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LaLiga2
2–1
Full-time
Lugo
S S T S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Cartagena Lugo
Last 6 — all competitions · 3/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
0%
50%
Points per game
0,3
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
33%
67%
Both score Ø 50%
33%
67%
Average goals
1,7
2,8
Scored
0,3
1,3
Conceded
1,3
1,5
Goal diff per game
-1,0
-0,2
This season — LaLiga2 · 3/3 matches
Win Ø 17%
0%
33%
Points per game
0,3
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 33%
33%
33%
Both score Ø 33%
33%
33%
Average goals
1,7
2,3
Scored
0,3
0,7
Conceded
1,3
1,7
Goal diff per game
-1,0
-1,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

11 Shots 11
6 Shots on target 5
3 Corners 8
18 Free kicks against 12
3 Yellow cards 5
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Cartagena 19. · Lugo 16.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Sp Gijon 4 4 0 0 +5 12
2 Espanol 4 3 1 0 +6 10
3 Fuenlabrada 4 3 1 0 +4 10
4 Ponferradina 4 3 0 1 +5 9
5 Vallecano 4 3 0 1 +3 9
6 Castellon 4 2 1 1 +2 7
7 Mallorca 4 2 1 1 +2 7
8 Leganes 4 2 0 2 +0 6
9 Malaga 4 2 0 2 -4 6
10 Alcorcon 4 1 2 1 +1 5
11 Las Palmas 4 1 2 1 +0 5
12 Mirandes 4 1 2 1 +0 5
13 Almeria 2 1 0 1 +1 3
14 Oviedo 4 0 3 1 -2 3
15 Tenerife 4 1 0 3 -3 3
16 Lugo 3 1 0 2 -3 3
17 Zaragoza 2 0 2 0 +0 2
18 Logrones 3 0 1 2 -2 1
19 Cartagena 3 0 1 2 -3 1
20 Albacete 4 0 1 3 -6 1
21 Sabadell 3 0 0 3 -3 0
22 Girona 2 0 0 2 -3 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
2,63
U
2,91
B
2,85
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
2,60
U2,5
1,47
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.