1	-2	9
14	Holstein Kiel	5	2	2	1	+3	8
15	Greuther Furth	7	1	5	1	-1	8
16	Bielefeld	5	2	0	3	-1	6
17	Nurnberg	5	2	0	3	-3	6
18	Magdeburg	6	2	0	4	-6	6

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Hamburg	6	5	0	1	+5	15
2	Darmstadt	6	4	1	1	+2	13
3	Heidenheim	6	2	3	1	+3	9
4	Hannover	6	3	0	3	+2	9
5	Holstein Kiel	6	2	2	2	-5	8
6	Paderborn	5	2	1	2	+2	7
7	Kaiserslautern	5	1	4	0	+2	7
8	Karlsruhe	6	2	1	3	+0	7
9	Nurnberg	7	2	1	4	-6	7
10	Hansa Rostock	6	1	2	3	-7	5
11	Braunschweig	6	1	2	3	-7	5
12	Fortuna Dusseldorf	6	1	1	4	-4	4
13	Magdeburg	6	1	1	4	-6	4
14	Regensburg	5	1	0	4	-6	3
15	Sandhausen	5	0	2	3	-3	2
16	Greuther Furth	5	0	2	3	-4	2
17	St Pauli	6	0	2	4	-6	2
18	Bielefeld	7	0	2	5	-8	2

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.