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LaLiga2
Referee: Aitor Gorostegui
Tenerife
S T T T T
1–1
Full-time
Lugo
U T T S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Tenerife Lugo
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
33%
17%
Points per game
1,0
0,7
Over 2.5 Ø 33%
33%
33%
Both score Ø 42%
33%
50%
Average goals
2,2
2,2
Scored
0,8
0,7
Conceded
1,3
1,5
Goal diff per game
-0,5
-0,8
This season — LaLiga2 · 1/1 matches
Win Ø 0%
0%
0%
Points per game
0,0
0,0
Over 2.5 Ø 100%
100%
100%
Both score Ø 100%
100%
100%
Average goals
3,0
3,0
Scored
1,0
1,0
Conceded
2,0
2,0
Goal diff per game
-1,0
-1,0
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

59% Possession 41%
23 Shots 7
8 Shots on target 2
2 Blocked shots 2
1 Goalkeeper saves 7
3 Corners 2
2 Offside 3
16 Free kicks against 14
3 Yellow cards 1
1 Red cards 1
The table before the match Tenerife 17. · Lugo 18.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Granada 2 2 0 0 +4 6
2 Alaves 2 2 0 0 +2 6
3 Sp Gijon 2 1 1 0 +3 4
4 Villarreal B 2 1 1 0 +2 4
5 Eibar 2 1 1 0 +1 4
6 Albacete 2 1 1 0 +1 4
7 Burgos 2 1 1 0 +1 4
8 Ponferradina 1 1 0 0 +1 3
9 Cartagena 2 1 0 1 +0 3
10 Oviedo 2 1 0 1 +0 3
11 Andorra 2 1 0 1 -2 3
12 Levante 2 0 2 0 +0 2
13 Zaragoza 2 0 2 0 +0 2
14 Las Palmas 1 0 1 0 +0 1
15 Huesca 2 0 1 1 -1 1
16 Mirandes 2 0 1 1 -1 1
17 Tenerife 1 0 0 1 -1 0
18 Lugo 1 0 0 1 -1 0
19 Malaga 1 0 0 1 -1 0
20 Leganes 2 0 0 2 -2 0
21 Ibiza 1 0 0 1 -2 0
22 Santander 2 0 0 2 -4 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Tenerife Lugo
Nikola Šipčić 🟨
-5′
1–0 José Jurado
37′
Nacho Martínez 🟨
44′
Half-time 1–0
46′
🔁 J. Cuéllar
↦ I. Thiam
46′
🔁 Chris Ramos
↦ Ángel Baena
57′
🔁 Juanpe
↦ Clavería
Carlos Ruiz 🟨
59′
Álex Corredera 🟥
59′
Aitor Sanz 🟨
64′
65′
Alberto Rodríguez 1–1
Zé Ricardo
68′
🔁 Miguel Loureiro
↦ Jordi Calavera
Waldo Rubio 🔁
↦ S. Shashoua
70′
80′
🟥 Alberto Rodríguez
Teto 🔁
↦ M. Dauda
82′
96′
🟨 Josep Señé
96′
🔁 Dani Vidal
↦ Josep Señé
Full-time 1–1

Line-ups

Tenerife

4-4-2
1 Juan Soriano G
22 J. Mellot D
14 Carlos Ruiz D
4 José León D
24 Nacho Martínez D
6 Álex Corredera M
16 Aitor Sanz M
20 José Jurado M
11 M. Dauda M
18 Enric Gallego F
10 S. Shashoua F
Bench (9)
17 Waldo Rubio
31 Teto
32 Ibra
27 Ethyan
13 Javi Díaz
23 N. Šipčić
26 David Rodríguez
5 Sergio González
28 T. Barry

Coach: Luis Miguel Ramis

Lugo

4-3-3
13 Óscar Whalley G
23 Jordi Calavera D
21 Alberto Rodríguez D
17 N. Lozano D
12 Zé Ricardo D
4 Clavería M
14 Xavi Torres M
8 Josep Señé M
11 Ángel Baena F
9 Manu Barreiro F
32 I. Thiam F
Bench (10)
29 J. Cuéllar
16 Chris Ramos
6 Juanpe
15 Miguel Loureiro
28 Dani Vidal
7 Sebas Moyano
30 Pablo Castrín
26 Julen Fernández
34 Jesús Fernández
22 Marc Carbó

Coach: Hernán Pérez

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
1,61
U ✓
3,53
B
6,17
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5
2,38
U2,5 ✓
1,56
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Aitor Gorostegui · 18 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
6,2 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
26,5 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,35 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.