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LaLiga2

Vallecano

T T S U S

1–0

Full-time

Lugo

U T T U T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Vallecano Lugo

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 17%

33%

Points per game

1,3

0,3

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

33%

67%

Both score Ø 59%

50%

67%

Average goals

2,2

2,7

Scored

1,2

0,7

Conceded

1,0

2,0

Goal diff per game

+0,2

-1,3

This season — LaLiga2 · 21/22 matches

Win Ø 24%

29%

18%

Points per game

1,3

1,0

Over 2.5 Ø 42%

43%

41%

Both score Ø 65%

71%

59%

Average goals

2,6

2,5

Scored

1,4

1,0

Conceded

1,2

1,5

Goal diff per game

+0,2

-0,5

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

11 Shots 4

5 Shots on target 2

5 Corners 1

16 Free kicks against 11

4 Yellow cards 3

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Vallecano 13. · Lugo 20. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Cadiz	22	13	5	4	+12	44
2	Almeria	22	10	9	3	+17	39
3	Zaragoza	23	11	6	6	+10	39
4	Huesca	23	12	3	8	+8	39
5	Fuenlabrada	23	9	9	5	+5	36
6	Numancia	23	8	9	6	+4	33
7	Las Palmas	23	9	6	8	+1	33
8	Elche	23	8	8	7	+3	32
9	Mirandes	22	8	8	6	-1	32
10	Ponferradina	23	7	10	6	+4	31
11	Girona	22	9	4	9	+0	31
12	Alcorcon	23	6	11	6	-1	29
13	Vallecano	21	6	10	5	+4	28
14	Sp Gijon	23	7	7	9	-2	28
15	Albacete	22	8	4	10	-9	28
16	Malaga	23	5	11	7	-1	26
17	Oviedo	22	5	8	9	-6	23
18	Tenerife	23	5	7	11	-5	22
19	Extremadura UD	22	5	7	10	-9	22
20	Lugo	22	4	10	8	-12	22
21	Santander	22	2	13	7	-5	19
22	La Coruna	22	3	9	10	-17	18

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Huesca	12	9	1	2	+11	28
2	Cadiz	10	7	2	1	+9	23
3	Girona	11	7	2	2	+6	23
4	Zaragoza	12	6	3	3	+8	21
5	Ponferradina	12	5	6	1	+8	21
6	Mirandes	12	5	6	1	+6	21
7	Numancia	12	6	3	3	+6	21
8	Almeria	10	6	2	2	+9	20
9	Fuenlabrada	11	5	5	1	+5	20
10	Sp Gijon	12	5	3	4	+4	18
11	Las Palmas	12	5	3	4	+2	18
12	Vallecano	10	4	4	2	+3	16
13	Malaga	11	3	6	2	+2	15
14	Elche	11	3	5	3	+1	14
15	Oviedo	11	2	7	2	-1	13
16	Lugo	12	3	4	5	-8	13
17	Santander	11	2	6	3	+2	12
18	Albacete	11	3	3	5	-5	12
19	Alcorcon	12	3	3	6	-6	12
20	Tenerife	11	2	5	4	-2	11
21	Extremadura UD	11	2	4	5	-4	10
22	La Coruna	10	2	4	4	-5	10

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Cadiz	12	6	3	3	+3	21
2	Almeria	12	4	7	1	+8	19
3	Zaragoza	11	5	3	3	+2	18
4	Elche	12	5	3	4	+2	18
5	Alcorcon	11	3	8	0	+5	17
6	Fuenlabrada	12	4	4	4	+0	16
7	Albacete	11	5	1	5	-4	16
8	Las Palmas	11	4	3	4	-1	15
9	Vallecano	11	2	6	3	+1	12
10	Numancia	11	2	6	3	-2	12
11	Extremadura UD	11	3	3	5	-5	12
12	Tenerife	12	3	2	7	-3	11
13	Huesca	11	3	2	6	-3	11
14	Malaga	12	2	5	5	-3	11
15	Mirandes	10	3	2	5	-7	11
16	Ponferradina	11	2	4	5	-4	10
17	Oviedo	11	3	1	7	-5	10
18	Sp Gijon	11	2	4	5	-6	10
19	Lugo	10	1	6	3	-4	9
20	Girona	11	2	2	7	-6	8
21	La Coruna	12	1	5	6	-12	8
22	Santander	11	0	7	4	-7	7

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.