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Coupe de France

Referee: M Lesage

Dinan Léhon

S S T U

1–4

Full-time

Guingamp

S S T S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Dinan Léhon Guingamp

Last 6 — all competitions · 4/6 matches

Win Ø 59%

50%

67%

Points per game

1,8

2,0

Over 2.5 Ø 59%

50%

67%

Both score Ø 34%

50%

17%

Average goals

2,8

Scored

1,5

2,2

Conceded

1,3

0,7

Goal diff per game

+0,3

+1,5

This season — Coupe de France · 1/1 matches

Win Ø 50%

100%

Points per game

1,0

3,0

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

100%

Both score Ø 50%

100%

Average goals

2,0

5,0

Scored

1,0

5,0

Conceded

1,0

0,0

Goal diff per game

+0,0

+5,0

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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The table before the match Dinan Léhon 94. · Guingamp 32. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Caen	2	2	0	0	+10	6
2	Lorient	2	2	0	0	+7	6
3	Le Puy Foot	2	2	0	0	+6	6
4	Bastia	2	2	0	0	+6	6
5	Dijon	2	2	0	0	+4	6
6	Clermont	2	2	0	0	+4	6
7	ASS Still Mutzig	2	2	0	0	+4	6
8	Metz	2	2	0	0	+4	6
9	Valenciennes	2	2	0	0	+3	6
10	Troyes	2	2	0	0	+3	6
11	Red Star	2	1	1	0	+6	4
12	La Roche VF	2	1	1	0	+6	4
13	Annecy	2	1	1	0	+5	4
14	Bobigny	2	1	1	0	+4	4
15	Grenoble	2	1	1	0	+4	4
16	Jura Sud Foot	2	1	1	0	+4	4
17	Orleans	2	1	1	0	+3	4
18	Amiens	2	1	1	0	+3	4
19	Colmar	2	1	1	0	+3	4
20	St-Philbert Gd Lieu	2	1	1	0	+3	4
21	Stade Briochin	2	1	1	0	+3	4
22	Concarneau	2	1	1	0	+2	4
23	Pau FC	2	1	1	0	+2	4
24	Corte	2	1	1	0	+2	4
25	Dunkerque	2	1	1	0	+2	4
26	Chasselay MDA	2	1	1	0	+1	4
27	Quevilly Rouen	2	1	1	0	+1	4
28	Rumilly Vallières	2	1	1	0	+1	4
29	Saint-Malo	2	1	1	0	+1	4
30	Haguenau	2	1	1	0	+1	4
31	SA Mérignac	1	1	0	0	+6	3
32	Guingamp	1	1	0	0	+5	3
33	Feignies-Aulnoye	1	1	0	0	+5	3
34	Martigues	1	1	0	0	+5	3
35	Mâcon	1	1	0	0	+4	3
36	Bourgoin-Jallieu	1	1	0	0	+4	3
37	Union Saint-Jean	1	1	0	0	+4	3
38	Saint-Denis	1	1	0	0	+3	3
39	Boulogne	1	1	0	0	+3	3
40	Thionville Lusitanos	1	1	0	0	+3	3
41	Marmande	1	1	0	0	+3	3
42	Aubervilliers	2	1	0	1	+2	3
43	Olympique d'Alès	1	1	0	0	+2	3
44	Saint-Colomban Locminé	1	1	0	0	+2	3
45	RC Calais	1	1	0	0	+2	3
46	Sochaux	1	1	0	0	+2	3
47	Versailles	1	1	0	0	+2	3
48	Hauts Lyonnais	1	1	0	0	+2	3
49	Thaon	1	1	0	0	+2	3
50	Ginglin Cesson	1	1	0	0	+2	3
51	Cannes	1	1	0	0	+2	3
52	Bordeaux	1	1	0	0	+2	3
53	Aigles d'Or de Mana	1	1	0	0	+1	3
54	Gallia Lucciana	1	1	0	0	+1	3
55	Drancy	1	1	0	0	+1	3
56	Le Mans	1	1	0	0	+1	3
57	Les Herbiers	1	1	0	0	+1	3
58	RC Saint Joseph	1	1	0	0	+1	3
59	La Roche sur Yon	1	1	0	0	+1	3
60	Beauvais	1	1	0	0	+1	3
61	Espaly-Saint-Marcel	1	1	0	0	+1	3
62	Valence FC	1	1	0	0	+1	3
63	Olympique de Valence	1	1	0	0	+1	3
64	Beaumont Saint-Cyr	1	1	0	0	+1	3
65	Couzeix-Chaptelat	1	1	0	0	+1	3
66	Carnoux	1	1	0	0	+1	3
67	Neuilly sur Marne	2	1	0	1	+0	3
68	Nancy	2	1	0	1	+0	3
69	Istres	2	1	0	1	+0	3
70	Angoulême	2	1	0	1	+0	3
71	Cluses-Scionzier	2	1	0	1	+0	3
72	Calais Beau-Marais	2	1	0	1	-1	3
73	Chambéry	2	1	0	1	-1	3
74	Monnaie	2	1	0	1	-3	3
75	Bolbec	2	1	0	1	-5	3
76	Laval	2	0	2	0	+0	2
77	Hettange-Grande	1	0	1	0	+0	1
78	Lunéville	1	0	1	0	+0	1
79	Colomiers	1	0	1	0	+0	1
80	Vierzon FC	1	0	1	0	+0	1
81	Dragon	1	0	1	0	+0	1
82	Avranches	1	0	1	0	+0	1
83	Cesson	1	0	1	0	+0	1
84	TA Rennes	1	0	1	0	+0	1
85	Paris FC	1	0	1	0	+0	1
86	Villefranche	1	0	1	0	+0	1
87	Fleury 91	1	0	1	0	+0	1
88	Romorantin	1	0	1	0	+0	1
89	Biesheim	1	0	1	0	+0	1
90	Saint-Omer	1	0	1	0	+0	1
91	Noyelles sous Lens	1	0	1	0	+0	1
92	Linas-Montlhery	1	0	1	0	+0	1
93	Saint-Pierre Milizac	1	0	1	0	+0	1
94	Dinan Léhon	1	0	1	0	+0	1
95	Montagnarde	1	0	1	0	+0	1
96	Tours	1	0	1	0	+0	1
97	Saint-Lô Manche	1	0	1	0	+0	1
98	Dives-Cabourg	1	0	1	0	+0	1
99	Le Touquet	1	0	1	0	+0	1
100	Porto Portugais Amiens	1	0	1	0	+0	1
101	Brétigny Foot	1	0	1	0	+0	1
102	Vitré	1	0	1	0	+0	1
103	Stade Béthunois	1	0	1	0	+0	1
104	Étoile Maritime	1	0	1	0	+0	1
105	USSA Vertou	1	0	1	0	+0	1
106	Crépy-en-Valois	1	0	1	0	+0	1
107	Raon l'Etape	2	0	1	1	-1	1
108	Liancourt Clermont	2	0	1	1	-1	1
109	Diables Noirs	2	0	1	1	-2	1
110	Agde	2	0	1	1	-4	1
111	Roubaix	1	0	0	1	-1	0
112	Chaumont	1	0	0	1	-1	0
113	Etoile Matoury	1	0	0	1	-1	0
114	Rodez	1	0	0	1	-1	0
115	OCPAM	1	0	0	1	-1	0
116	Pays de Cassel	1	0	0	1	-1	0
117	Vannes	1	0	0	1	-1	0
118	Saint-Cyr Collonges	1	0	0	1	-1	0
119	Ajaccio	1	0	0	1	-1	0
120	Samaritaine	1	0	0	1	-1	0
121	Vendée Fontenay	1	0	0	1	-1	0
122	Saint-Brieuc	1	0	0	1	-1	0
123	Maladrerie	1	0	0	1	-1	0
124	Chantilly	1	0	0	1	-1	0
125	Jura Dolois	1	0	0	1	-1	0
126	Biars-Bretenoux	1	0	0	1	-1	0
127	Marboz	1	0	0	1	-1	0
128	Blenod	1	0	0	1	-1	0
129	Marignane	1	0	0	1	-1	0
130	Arles	1	0	0	1	-1	0
131	Illkirch Graffenstaden	1	0	0	1	-1	0
132	Mérignac-Arlac	1	0	0	1	-1	0
133	Sauveteurs Brivois	1	0	0	1	-1	0
134	Lempdes	1	0	0	1	-1	0
135	Stade Beaucairois	1	0	0	1	-2	0
136	Epinal	1	0	0	1	-2	0
137	Grandvillars	1	0	0	1	-2	0
138	Sablé	1	0	0	1	-2	0
139	Les Ulis	1	0	0	1	-2	0
140	Gueugnon	1	0	0	1	-2	0
141	Canet Roussillon	1	0	0	1	-2	0
142	Bayonne	1	0	0	1	-2	0
143	Foron	1	0	0	1	-2	0
144	AC Paris 15	1	0	0	1	-2	0
145	Anduzien	1	0	0	1	-2	0
146	Fief-Gesté	1	0	0	1	-2	0
147	Sarre Union	1	0	0	1	-2	0
148	Saumur	1	0	0	1	-2	0
149	Alençon	1	0	0	1	-2	0
150	Ruffiac Malestroit	1	0	0	1	-2	0
151	Arras	1	0	0	1	-2	0
152	Comtal	1	0	0	1	-2	0
153	Grau-du-Roi	1	0	0	1	-2	0
154	Bressuire	1	0	0	1	-2	0
155	Saint-Pierroise	1	0	0	1	-3	0
156	Jeunesse Evolution	1	0	0	1	-3	0
157	Niort	1	0	0	1	-3	0
158	Houilles	1	0	0	1	-3	0
159	Paimpol	1	0	0	1	-3	0
160	Thouars	1	0	0	1	-3	0
161	FCSR Obernai	1	0	0	1	-3	0
162	Feytiat	1	0	0	1	-3	0
163	Nousseviller	1	0	0	1	-3	0
164	Boulay	1	0	0	1	-3	0
165	Avenir Mourenxois	1	0	0	1	-3	0
166	C' Chartres	1	0	0	1	-4	0
167	Freyming	1	0	0	1	-4	0
168	Cannet Rocheville	1	0	0	1	-4	0
169	Guéreins Genouilleux	1	0	0	1	-4	0
170	St-Just St-Rambert	1	0	0	1	-4	0
171	Valdahon Vercel	1	0	0	1	-4	0
172	ETC Anstaing Chéreng	1	0	0	1	-4	0
173	Labourse	1	0	0	1	-4	0
174	Montferrand	1	0	0	1	-4	0
175	Vesoul	1	0	0	1	-5	0
176	Serquigny Nassandres	1	0	0	1	-5	0
177	Raismes	1	0	0	1	-5	0
178	Allobroges Asafia	1	0	0	1	-5	0
179	Haubourdin	1	0	0	1	-6	0
180	St-Philbert Réorthe JA	1	0	0	1	-6	0
181	Olympique Cazaux	1	0	0	1	-6	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	ASS Still Mutzig	2	2	0	0	+4	6
2	St-Philbert Gd Lieu	2	1	1	0	+3	4
3	Corte	2	1	1	0	+2	4
4	Rumilly Vallières	2	1	1	0	+1	4
5	Caen	1	1	0	0	+6	3
6	Olympique d'Alès	1	1	0	0	+2	3
7	Saint-Colomban Locminé	1	1	0	0	+2	3
8	Bastia	1	1	0	0	+2	3
9	Ginglin Cesson	1	1	0	0	+2	3
10	Valenciennes	1	1	0	0	+1	3
11	Aigles d'Or de Mana	1	1	0	0	+1	3
12	Gallia Lucciana	1	1	0	0	+1	3
13	Drancy	1	1	0	0	+1	3
14	Les Herbiers	1	1	0	0	+1	3
15	RC Saint Joseph	1	1	0	0	+1	3
16	Beauvais	1	1	0	0	+1	3
17	Espaly-Saint-Marcel	1	1	0	0	+1	3
18	Valence FC	1	1	0	0	+1	3
19	Olympique de Valence	1	1	0	0	+1	3
20	Beaumont Saint-Cyr	1	1	0	0	+1	3
21	Couzeix-Chaptelat	1	1	0	0	+1	3
22	Istres	2	1	0	1	+0	3
23	Angoulême	2	1	0	1	+0	3
24	Calais Beau-Marais	2	1	0	1	-1	3
25	Chambéry	2	1	0	1	-1	3
26	Hettange-Grande	1	0	1	0	+0	1
27	Laval	1	0	1	0	+0	1
28	Colomiers	1	0	1	0	+0	1
29	Dragon	1	0	1	0	+0	1
30	Cesson	1	0	1	0	+0	1
31	Bobigny	1	0	1	0	+0	1
32	Paris FC	1	0	1	0	+0	1
33	Grenoble	1	0	1	0	+0	1
34	Orleans	1	0	1	0	+0	1
35	Fleury 91	1	0	1	0	+0	1
36	Colmar	1	0	1	0	+0	1
37	Saint-Omer	1	0	1	0	+0	1
38	Saint-Pierre Milizac	1	0	1	0	+0	1
39	Montagnarde	1	0	1	0	+0	1
40	Saint-Lô Manche	1	0	1	0	+0	1
41	Le Touquet	1	0	1	0	+0	1
42	Vitré	1	0	1	0	+0	1
43	Jura Sud Foot	1	0	1	0	+0	1
44	Stade Béthunois	1	0	1	0	+0	1
45	Stade Briochin	1	0	1	0	+0	1
46	Étoile Maritime	1	0	1	0	+0	1
47	Crépy-en-Valois	1	0	1	0	+0	1
48	Raon l'Etape	2	0	1	1	-1	1
49	Liancourt Clermont	2	0	1	1	-1	1
50	Agde	2	0	1	1	-4	1
51	Roubaix	1	0	0	1	-1	0
52	Chaumont	1	0	0	1	-1	0
53	Vannes	1	0	0	1	-1	0
54	Vendée Fontenay	1	0	0	1	-1	0
55	Saint-Brieuc	1	0	0	1	-1	0
56	Maladrerie	1	0	0	1	-1	0
57	Marboz	1	0	0	1	-1	0
58	Cluses-Scionzier	1	0	0	1	-1	0
59	Blenod	1	0	0	1	-1	0
60	Lempdes	1	0	0	1	-1	0
61	Epinal	1	0	0	1	-2	0
62	Grandvillars	1	0	0	1	-2	0
63	Les Ulis	1	0	0	1	-2	0
64	Gueugnon	1	0	0	1	-2	0
65	Canet Roussillon	1	0	0	1	-2	0
66	Bayonne	1	0	0	1	-2	0
67	Foron	1	0	0	1	-2	0
68	Anduzien	1	0	0	1	-2	0
69	Fief-Gesté	1	0	0	1	-2	0
70	Aubervilliers	1	0	0	1	-2	0
71	Sarre Union	1	0	0	1	-2	0
72	Saumur	1	0	0	1	-2	0
73	Ruffiac Malestroit	1	0	0	1	-2	0
74	Arras	1	0	0	1	-2	0
75	Comtal	1	0	0	1	-2	0
76	Grau-du-Roi	1	0	0	1	-2	0
77	Bressuire	1	0	0	1	-2	0
78	Saint-Pierroise	1	0	0	1	-3	0
79	Niort	1	0	0	1	-3	0
80	Houilles	1	0	0	1	-3	0
81	Paimpol	1	0	0	1	-3	0
82	FCSR Obernai	1	0	0	1	-3	0
83	Feytiat	1	0	0	1	-3	0
84	Nousseviller	1	0	0	1	-3	0
85	Boulay	1	0	0	1	-3	0
86	Avenir Mourenxois	1	0	0	1	-3	0
87	C' Chartres	1	0	0	1	-4	0
88	Freyming	1	0	0	1	-4	0
89	Guéreins Genouilleux	1	0	0	1	-4	0
90	St-Just St-Rambert	1	0	0	1	-4	0
91	Valdahon Vercel	1	0	0	1	-4	0
92	ETC Anstaing Chéreng	1	0	0	1	-4	0
93	Labourse	1	0	0	1	-4	0
94	Montferrand	1	0	0	1	-4	0
95	Vesoul	1	0	0	1	-5	0
96	Serquigny Nassandres	1	0	0	1	-5	0
97	Raismes	1	0	0	1	-5	0
98	Monnaie	1	0	0	1	-5	0
99	Allobroges Asafia	1	0	0	1	-5	0
100	Haubourdin	1	0	0	1	-6	0
101	St-Philbert Réorthe JA	1	0	0	1	-6	0
102	Olympique Cazaux	1	0	0	1	-6	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Lorient	2	2	0	0	+7	6
2	Le Puy Foot	2	2	0	0	+6	6
3	Dijon	2	2	0	0	+4	6
4	Clermont	2	2	0	0	+4	6
5	Metz	2	2	0	0	+4	6
6	Troyes	2	2	0	0	+3	6
7	Red Star	2	1	1	0	+6	4
8	La Roche VF	2	1	1	0	+6	4
9	Annecy	2	1	1	0	+5	4
10	Amiens	2	1	1	0	+3	4
11	Concarneau	2	1	1	0	+2	4
12	Pau FC	2	1	1	0	+2	4
13	Dunkerque	2	1	1	0	+2	4
14	Chasselay MDA	2	1	1	0	+1	4
15	Quevilly Rouen	2	1	1	0	+1	4
16	Saint-Malo	2	1	1	0	+1	4
17	Haguenau	2	1	1	0	+1	4
18	SA Mérignac	1	1	0	0	+6	3
19	Guingamp	1	1	0	0	+5	3
20	Feignies-Aulnoye	1	1	0	0	+5	3
21	Martigues	1	1	0	0	+5	3
22	Caen	1	1	0	0	+4	3
23	Bastia	1	1	0	0	+4	3
24	Grenoble	1	1	0	0	+4	3
25	Mâcon	1	1	0	0	+4	3
26	Bourgoin-Jallieu	1	1	0	0	+4	3
27	Jura Sud Foot	1	1	0	0	+4	3
28	Aubervilliers	1	1	0	0	+4	3
29	Bobigny	1	1	0	0	+4	3
30	Union Saint-Jean	1	1	0	0	+4	3
31	Saint-Denis	1	1	0	0	+3	3
32	Orleans	1	1	0	0	+3	3
33	Boulogne	1	1	0	0	+3	3
34	Stade Briochin	1	1	0	0	+3	3
35	Colmar	1	1	0	0	+3	3
36	Thionville Lusitanos	1	1	0	0	+3	3
37	Marmande	1	1	0	0	+3	3
38	RC Calais	1	1	0	0	+2	3
39	Sochaux	1	1	0	0	+2	3
40	Versailles	1	1	0	0	+2	3
41	Hauts Lyonnais	1	1	0	0	+2	3
42	Monnaie	1	1	0	0	+2	3
43	Thaon	1	1	0	0	+2	3
44	Valenciennes	1	1	0	0	+2	3
45	Cannes	1	1	0	0	+2	3
46	Bordeaux	1	1	0	0	+2	3
47	Le Mans	1	1	0	0	+1	3
48	La Roche sur Yon	1	1	0	0	+1	3
49	Cluses-Scionzier	1	1	0	0	+1	3
50	Carnoux	1	1	0	0	+1	3
51	Neuilly sur Marne	2	1	0	1	+0	3
52	Nancy	2	1	0	1	+0	3
53	Bolbec	2	1	0	1	-5	3
54	Lunéville	1	0	1	0	+0	1
55	Vierzon FC	1	0	1	0	+0	1
56	Avranches	1	0	1	0	+0	1
57	TA Rennes	1	0	1	0	+0	1
58	Villefranche	1	0	1	0	+0	1
59	Romorantin	1	0	1	0	+0	1
60	Biesheim	1	0	1	0	+0	1
61	Noyelles sous Lens	1	0	1	0	+0	1
62	Linas-Montlhery	1	0	1	0	+0	1
63	Dinan Léhon	1	0	1	0	+0	1
64	Tours	1	0	1	0	+0	1
65	Dives-Cabourg	1	0	1	0	+0	1
66	Porto Portugais Amiens	1	0	1	0	+0	1
67	Brétigny Foot	1	0	1	0	+0	1
68	Laval	1	0	1	0	+0	1
69	USSA Vertou	1	0	1	0	+0	1
70	Diables Noirs	2	0	1	1	-2	1
71	Etoile Matoury	1	0	0	1	-1	0
72	Rodez	1	0	0	1	-1	0
73	OCPAM	1	0	0	1	-1	0
74	Pays de Cassel	1	0	0	1	-1	0
75	Saint-Cyr Collonges	1	0	0	1	-1	0
76	Ajaccio	1	0	0	1	-1	0
77	Samaritaine	1	0	0	1	-1	0
78	Chantilly	1	0	0	1	-1	0
79	Jura Dolois	1	0	0	1	-1	0
80	Biars-Bretenoux	1	0	0	1	-1	0
81	Marignane	1	0	0	1	-1	0
82	Arles	1	0	0	1	-1	0
83	Illkirch Graffenstaden	1	0	0	1	-1	0
84	Mérignac-Arlac	1	0	0	1	-1	0
85	Sauveteurs Brivois	1	0	0	1	-1	0
86	Stade Beaucairois	1	0	0	1	-2	0
87	Sablé	1	0	0	1	-2	0
88	AC Paris 15	1	0	0	1	-2	0
89	Alençon	1	0	0	1	-2	0
90	Jeunesse Evolution	1	0	0	1	-3	0
91	Thouars	1	0	0	1	-3	0
92	Cannet Rocheville	1	0	0	1	-4	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.