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LaLiga2
Lugo
S S U U S
1–3
Full-time
Zaragoza
U S U S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Lugo Zaragoza
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
50%
50%
Points per game
2,0
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
33%
67%
Both score Ø 67%
50%
83%
Average goals
1,8
3,0
Scored
1,2
1,7
Conceded
0,7
1,3
Goal diff per game
+0,5
+0,3
This season — LaLiga2 · 32/32 matches
Win Ø 36%
25%
47%
Points per game
1,2
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 43%
38%
47%
Both score Ø 52%
53%
50%
Average goals
2,2
2,5
Scored
0,9
1,4
Conceded
1,3
1,0
Goal diff per game
-0,3
+0,4
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

14 Shots 10
3 Shots on target 5
12 Corners 3
13 Free kicks against 12
0 Yellow cards 0
1 Red cards 0
The table before the match Lugo 17. · Zaragoza 2.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Cadiz 32 16 9 7 +12 57
2 Zaragoza 32 15 10 7 +13 55
3 Almeria 32 14 11 7 +20 53
4 Huesca 32 16 5 11 +9 53
5 Girona 32 13 9 10 +5 48
6 Elche 33 12 11 10 +7 47
7 Mirandes 32 10 15 7 +0 45
8 Vallecano 32 9 17 6 +7 44
9 Alcorcon 32 10 14 8 +3 44
10 Ponferradina 33 10 14 9 +3 44
11 Sp Gijon 32 11 9 12 +2 42
12 Fuenlabrada 32 10 12 10 +0 42
13 Tenerife 33 10 10 13 -1 40
14 Malaga 33 8 15 10 -2 39
15 Las Palmas 32 9 12 11 -5 39
16 Numancia 32 9 11 12 -1 38
17 Lugo 32 8 13 11 -11 37
18 Oviedo 32 8 12 12 -6 36
19 La Coruna 32 8 12 12 -18 36
20 Albacete 32 9 8 15 -14 35
21 Extremadura UD 32 7 11 14 -13 32
22 Santander 32 4 16 12 -10 28

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Recent head-to-head meetings

21. Sep -19 Zaragoza – Lugo 0–0

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
3,98
U
3,16
B ✓
1,98
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
2,10
U2,5
1,71
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.