Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.
The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.
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Sociedad B
Zaragoza
Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.
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The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.
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Half-time score: 0–2
| # | Team | K | V | U | T | +/− | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Almeria
|
41 | 24 | 8 | 9 | +33 | 80 |
| 2 |
Eibar
|
41 | 23 | 11 | 7 | +17 | 80 |
| 3 |
Valladolid
|
41 | 23 | 9 | 9 | +25 | 78 |
| 4 |
Tenerife
|
41 | 20 | 9 | 12 | +17 | 69 |
| 5 |
Girona
|
41 | 20 | 7 | 14 | +15 | 67 |
| 6 |
Las Palmas
|
41 | 18 | 13 | 10 | +9 | 67 |
| 7 |
Oviedo
|
41 | 16 | 17 | 8 | +15 | 65 |
| 8 |
Ponferradina
|
41 | 17 | 12 | 12 | +3 | 63 |
| 9 |
Cartagena
|
41 | 17 | 6 | 18 | +5 | 57 |
| 10 |
Huesca
|
41 | 13 | 15 | 13 | +8 | 54 |
| 11 |
Burgos
|
41 | 15 | 9 | 17 | +0 | 54 |
| 12 |
Leganes
|
41 | 13 | 14 | 14 | -1 | 53 |
| 13 |
Zaragoza
|
41 | 11 | 20 | 10 | -8 | 53 |
| 14 |
Ibiza
|
41 | 12 | 16 | 13 | -5 | 52 |
| 15 |
Mirandes
|
41 | 14 | 7 | 20 | -8 | 49 |
| 16 |
Lugo
|
41 | 9 | 20 | 12 | -7 | 47 |
| 17 |
Sp Gijon
|
41 | 11 | 13 | 17 | -4 | 46 |
| 18 |
Malaga
|
41 | 11 | 12 | 18 | -20 | 45 |
| 19 |
Sociedad B
|
41 | 10 | 10 | 21 | -17 | 40 |
| 20 |
Amorebieta
|
41 | 8 | 16 | 17 | -20 | 40 |
| 21 |
Fuenlabrada
|
41 | 6 | 15 | 20 | -22 | 33 |
| 22 |
Alcorcon
|
41 | 5 | 11 | 25 | -35 | 26 |
Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.
Green columns are the outcomes that came in.
Huesca
Sociedad B
Sociedad B
Almeria
Fuenlabrada
Sociedad B
Valladolid
Sociedad B
Sociedad B
Amorebieta
The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.