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Serie B
Referee: G Collu
Cosenza
U U S U S
1–1
Full-time
Modena
U T U T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Cosenza Modena
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
33%
17%
Points per game
1,5
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 34%
17%
50%
Both score Ø 50%
50%
50%
Average goals
2,0
2,8
Scored
1,0
1,3
Conceded
1,0
1,5
Goal diff per game
+0,0
-0,2
This season — Serie B · 13/13 matches
Win Ø 27%
31%
23%
Points per game
1,4
1,1
Over 2.5 Ø 43%
23%
62%
Both score Ø 58%
54%
62%
Average goals
2,0
2,8
Scored
1,0
1,4
Conceded
1,0
1,5
Goal diff per game
+0,0
-0,1
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

73% Possession 27%
26 Shots 8
5 Shots on target 3
10 Blocked shots 1
2 Goalkeeper saves 4
10 Corners 1
0 Offside 2
10 Free kicks against 10
2 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 1
The table before the match Cosenza 6. · Modena 14.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Sassuolo 13 8 4 1 +13 28
2 Pisa 13 8 4 1 +11 28
3 Spezia 13 7 6 0 +11 27
4 Cesena 13 6 3 4 +4 21
5 Cremonese 13 5 3 5 +1 18
6 Cosenza 13 4 6 3 +0 18
7 Bari 13 3 8 2 +4 17
8 Palermo 13 4 5 4 +2 17
9 Brescia 13 5 2 6 -2 17
10 Juve Stabia 13 4 5 4 -3 17
11 Mantova 13 4 4 5 -3 16
12 Catanzaro 13 2 9 2 +2 15
13 Sampdoria 13 4 3 6 -2 15
14 Modena 13 3 5 5 -1 14
15 Reggiana 13 3 5 5 -2 14
16 Carrarese 13 3 4 6 -4 13
17 Salernitana 13 3 4 6 -5 13
18 Sudtirol 13 4 1 8 -6 13
19 Cittadella 13 3 4 6 -10 13
20 Frosinone 13 1 7 5 -10 10

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Cosenza Modena
22′
M. Cotali 0–1
G. Defrel
Aldo Florenzi 🟨
25′
Half-time 0–1
R. Ciervo 🔁
↦ G. Ricci
46′
A. Rizzo Pinna 🔁
↦ L. Strizzolo
46′
59′
🟥 Grégoire Defrel
Alessandro Micai 🟨
61′
T. Fumagalli 🔁
↦ Charlys
63′
63′
🔁 Pedro Mendes
↦ G. Caso
66′
🟨 Simone Santoro
74′
🔁 G. Zaro
↦ A. Di Pardo
74′
🔁 L. Magnino
↦ A. Palumbo
74′
🔁 R. Idrissi
↦ M. Cotali
M. Sankoh 🔁
↦ M. Ricciardi
77′
1–1 S. Mazzocchi
A. Rizzo Pinna
80′
85′
🔁 T. Battistella
↦ F. Gerli
93′
🟨 Thomas Battistella
Full-time 1–1

Line-ups

Cosenza

3-4-2-1
1 A. Micai G
4 P. Martino D
15 C. Dalle Mura D
17 A. Caporale D
16 M. Ricciardi M
28 C. Kouan M
6 Charlys M
31 G. Ricci M
34 A. Florenzi F
30 S. Mazzocchi F
32 L. Strizzolo F
Bench (12)
19 R. Ciervo
20 A. Rizzo Pinna
10 T. Fumagalli
9 M. Sankoh
2 B. Cimino
11 T. D'Orazio
29 F. Sgarbi
22 T. Vettorel
55 A. Hristov
39 C. Kourfalidis
24 J. Mauri
5 M. Camporese

Coach: M. Alvini

Modena

3-4-3
26 R. Gagno G
25 A. Dellavalle D
23 M. Caldara D
33 C. Cauz D
18 A. Di Pardo M
8 S. Santoro M
16 F. Gerli M
29 M. Cotali M
10 A. Palumbo F
92 G. Defrel F
20 G. Caso F
Bench (12)
11 Pedro Mendes
19 G. Zaro
6 L. Magnino
27 R. Idrissi
5 T. Battistella
90 F. Abiuso
2 G. Beyuku
9 E. Gliozzi
1 J. Sassi
21 K. Bozhanaj
3 F. Ponsi
7 E. Duca

Coach: P. Mandelli

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,85
U ✓
2,93
B
2,69
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5
2,38
U2,5 ✓
1,56
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

G Collu · 40 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,5 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
26,9 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,20 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.