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Serie B
Referee: F Cosso
Cittadella
T U S T T
2–2
Full-time
Juve Stabia
U U U T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Cittadella Juve Stabia
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 9%
17%
0%
Points per game
0,8
0,7
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
33%
50%
Both score Ø 34%
17%
50%
Average goals
1,8
2,0
Scored
0,5
0,7
Conceded
1,3
1,3
Goal diff per game
-0,8
-0,7
This season — Serie B · 14/14 matches
Win Ø 25%
21%
29%
Points per game
0,9
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 43%
36%
50%
Both score Ø 40%
36%
43%
Average goals
2,1
2,1
Scored
0,6
0,9
Conceded
1,4
1,1
Goal diff per game
-0,8
-0,2
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–2

50% Possession 50%
15 Shots 7
7 Shots on target 4
4 Blocked shots 1
2 Goalkeeper saves 5
5 Corners 3
2 Offside 1
22 Free kicks against 22
4 Yellow cards 4
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Cittadella 19. · Juve Stabia 10.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Sassuolo 15 10 4 1 +19 34
2 Spezia 14 8 6 0 +14 30
3 Pisa 14 8 4 2 +10 28
4 Cesena 14 6 4 4 +4 22
5 Cremonese 14 6 3 5 +2 21
6 Bari 14 4 8 2 +5 20
7 Cosenza 14 4 7 3 +0 19
8 Palermo 14 4 6 4 +2 18
9 Brescia 14 5 3 6 -2 18
10 Juve Stabia 14 4 6 4 -3 18
11 Mantova 14 4 5 5 -3 17
12 Catanzaro 14 2 10 2 +2 16
13 Sampdoria 14 4 4 6 -2 16
14 Carrarese 14 4 4 6 -3 16
15 Modena 14 3 6 5 -1 15
16 Reggiana 15 3 6 6 -4 15
17 Sudtirol 14 4 1 9 -9 13
18 Salernitana 14 3 4 7 -9 13
19 Cittadella 14 3 4 7 -11 13
20 Frosinone 14 1 7 6 -11 10

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Cittadella Juve Stabia
Simone Tronchin 🟨
18′
20′
🔁 N. Mosti
↦ F. Maistro
1–0 F. Amatucci
E. Masciangelo
21′
30′
L. Candellone 1–1
N. Mosti
32′
🟨 Yuri Rocchetti
38′
F. Folino 1–2
N. Fortini
Edoardo Masciangelo 🟨
44′
Half-time 1–2
A. Salvi 🔁
↦ S. Negro
46′
46′
🔁 M. Ruggero
↦ Y. Rocchetti
2–2 L. Pandolfi
49′
Stefano Piccinini 🟨
51′
60′
🟨 Christian Pierobon
63′
🔁 M. Meli
↦ C. Pierobon
63′
🔁 G. Artistico
↦ A. Adorante
M. Ravasio 🔁
↦ S. Rabbi
68′
72′
🟨 Gabriele Artistico
Matteo Angeli 🟨
76′
85′
🔁 M. Baldi
↦ N. Fortini
A. Magrassi 🔁
↦ L. Pandolfi
87′
E. Capradossi 🔁
↦ S. Piccinini
87′
92′
🟨 Marco Ruggero
Full-time 2–2

Line-ups

Cittadella

3-5-2
36 E. Kastrati G
35 S. Piccinini D
30 S. Negro D
4 M. Angeli D
24 L. Carissoni M
8 F. Amatucci M
17 S. Tronchin M
19 F. D'Alessio M
32 E. Masciangelo M
7 L. Pandolfi F
21 S. Rabbi F
Bench (9)
2 A. Salvi
91 M. Ravasio
9 A. Magrassi
13 E. Capradossi
5 F. Casolari
10 C. Cassano
22 E. Scquizzato
29 A. Djibril
20 D. Voltan

Coach: A. Dal Canto

Juve Stabia

3-4-1-2
20 D. Thiam G
23 F. Folino D
6 M. Bellich D
3 Y. Rocchetti D
15 R. Floriani Mussolini M
55 G. Leone M
10 C. Pierobon M
29 N. Fortini M
37 F. Maistro F
9 A. Adorante F
27 L. Candellone F
Bench (12)
98 N. Mosti
4 M. Ruggero
14 M. Meli
90 G. Artistico
13 M. Baldi
5 T. Di Marco
7 F. Zuccon
25 A. Gerbo
8 D. Buglio
11 K. Piscopo
99 E. Piovanello
1 K. Matošević

Coach: G. Pagliuca

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,41
U ✓
3,04
B
3,10
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
2,37
U2,5
1,55
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

F Cosso · 49 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,2 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
25,7 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,31 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.