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Serie B

Referee: M Piccinini

Mantova

T U T S U

0–0

Full-time

Modena

T U T S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Mantova Modena

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 17%

17%

Points per game

1,0

Over 2.5 Ø 25%

17%

33%

Both score Ø 42%

33%

50%

Average goals

1,5

2,5

Scored

0,7

1,2

Conceded

0,8

1,3

Goal diff per game

-0,2

This season — Serie B · 14/14 matches

Win Ø 25%

29%

21%

Points per game

1,2

1,1

Over 2.5 Ø 43%

29%

57%

Both score Ø 54%

43%

64%

Average goals

2,2

2,8

Scored

1,0

1,4

Conceded

1,2

1,4

Goal diff per game

-0,2

-0,1

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

63% Possession 37%

18 Shots 10

4 Shots on target 4

4 Blocked shots 2

4 Goalkeeper saves 2

6 Corners 5

1 Offside 2

16 Free kicks against 16

4 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 1

The table before the match Mantova 13. · Modena 15. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Sassuolo	15	10	4	1	+19	34
2	Spezia	14	8	6	0	+14	30
3	Pisa	14	8	4	2	+10	28
4	Cremonese	15	7	3	5	+6	24
5	Cesena	14	6	4	4	+4	22
6	Bari	15	4	9	2	+5	21
7	Cosenza	14	4	7	3	+0	19
8	Brescia	15	5	4	6	-2	19
9	Juve Stabia	15	4	7	4	-3	19
10	Palermo	14	4	6	4	+2	18
11	Catanzaro	15	2	11	2	+2	17
12	Sampdoria	15	4	5	6	-2	17
13	Mantova	14	4	5	5	-3	17
14	Carrarese	14	4	4	6	-3	16
15	Modena	14	3	6	5	-1	15
16	Reggiana	15	3	6	6	-4	15
17	Cittadella	15	3	5	7	-11	14
18	Salernitana	14	3	4	7	-9	13
19	Sudtirol	15	4	1	10	-13	13
20	Frosinone	14	1	7	6	-11	10

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Spezia	7	6	1	0	+9	19
2	Pisa	7	5	2	0	+9	17
3	Cesena	8	5	2	1	+6	17
4	Sassuolo	7	5	1	1	+10	16
5	Mantova	6	4	2	0	+4	14
6	Carrarese	7	3	3	1	+4	12
7	Catanzaro	8	2	5	1	+4	11
8	Modena	7	3	2	2	+3	11
9	Brescia	8	3	2	3	+1	11
10	Bari	8	2	5	1	+1	11
11	Cremonese	7	3	2	2	+0	11
12	Cosenza	8	2	4	2	-1	10
13	Reggiana	8	2	3	3	-1	9
14	Sampdoria	7	2	2	3	-1	8
15	Salernitana	7	2	2	3	-3	8
16	Juve Stabia	7	2	2	3	-3	8
17	Sudtirol	8	2	1	5	-7	7
18	Palermo	6	1	3	2	+0	6
19	Cittadella	7	0	5	2	-3	5
20	Frosinone	7	0	5	2	-4	5

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Sassuolo	8	5	3	0	+9	18
2	Cremonese	8	4	1	3	+6	13
3	Palermo	8	3	3	2	+2	12
4	Spezia	7	2	5	0	+5	11
5	Pisa	7	3	2	2	+1	11
6	Juve Stabia	8	2	5	1	+0	11
7	Bari	7	2	4	1	+4	10
8	Cosenza	6	2	3	1	+1	9
9	Sampdoria	8	2	3	3	-1	9
10	Cittadella	8	3	0	5	-8	9
11	Brescia	7	2	2	3	-3	8
12	Catanzaro	7	0	6	1	-2	6
13	Reggiana	7	1	3	3	-3	6
14	Sudtirol	7	2	0	5	-6	6
15	Cesena	6	1	2	3	-2	5
16	Salernitana	7	1	2	4	-6	5
17	Frosinone	7	1	2	4	-7	5
18	Modena	7	0	4	3	-4	4
19	Carrarese	7	1	1	5	-7	4
20	Mantova	8	0	3	5	-7	3

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.