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Coupe de France

Referee: E Rosier

Valenciennes

S U S T S

4–3

Full-time

Neuilly sur Marne

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Valenciennes Neuilly sur Marne

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/1 matches

Win Ø 84%

67%

100%

Points per game

2,2

3,0

Over 2.5 Ø 67%

33%

100%

Both score Ø 67%

33%

100%

Average goals

2,2

9,0

Scored

1,3

5,0

Conceded

0,8

4,0

Goal diff per game

+0,5

+1,0

This season — Coupe de France · 1/1 matches

Win Ø 100%

100%

Points per game

3,0

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

100%

Both score Ø 50%

100%

Average goals

2,0

9,0

Scored

2,0

5,0

Conceded

0,0

4,0

Goal diff per game

+2,0

+1,0

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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The table before the match Valenciennes 46. · Neuilly sur Marne 50. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Caen	2	2	0	0	+10	6
2	Lorient	2	2	0	0	+7	6
3	Bastia	2	2	0	0	+6	6
4	Dijon	2	2	0	0	+4	6
5	Clermont	2	2	0	0	+4	6
6	ASS Still Mutzig	2	2	0	0	+4	6
7	Metz	2	2	0	0	+4	6
8	Red Star	2	1	1	0	+6	4
9	La Roche VF	2	1	1	0	+6	4
10	Bobigny	2	1	1	0	+4	4
11	Orleans	2	1	1	0	+3	4
12	Amiens	2	1	1	0	+3	4
13	St-Philbert Gd Lieu	2	1	1	0	+3	4
14	Stade Briochin	2	1	1	0	+3	4
15	Concarneau	2	1	1	0	+2	4
16	Pau FC	2	1	1	0	+2	4
17	Corte	2	1	1	0	+2	4
18	Dunkerque	2	1	1	0	+2	4
19	Quevilly Rouen	2	1	1	0	+1	4
20	Saint-Malo	2	1	1	0	+1	4
21	SA Mérignac	1	1	0	0	+6	3
22	Annecy	1	1	0	0	+5	3
23	Guingamp	1	1	0	0	+5	3
24	Feignies-Aulnoye	1	1	0	0	+5	3
25	Martigues	1	1	0	0	+5	3
26	Istres	1	1	0	0	+4	3
27	Mâcon	1	1	0	0	+4	3
28	Bourgoin-Jallieu	1	1	0	0	+4	3
29	Jura Sud Foot	1	1	0	0	+4	3
30	Union Saint-Jean	1	1	0	0	+4	3
31	Saint-Denis	1	1	0	0	+3	3
32	Boulogne	1	1	0	0	+3	3
33	Colmar	1	1	0	0	+3	3
34	Thionville Lusitanos	1	1	0	0	+3	3
35	Marmande	1	1	0	0	+3	3
36	Aubervilliers	2	1	0	1	+2	3
37	Olympique d'Alès	1	1	0	0	+2	3
38	Saint-Colomban Locminé	1	1	0	0	+2	3
39	RC Calais	1	1	0	0	+2	3
40	Sochaux	1	1	0	0	+2	3
41	Versailles	1	1	0	0	+2	3
42	Troyes	1	1	0	0	+2	3
43	Hauts Lyonnais	1	1	0	0	+2	3
44	Thaon	1	1	0	0	+2	3
45	Ginglin Cesson	1	1	0	0	+2	3
46	Valenciennes	1	1	0	0	+2	3
47	Le Puy Foot	1	1	0	0	+2	3
48	Cannes	1	1	0	0	+2	3
49	Bordeaux	1	1	0	0	+2	3
50	Neuilly sur Marne	1	1	0	0	+1	3
51	Chasselay MDA	1	1	0	0	+1	3
52	Aigles d'Or de Mana	1	1	0	0	+1	3
53	Gallia Lucciana	1	1	0	0	+1	3
54	Drancy	1	1	0	0	+1	3
55	Le Mans	1	1	0	0	+1	3
56	Les Herbiers	1	1	0	0	+1	3
57	RC Saint Joseph	1	1	0	0	+1	3
58	La Roche sur Yon	1	1	0	0	+1	3
59	Beauvais	1	1	0	0	+1	3
60	Rumilly Vallières	1	1	0	0	+1	3
61	Espaly-Saint-Marcel	1	1	0	0	+1	3
62	Cluses-Scionzier	1	1	0	0	+1	3
63	Haguenau	1	1	0	0	+1	3
64	Valence FC	1	1	0	0	+1	3
65	Olympique de Valence	1	1	0	0	+1	3
66	Beaumont Saint-Cyr	1	1	0	0	+1	3
67	Couzeix-Chaptelat	1	1	0	0	+1	3
68	Carnoux	1	1	0	0	+1	3
69	Nancy	2	1	0	1	+0	3
70	Angoulême	2	1	0	1	+0	3
71	Calais Beau-Marais	2	1	0	1	-1	3
72	Chambéry	2	1	0	1	-1	3
73	Monnaie	2	1	0	1	-3	3
74	Bolbec	2	1	0	1	-5	3
75	Laval	2	0	2	0	+0	2
76	Hettange-Grande	1	0	1	0	+0	1
77	Lunéville	1	0	1	0	+0	1
78	Colomiers	1	0	1	0	+0	1
79	Vierzon FC	1	0	1	0	+0	1
80	Dragon	1	0	1	0	+0	1
81	Avranches	1	0	1	0	+0	1
82	Cesson	1	0	1	0	+0	1
83	TA Rennes	1	0	1	0	+0	1
84	Paris FC	1	0	1	0	+0	1
85	Grenoble	1	0	1	0	+0	1
86	Villefranche	1	0	1	0	+0	1
87	Fleury 91	1	0	1	0	+0	1
88	Agde	1	0	1	0	+0	1
89	Romorantin	1	0	1	0	+0	1
90	Biesheim	1	0	1	0	+0	1
91	Saint-Omer	1	0	1	0	+0	1
92	Noyelles sous Lens	1	0	1	0	+0	1
93	Linas-Montlhery	1	0	1	0	+0	1
94	Saint-Pierre Milizac	1	0	1	0	+0	1
95	Dinan Léhon	1	0	1	0	+0	1
96	Montagnarde	1	0	1	0	+0	1
97	Tours	1	0	1	0	+0	1
98	Saint-Lô Manche	1	0	1	0	+0	1
99	Dives-Cabourg	1	0	1	0	+0	1
100	Le Touquet	1	0	1	0	+0	1
101	Porto Portugais Amiens	1	0	1	0	+0	1
102	Brétigny Foot	1	0	1	0	+0	1
103	Vitré	1	0	1	0	+0	1
104	Stade Béthunois	1	0	1	0	+0	1
105	Étoile Maritime	1	0	1	0	+0	1
106	USSA Vertou	1	0	1	0	+0	1
107	Crépy-en-Valois	1	0	1	0	+0	1
108	Raon l'Etape	2	0	1	1	-1	1
109	Liancourt Clermont	2	0	1	1	-1	1
110	Diables Noirs	2	0	1	1	-2	1
111	Roubaix	1	0	0	1	-1	0
112	Chaumont	1	0	0	1	-1	0
113	Etoile Matoury	1	0	0	1	-1	0
114	Rodez	1	0	0	1	-1	0
115	OCPAM	1	0	0	1	-1	0
116	Pays de Cassel	1	0	0	1	-1	0
117	Vannes	1	0	0	1	-1	0
118	Saint-Cyr Collonges	1	0	0	1	-1	0
119	Ajaccio	1	0	0	1	-1	0
120	Samaritaine	1	0	0	1	-1	0
121	Vendée Fontenay	1	0	0	1	-1	0
122	Saint-Brieuc	1	0	0	1	-1	0
123	Maladrerie	1	0	0	1	-1	0
124	Chantilly	1	0	0	1	-1	0
125	Jura Dolois	1	0	0	1	-1	0
126	Biars-Bretenoux	1	0	0	1	-1	0
127	Marboz	1	0	0	1	-1	0
128	Blenod	1	0	0	1	-1	0
129	Marignane	1	0	0	1	-1	0
130	Arles	1	0	0	1	-1	0
131	Illkirch Graffenstaden	1	0	0	1	-1	0
132	Mérignac-Arlac	1	0	0	1	-1	0
133	Sauveteurs Brivois	1	0	0	1	-1	0
134	Lempdes	1	0	0	1	-1	0
135	Stade Beaucairois	1	0	0	1	-2	0
136	Epinal	1	0	0	1	-2	0
137	Grandvillars	1	0	0	1	-2	0
138	Sablé	1	0	0	1	-2	0
139	Les Ulis	1	0	0	1	-2	0
140	Gueugnon	1	0	0	1	-2	0
141	Canet Roussillon	1	0	0	1	-2	0
142	Bayonne	1	0	0	1	-2	0
143	Foron	1	0	0	1	-2	0
144	AC Paris 15	1	0	0	1	-2	0
145	Anduzien	1	0	0	1	-2	0
146	Fief-Gesté	1	0	0	1	-2	0
147	Sarre Union	1	0	0	1	-2	0
148	Saumur	1	0	0	1	-2	0
149	Alençon	1	0	0	1	-2	0
150	Ruffiac Malestroit	1	0	0	1	-2	0
151	Arras	1	0	0	1	-2	0
152	Comtal	1	0	0	1	-2	0
153	Grau-du-Roi	1	0	0	1	-2	0
154	Bressuire	1	0	0	1	-2	0
155	Saint-Pierroise	1	0	0	1	-3	0
156	Jeunesse Evolution	1	0	0	1	-3	0
157	Niort	1	0	0	1	-3	0
158	Houilles	1	0	0	1	-3	0
159	Paimpol	1	0	0	1	-3	0
160	Thouars	1	0	0	1	-3	0
161	FCSR Obernai	1	0	0	1	-3	0
162	Feytiat	1	0	0	1	-3	0
163	Nousseviller	1	0	0	1	-3	0
164	Boulay	1	0	0	1	-3	0
165	Avenir Mourenxois	1	0	0	1	-3	0
166	C' Chartres	1	0	0	1	-4	0
167	Freyming	1	0	0	1	-4	0
168	Cannet Rocheville	1	0	0	1	-4	0
169	Guéreins Genouilleux	1	0	0	1	-4	0
170	St-Just St-Rambert	1	0	0	1	-4	0
171	Valdahon Vercel	1	0	0	1	-4	0
172	ETC Anstaing Chéreng	1	0	0	1	-4	0
173	Labourse	1	0	0	1	-4	0
174	Montferrand	1	0	0	1	-4	0
175	Vesoul	1	0	0	1	-5	0
176	Serquigny Nassandres	1	0	0	1	-5	0
177	Raismes	1	0	0	1	-5	0
178	Allobroges Asafia	1	0	0	1	-5	0
179	Haubourdin	1	0	0	1	-6	0
180	St-Philbert Réorthe JA	1	0	0	1	-6	0
181	Olympique Cazaux	1	0	0	1	-6	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	ASS Still Mutzig	2	2	0	0	+4	6
2	St-Philbert Gd Lieu	2	1	1	0	+3	4
3	Corte	2	1	1	0	+2	4
4	Caen	1	1	0	0	+6	3
5	Istres	1	1	0	0	+4	3
6	Olympique d'Alès	1	1	0	0	+2	3
7	Saint-Colomban Locminé	1	1	0	0	+2	3
8	Bastia	1	1	0	0	+2	3
9	Ginglin Cesson	1	1	0	0	+2	3
10	Aigles d'Or de Mana	1	1	0	0	+1	3
11	Gallia Lucciana	1	1	0	0	+1	3
12	Drancy	1	1	0	0	+1	3
13	Les Herbiers	1	1	0	0	+1	3
14	RC Saint Joseph	1	1	0	0	+1	3
15	Beauvais	1	1	0	0	+1	3
16	Rumilly Vallières	1	1	0	0	+1	3
17	Espaly-Saint-Marcel	1	1	0	0	+1	3
18	Valence FC	1	1	0	0	+1	3
19	Olympique de Valence	1	1	0	0	+1	3
20	Beaumont Saint-Cyr	1	1	0	0	+1	3
21	Couzeix-Chaptelat	1	1	0	0	+1	3
22	Angoulême	2	1	0	1	+0	3
23	Calais Beau-Marais	2	1	0	1	-1	3
24	Chambéry	2	1	0	1	-1	3
25	Hettange-Grande	1	0	1	0	+0	1
26	Laval	1	0	1	0	+0	1
27	Colomiers	1	0	1	0	+0	1
28	Dragon	1	0	1	0	+0	1
29	Cesson	1	0	1	0	+0	1
30	Bobigny	1	0	1	0	+0	1
31	Paris FC	1	0	1	0	+0	1
32	Grenoble	1	0	1	0	+0	1
33	Orleans	1	0	1	0	+0	1
34	Fleury 91	1	0	1	0	+0	1
35	Agde	1	0	1	0	+0	1
36	Saint-Omer	1	0	1	0	+0	1
37	Saint-Pierre Milizac	1	0	1	0	+0	1
38	Montagnarde	1	0	1	0	+0	1
39	Saint-Lô Manche	1	0	1	0	+0	1
40	Le Touquet	1	0	1	0	+0	1
41	Vitré	1	0	1	0	+0	1
42	Stade Béthunois	1	0	1	0	+0	1
43	Stade Briochin	1	0	1	0	+0	1
44	Étoile Maritime	1	0	1	0	+0	1
45	Crépy-en-Valois	1	0	1	0	+0	1
46	Raon l'Etape	2	0	1	1	-1	1
47	Liancourt Clermont	2	0	1	1	-1	1
48	Roubaix	1	0	0	1	-1	0
49	Chaumont	1	0	0	1	-1	0
50	Vannes	1	0	0	1	-1	0
51	Vendée Fontenay	1	0	0	1	-1	0
52	Saint-Brieuc	1	0	0	1	-1	0
53	Maladrerie	1	0	0	1	-1	0
54	Marboz	1	0	0	1	-1	0
55	Blenod	1	0	0	1	-1	0
56	Lempdes	1	0	0	1	-1	0
57	Epinal	1	0	0	1	-2	0
58	Grandvillars	1	0	0	1	-2	0
59	Les Ulis	1	0	0	1	-2	0
60	Gueugnon	1	0	0	1	-2	0
61	Canet Roussillon	1	0	0	1	-2	0
62	Bayonne	1	0	0	1	-2	0
63	Foron	1	0	0	1	-2	0
64	Anduzien	1	0	0	1	-2	0
65	Fief-Gesté	1	0	0	1	-2	0
66	Aubervilliers	1	0	0	1	-2	0
67	Sarre Union	1	0	0	1	-2	0
68	Saumur	1	0	0	1	-2	0
69	Ruffiac Malestroit	1	0	0	1	-2	0
70	Arras	1	0	0	1	-2	0
71	Comtal	1	0	0	1	-2	0
72	Grau-du-Roi	1	0	0	1	-2	0
73	Bressuire	1	0	0	1	-2	0
74	Saint-Pierroise	1	0	0	1	-3	0
75	Niort	1	0	0	1	-3	0
76	Houilles	1	0	0	1	-3	0
77	Paimpol	1	0	0	1	-3	0
78	FCSR Obernai	1	0	0	1	-3	0
79	Feytiat	1	0	0	1	-3	0
80	Nousseviller	1	0	0	1	-3	0
81	Boulay	1	0	0	1	-3	0
82	Avenir Mourenxois	1	0	0	1	-3	0
83	C' Chartres	1	0	0	1	-4	0
84	Freyming	1	0	0	1	-4	0
85	Guéreins Genouilleux	1	0	0	1	-4	0
86	St-Just St-Rambert	1	0	0	1	-4	0
87	Valdahon Vercel	1	0	0	1	-4	0
88	ETC Anstaing Chéreng	1	0	0	1	-4	0
89	Labourse	1	0	0	1	-4	0
90	Montferrand	1	0	0	1	-4	0
91	Vesoul	1	0	0	1	-5	0
92	Serquigny Nassandres	1	0	0	1	-5	0
93	Raismes	1	0	0	1	-5	0
94	Monnaie	1	0	0	1	-5	0
95	Allobroges Asafia	1	0	0	1	-5	0
96	Haubourdin	1	0	0	1	-6	0
97	St-Philbert Réorthe JA	1	0	0	1	-6	0
98	Olympique Cazaux	1	0	0	1	-6	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Lorient	2	2	0	0	+7	6
2	Dijon	2	2	0	0	+4	6
3	Clermont	2	2	0	0	+4	6
4	Metz	2	2	0	0	+4	6
5	Red Star	2	1	1	0	+6	4
6	La Roche VF	2	1	1	0	+6	4
7	Amiens	2	1	1	0	+3	4
8	Concarneau	2	1	1	0	+2	4
9	Pau FC	2	1	1	0	+2	4
10	Dunkerque	2	1	1	0	+2	4
11	Quevilly Rouen	2	1	1	0	+1	4
12	Saint-Malo	2	1	1	0	+1	4
13	SA Mérignac	1	1	0	0	+6	3
14	Annecy	1	1	0	0	+5	3
15	Guingamp	1	1	0	0	+5	3
16	Feignies-Aulnoye	1	1	0	0	+5	3
17	Martigues	1	1	0	0	+5	3
18	Caen	1	1	0	0	+4	3
19	Bastia	1	1	0	0	+4	3
20	Mâcon	1	1	0	0	+4	3
21	Bourgoin-Jallieu	1	1	0	0	+4	3
22	Jura Sud Foot	1	1	0	0	+4	3
23	Aubervilliers	1	1	0	0	+4	3
24	Bobigny	1	1	0	0	+4	3
25	Union Saint-Jean	1	1	0	0	+4	3
26	Saint-Denis	1	1	0	0	+3	3
27	Orleans	1	1	0	0	+3	3
28	Boulogne	1	1	0	0	+3	3
29	Stade Briochin	1	1	0	0	+3	3
30	Colmar	1	1	0	0	+3	3
31	Thionville Lusitanos	1	1	0	0	+3	3
32	Marmande	1	1	0	0	+3	3
33	RC Calais	1	1	0	0	+2	3
34	Sochaux	1	1	0	0	+2	3
35	Versailles	1	1	0	0	+2	3
36	Troyes	1	1	0	0	+2	3
37	Hauts Lyonnais	1	1	0	0	+2	3
38	Monnaie	1	1	0	0	+2	3
39	Thaon	1	1	0	0	+2	3
40	Valenciennes	1	1	0	0	+2	3
41	Le Puy Foot	1	1	0	0	+2	3
42	Cannes	1	1	0	0	+2	3
43	Bordeaux	1	1	0	0	+2	3
44	Neuilly sur Marne	1	1	0	0	+1	3
45	Chasselay MDA	1	1	0	0	+1	3
46	Le Mans	1	1	0	0	+1	3
47	La Roche sur Yon	1	1	0	0	+1	3
48	Cluses-Scionzier	1	1	0	0	+1	3
49	Haguenau	1	1	0	0	+1	3
50	Carnoux	1	1	0	0	+1	3
51	Nancy	2	1	0	1	+0	3
52	Bolbec	2	1	0	1	-5	3
53	Lunéville	1	0	1	0	+0	1
54	Vierzon FC	1	0	1	0	+0	1
55	Avranches	1	0	1	0	+0	1
56	TA Rennes	1	0	1	0	+0	1
57	Villefranche	1	0	1	0	+0	1
58	Romorantin	1	0	1	0	+0	1
59	Biesheim	1	0	1	0	+0	1
60	Noyelles sous Lens	1	0	1	0	+0	1
61	Linas-Montlhery	1	0	1	0	+0	1
62	Dinan Léhon	1	0	1	0	+0	1
63	Tours	1	0	1	0	+0	1
64	Dives-Cabourg	1	0	1	0	+0	1
65	Porto Portugais Amiens	1	0	1	0	+0	1
66	Brétigny Foot	1	0	1	0	+0	1
67	Laval	1	0	1	0	+0	1
68	USSA Vertou	1	0	1	0	+0	1
69	Diables Noirs	2	0	1	1	-2	1
70	Etoile Matoury	1	0	0	1	-1	0
71	Rodez	1	0	0	1	-1	0
72	OCPAM	1	0	0	1	-1	0
73	Pays de Cassel	1	0	0	1	-1	0
74	Saint-Cyr Collonges	1	0	0	1	-1	0
75	Ajaccio	1	0	0	1	-1	0
76	Samaritaine	1	0	0	1	-1	0
77	Chantilly	1	0	0	1	-1	0
78	Jura Dolois	1	0	0	1	-1	0
79	Biars-Bretenoux	1	0	0	1	-1	0
80	Marignane	1	0	0	1	-1	0
81	Arles	1	0	0	1	-1	0
82	Illkirch Graffenstaden	1	0	0	1	-1	0
83	Mérignac-Arlac	1	0	0	1	-1	0
84	Sauveteurs Brivois	1	0	0	1	-1	0
85	Stade Beaucairois	1	0	0	1	-2	0
86	Sablé	1	0	0	1	-2	0
87	AC Paris 15	1	0	0	1	-2	0
88	Alençon	1	0	0	1	-2	0
89	Jeunesse Evolution	1	0	0	1	-3	0
90	Thouars	1	0	0	1	-3	0
91	Cannet Rocheville	1	0	0	1	-4	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.