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Bundesliga
Referee: W Altmann
Altach
T U T T T
1–1
Full-time
Sturm Graz
U T S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Altach Sturm Graz
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 34%
0%
67%
Points per game
0,2
2,2
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
50%
50%
Both score Ø 50%
50%
50%
Average goals
2,3
2,8
Scored
0,7
2,2
Conceded
1,7
0,7
Goal diff per game
-1,0
+1,5
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Bundesliga · 14/14 matches
Win Ø 43%
14%
71%
Points per game
0,6
2,3
Over 2.5 Ø 57%
43%
71%
Both score Ø 57%
57%
57%
Average goals
2,3
3,6
Scored
0,9
2,6
Conceded
1,4
1,1
Goal diff per game
-0,6
+1,5
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

39% Possession 61%
6 Shots 17
2 Shots on target 6
1 Blocked shots 4
4 Goalkeeper saves 1
2 Corners 7
1 Offside 0
14 Free kicks against 15
2 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Altach 12. · Sturm Graz 1.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Sturm Graz 14 10 2 2 +21 32
2 Austria Vienna 14 8 3 3 +7 27
3 SK Rapid 14 7 6 1 +6 27
4 Wolfsberger AC 14 6 2 6 +6 20
5 LASK 14 6 2 6 +1 20
6 Salzburg 12 5 3 4 +0 18
7 BW Linz 14 5 2 7 -3 17
8 Hartberg 13 4 4 5 -1 16
9 A. Klagenfurt 13 4 3 6 -14 15
10 Tirol 14 3 4 7 -7 13
11 Grazer AK 14 2 6 6 -8 12
12 Altach 14 2 3 9 -8 9

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Altach Sturm Graz
Sandro Ingolitsch 🟨
20′
Half-time 0–1
46′
M. Biereth 0–1
Dijon Kameri 🟨
62′
M. Bähre 🔁
↦ V. Demaku
66′
C. Gebauer 🔁
↦ L. Kronberger
66′
73′
🔁 W. Bøving
↦ S. Jatta
Lincoln 🔁
↦ O. Strunz
74′
L. Jäger 🔁
↦ D. Kaïba
74′
74′
🔁 J. Gorenc Stankovič
↦ T. Horvat
82′
🔁 E. Yardımcı
↦ M. Biereth
L. Gugganig 🔁
↦ D. Kameri
87′
1–1 L. Gugganig
L. Lukačević
88′
91′
🔁 L. Grgić
↦ M. Yalcouyé
93′
🟨 Emanuel Aiwu
Full-time 1–1

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
U ✓
B
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

W Altmann · 102 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,1 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
25,6 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,18 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.