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LaLiga2

Zaragoza

U U T T U

1–0

Full-time

Lugo

T U T U T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Zaragoza Lugo

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 17%

17%

Points per game

1,0

0,8

Over 2.5 Ø 33%

33%

Both score Ø 42%

33%

50%

Average goals

2,3

2,2

Scored

0,8

0,7

Conceded

1,5

Goal diff per game

-0,7

-0,8

This season — LaLiga2 · 40/40 matches

Win Ø 24%

25%

23%

Points per game

1,3

1,2

Over 2.5 Ø 32%

28%

35%

Both score Ø 59%

50%

68%

Average goals

2,0

2,4

Scored

0,9

1,1

Conceded

1,1

1,3

Goal diff per game

-0,2

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

14 Shots 11

4 Shots on target 2

5 Corners 4

16 Free kicks against 16

2 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 1

The table before the match Zaragoza 14. · Lugo 16. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Almeria	40	24	7	9	+33	79
2	Eibar	40	22	11	7	+15	77
3	Valladolid	40	22	9	9	+24	75
4	Tenerife	40	20	9	11	+19	69
5	Oviedo	40	16	17	7	+16	65
6	Girona	40	19	7	14	+13	64
7	Las Palmas	40	17	13	10	+8	64
8	Ponferradina	40	17	12	11	+6	63
9	Cartagena	40	16	6	18	+0	54
10	Ibiza	40	12	16	12	-4	52
11	Huesca	40	12	15	13	+7	51
12	Burgos	40	14	9	17	-1	51
13	Leganes	40	12	14	14	-4	50
14	Zaragoza	40	10	20	10	-9	50
15	Mirandes	40	14	7	19	-6	49
16	Lugo	40	9	20	11	-6	47
17	Sp Gijon	40	11	12	17	-4	45
18	Malaga	40	11	12	17	-19	45
19	Amorebieta	40	8	16	16	-15	40
20	Sociedad B	40	10	10	20	-16	40
21	Fuenlabrada	40	6	14	20	-22	32
22	Alcorcon	40	5	10	25	-35	25

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Almeria	20	14	3	3	+23	45
2	Eibar	20	13	5	2	+14	44
3	Valladolid	20	13	4	3	+22	43
4	Girona	20	12	3	5	+18	39
5	Oviedo	20	10	8	2	+18	38
6	Cartagena	20	12	2	6	+17	38
7	Las Palmas	20	11	5	4	+10	38
8	Ponferradina	20	10	7	3	+15	37
9	Burgos	20	10	6	4	+15	36
10	Mirandes	20	11	2	7	+10	35
11	Tenerife	20	9	5	6	+10	32
12	Lugo	20	8	8	4	+2	32
13	Amorebieta	20	7	8	5	+3	29
14	Leganes	20	7	8	5	+2	29
15	Ibiza	20	6	10	4	+6	28
16	Zaragoza	20	6	10	4	+0	28
17	Malaga	20	7	7	6	-5	28
18	Huesca	20	6	9	5	+5	27
19	Sp Gijon	20	8	3	9	+1	27
20	Fuenlabrada	20	4	9	7	-3	21
21	Sociedad B	20	4	4	12	-12	16
22	Alcorcon	20	2	7	11	-18	13

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Tenerife	20	11	4	5	+9	37
2	Almeria	20	10	4	6	+10	34
3	Eibar	20	9	6	5	+1	33
4	Valladolid	20	9	5	6	+2	32
5	Oviedo	20	6	9	5	-2	27
6	Las Palmas	20	6	8	6	-2	26
7	Ponferradina	20	7	5	8	-9	26
8	Girona	20	7	4	9	-5	25
9	Huesca	20	6	6	8	+2	24
10	Sociedad B	20	6	6	8	-4	24
11	Ibiza	20	6	6	8	-10	24
12	Zaragoza	20	4	10	6	-9	22
13	Leganes	20	5	6	9	-6	21
14	Sp Gijon	20	3	9	8	-5	18
15	Malaga	20	4	5	11	-14	17
16	Cartagena	20	4	4	12	-17	16
17	Lugo	20	1	12	7	-8	15
18	Burgos	20	4	3	13	-16	15
19	Mirandes	20	3	5	12	-16	14
20	Alcorcon	20	3	3	14	-17	12
21	Amorebieta	20	1	8	11	-18	11
22	Fuenlabrada	20	2	5	13	-19	11

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.