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LaLiga2
Referee: Salvador Lax
Cadiz
S T U S U
2–4
Full-time
La Coruna
T S S T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Cadiz La Coruna
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
50%
33%
Points per game
1,8
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
33%
67%
Both score Ø 50%
17%
83%
Average goals
2,2
3,0
Scored
1,5
1,7
Conceded
0,7
1,3
Goal diff per game
+0,8
+0,3
This season — LaLiga2 · 16/16 matches
Win Ø 25%
25%
25%
Points per game
1,1
1,1
Over 2.5 Ø 44%
50%
38%
Both score Ø 53%
50%
56%
Average goals
2,5
2,4
Scored
1,1
1,2
Conceded
1,4
1,2
Goal diff per game
-0,3
+0,0
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

53% Possession 47%
11 Shots 13
5 Shots on target 6
3 Blocked shots 2
3 Goalkeeper saves 3
5 Corners 3
5 Offside 3
21 Free kicks against 9
5 Yellow cards 4
0 Red cards 1
The table before the match Cadiz 16. · La Coruna 18.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Santander 16 11 4 1 +13 37
2 Almeria 17 9 4 4 +7 31
3 Mirandes 16 8 4 4 +5 28
4 Sp Gijon 16 7 5 4 +7 26
5 Levante 15 7 5 3 +6 26
6 Granada 17 7 5 5 +4 26
7 Oviedo 17 7 5 5 -2 26
8 Elche 16 7 4 5 +7 25
9 Zaragoza 17 7 4 6 +6 25
10 Huesca 17 6 5 6 +6 23
11 Albacete 17 6 5 6 -2 23
12 Castellon 16 6 4 6 +2 22
13 Malaga 16 4 10 2 -1 22
14 Eibar 16 6 3 7 -2 21
15 Eldense 16 5 3 8 -4 18
16 Cadiz 16 4 6 6 -4 18
17 Burgos 16 5 3 8 -7 18
18 La Coruna 16 4 5 7 +0 17
19 Cordoba 16 4 5 7 -8 17
20 Ferrol 16 2 8 6 -8 14
21 Tenerife 15 2 4 9 -10 10
22 Cartagena 16 3 1 12 -15 10

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Cadiz La Coruna
3′
🟨 David Mella
35′
B. Kovačević 1–0
own goal
2–0 Álex Fernández
Iván Alejo
40′
Half-time 2–0
Víctor Chust 🟨
53′
57′
Lucas Pérez 2–1
Mario Soriano
Rubén Sobrino 🟨
59′
63′
🟨 Helton Leite
Álex Fernández 🟨
66′
3–1 Álex Fernández
66′
Chris Ramos 🔁
↦ Roger
67′
Rubén Alcaraz 🔁
↦ Rubén Sobrino
67′
Óscar Melendo 🔁
↦ Álex Fernández
67′
Rubén Alcaraz 🟨
72′
73′
ℹ️ Pablo Vázquez
VAR: Penalty cancelled
José de la Rosa 🔁
↦ Iván Alejo
77′
Cristian Glauder 🔁
↦ Rubén Alcaraz
77′
77′
🔁 Diego Villares
↦ O. Mfulu
78′
🟨 David Mella
78′
🟥 David Mella
81′
Lucas Pérez 3–2
Barbero
Cristian Glauder 🟨
82′
83′
🔁 Rafael Obrador
↦ Sergio Escudero
84′
🔁 Davo
↦ Mario Soriano
84′
🔁 Jaime Sánchez
↦ Barbero
84′
Lucas Pérez 3–3
88′
🔁 Álex Petxa
↦ Yeremay Hernández
101′
🟨 Lucas Pérez
Full-time 3–3

Line-ups

Cadiz

4-4-2
1 David Gil G
11 Iván Alejo D
14 B. Kovačević D
5 Víctor Chust D
18 José Matos D
7 Rubén Sobrino M
8 Álex Fernández M
6 Fede San Emeterio M
10 B. Ocampo M
9 Roger F
23 Carlos Fernández F
Bench (11)
16 Chris Ramos
4 Rubén Alcaraz
25 Óscar Melendo
19 José de la Rosa
24 Cristian Glauder
26 Victor Aznar
15 F. Mwepu
13 José Antonio Caro
3 Fali
33 Julio Cabrera
28 Álvaro Bastida

Coach: Paco López

La Coruna

4-4-2
25 Helton Leite G
23 Ximo Navarro D
15 Pablo Vázquez D
4 P. Martínez D
18 Sergio Escudero D
17 David Mella M
12 O. Mfulu M
21 Mario Soriano M
10 Yeremay Hernández M
9 Barbero F
7 Lucas Pérez F
Bench (12)
8 Diego Villares
33 Rafael Obrador
11 Davo
19 Jaime Sánchez
6 Álex Petxa
28 C. Patino
16 J. Gauto
37 Álex Alfaro
13 Eric Puerto
22 Hugo Rama
14 Cristian Herrera
1 Germán Parreño

Coach: Óscar Gilsanz

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,10
U
3,28
B ✓
3,47
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
2,03
U2,5
1,75
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Salvador Lax · 44 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,3 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
24,9 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,20 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.