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LaLiga2
Lugo
S T S T T
0–1
Full-time
Mallorca
U T U S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Lugo Mallorca
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
50%
33%
Points per game
1,5
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
67%
33%
Both score Ø 50%
67%
33%
Average goals
2,7
1,8
Scored
1,2
1,0
Conceded
1,5
0,8
Goal diff per game
-0,3
+0,2
This season — LaLiga2 · 4/4 matches
Win Ø 38%
25%
50%
Points per game
0,8
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 25%
50%
0%
Both score Ø 25%
50%
0%
Average goals
2,5
1,0
Scored
0,8
0,8
Conceded
1,8
0,3
Goal diff per game
-1,0
+0,5
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

3 Shots 9
2 Shots on target 3
2 Corners 3
15 Free kicks against 21
6 Yellow cards 4
2 Red cards 0
The table before the match Lugo 18. · Mallorca 8.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Espanol 5 4 1 0 +7 13
2 Sp Gijon 4 4 0 0 +5 12
3 Fuenlabrada 4 3 1 0 +4 10
4 Ponferradina 4 3 0 1 +5 9
5 Vallecano 5 3 0 2 +2 9
6 Mirandes 5 2 2 1 +2 8
7 Castellon 4 2 1 1 +2 7
8 Mallorca 4 2 1 1 +2 7
9 Leganes 4 2 0 2 +0 6
10 Tenerife 5 2 0 3 -2 6
11 Malaga 4 2 0 2 -4 6
12 Las Palmas 4 1 2 1 +0 5
13 Alcorcon 5 1 2 2 +0 5
14 Logrones 4 1 1 2 -1 4
15 Cartagena 4 1 1 2 -2 4
16 Almeria 3 1 0 2 +0 3
17 Oviedo 4 0 3 1 -2 3
18 Lugo 4 1 0 3 -4 3
19 Zaragoza 2 0 2 0 +0 2
20 Albacete 4 0 1 3 -6 1
21 Girona 2 0 0 2 -3 0
22 Sabadell 4 0 0 4 -5 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
3,05
U
2,91
B ✓
2,48
Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
O2,5
2,48
U2,5 ✓
1,51
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.