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Süper Lig

Referee: B Pakkan

Alanyaspor

T T T U U

2–1

Full-time

Trabzonspor

S T T T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Alanyaspor Trabzonspor

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 25%

17%

33%

Points per game

0,8

1,2

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

33%

67%

Both score Ø 59%

50%

67%

Average goals

1,7

3,3

Scored

0,7

1,8

Conceded

1,0

1,5

Goal diff per game

-0,3

+0,3

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Süper Lig · 12/12 matches

Win Ø 21%

17%

25%

Points per game

0,9

1,3

Over 2.5 Ø 42%

33%

50%

Both score Ø 54%

50%

58%

Average goals

2,1

2,6

Scored

0,8

1,4

Conceded

1,3

1,2

Goal diff per game

-0,4

+0,3

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

1,41 xG 1,45

48% Possession 52%

12 Shots 16

4 Shots on target 3

3 Blocked shots 6

2 Goalkeeper saves 2

5 Corners 10

4 Offside 3

15 Free kicks against 15

5 Yellow cards 3

1 Red cards 0

The table before the match Alanyaspor 16. · Trabzonspor 12. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Galatasaray	12	11	1	0	+22	+11.2	34
2	Fenerbahce	12	9	2	1	+22	+16.7	29
3	Samsunspor	14	9	2	3	+15	+8.8	29
4	Eyüpspor	13	6	4	3	+6	+0.4	22
5	Goztep	12	6	3	3	+8	+4.2	21
6	Besiktas	12	6	3	3	+7	+6.5	21
7	Sivasspor	14	5	3	6	-4	-10.3	18
8	Konyaspor	14	5	3	6	-5	-4.1	18
9	Antalyaspor	13	5	2	6	-8	-8.1	17
10	Buyuksehyr	12	4	4	4	+0	+1.1	16
11	Rizespor	12	5	1	6	-8	-0.8	16
12	Trabzonspor	12	3	6	3	+3	-0.4	15
13	Gaziantep	12	4	3	5	+0	-2.4	15
14	Kasimpasa	13	3	6	4	-3	+0.9	15
15	Kayserispor	12	2	6	4	-9	-6.3	12
16	Alanyaspor	12	2	5	5	-5	+1.0	11
17	Bodrumspor	14	3	2	9	-11	-6.9	11
18	Hatayspor	12	1	4	7	-8	-4.9	7
19	Ad. Demirspor	13	0	2	11	-22	-6.5	2

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Galatasaray	7	6	1	0	+11	+9.2	19
2	Goztep	6	5	1	0	+9	+2.9	16
3	Samsunspor	8	4	2	2	+6	+6.2	14
4	Eyüpspor	6	4	1	1	+6	+1.3	13
5	Antalyaspor	7	4	1	2	-1	-2.7	13
6	Fenerbahce	5	4	0	1	+8	+8.5	12
7	Besiktas	6	4	0	2	+3	+4.9	12
8	Trabzonspor	6	3	2	1	+6	+1.8	11
9	Gaziantep	6	3	2	1	+5	+0.5	11
10	Sivasspor	7	3	2	2	+1	-3.8	11
11	Buyuksehyr	5	2	3	0	+5	+2.1	9
12	Konyaspor	6	2	3	1	+1	+0.4	9
13	Bodrumspor	7	2	1	4	+0	-2.0	7
14	Rizespor	6	2	1	3	-4	-0.2	7
15	Alanyaspor	6	1	3	2	-1	+1.2	6
16	Hatayspor	6	1	2	3	-3	-1.3	5
17	Kasimpasa	7	0	3	4	-7	+0.1	3
18	Kayserispor	6	0	3	3	-8	-4.0	3
19	Ad. Demirspor	7	0	0	7	-13	-1.4	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Fenerbahce	7	5	2	0	+14	+8.2	17
2	Galatasaray	5	5	0	0	+11	+2.0	15
3	Samsunspor	6	5	0	1	+9	+2.6	15
4	Kasimpasa	6	3	3	0	+4	+0.8	12
5	Besiktas	6	2	3	1	+4	+1.6	9
6	Eyüpspor	7	2	3	2	+0	-1.0	9
7	Kayserispor	6	2	3	1	-1	-2.3	9
8	Rizespor	6	3	0	3	-4	-0.6	9
9	Konyaspor	8	3	0	5	-6	-4.6	9
10	Sivasspor	7	2	1	4	-5	-6.4	7
11	Buyuksehyr	7	2	1	4	-5	-1.0	7
12	Goztep	6	1	2	3	-1	+1.3	5
13	Alanyaspor	6	1	2	3	-4	-0.2	5
14	Trabzonspor	6	0	4	2	-3	-2.2	4
15	Gaziantep	6	1	1	4	-5	-3.0	4
16	Antalyaspor	6	1	1	4	-7	-5.3	4
17	Bodrumspor	7	1	1	5	-11	-5.0	4
18	Hatayspor	6	0	2	4	-5	-3.6	2
19	Ad. Demirspor	6	0	2	4	-9	-5.1	2

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.