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Serie B
Referee: A Arena
Sudtirol
T U T T T
0–4
Full-time
Cremonese
S U T T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Sudtirol Cremonese
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
0%
50%
Points per game
0,2
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
50%
67%
Both score Ø 50%
33%
67%
Average goals
2,2
2,7
Scored
0,3
1,3
Conceded
1,8
1,3
Goal diff per game
-1,5
+0,0
This season — Serie B · 14/14 matches
Win Ø 36%
29%
43%
Points per game
0,9
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 54%
57%
50%
Both score Ø 57%
50%
64%
Average goals
2,6
2,6
Scored
1,0
1,4
Conceded
1,6
1,2
Goal diff per game
-0,6
+0,1
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

47% Possession 53%
12 Shots 15
2 Shots on target 8
3 Blocked shots 3
4 Goalkeeper saves 2
4 Corners 4
12 Free kicks against 13
2 Yellow cards 0
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Sudtirol 17. · Cremonese 5.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Sassuolo 15 10 4 1 +19 34
2 Spezia 14 8 6 0 +14 30
3 Pisa 14 8 4 2 +10 28
4 Cesena 14 6 4 4 +4 22
5 Cremonese 14 6 3 5 +2 21
6 Bari 14 4 8 2 +5 20
7 Cosenza 14 4 7 3 +0 19
8 Palermo 14 4 6 4 +2 18
9 Brescia 14 5 3 6 -2 18
10 Juve Stabia 14 4 6 4 -3 18
11 Mantova 14 4 5 5 -3 17
12 Catanzaro 14 2 10 2 +2 16
13 Sampdoria 14 4 4 6 -2 16
14 Carrarese 14 4 4 6 -3 16
15 Modena 14 3 6 5 -1 15
16 Reggiana 15 3 6 6 -4 15
17 Sudtirol 14 4 1 9 -9 13
18 Salernitana 14 3 4 7 -9 13
19 Cittadella 14 3 4 7 -11 13
20 Frosinone 14 1 7 6 -11 10

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Sudtirol Cremonese
3′
F. Bonazzoli 0–1
Half-time 0–1
46′
🔁 L. Lochoshvili
↦ M. Bianchetti
47′
F. Vázquez 0–2
L. Sernicola
Andrea Masiello 🟨
54′
A. Mallamo 🔁
↦ J. Martini
54′
M. Rover 🔁
↦ H. El Kaouakibi
55′
62′
🔁 J. Vandeputte
↦ C. Buonaiuto
K. Zedadka 🔁
↦ S. Davì
65′
S. Merkaj 🔁
↦ D. Casiraghi
66′
Silvio Merkaj 🟨
67′
71′
M. Collocolo 0–3
J. Vandeputte
73′
🔁 G. Quagliata
↦ L. Zanimacchia
73′
🔁 M. De Luca
↦ F. Bonazzoli
77′
M. De Luca 0–4
J. Vandeputte
80′
🔁 Ž. Majer
↦ L. Sernicola
Full-time 0–4

Line-ups

Sudtirol

3-5-1-1
12 G. Drago G
28 R. Kofler D
23 L. Ceppitelli D
5 A. Masiello D
2 H. El Kaouakibi M
6 J. Martini M
4 T. Arrigoni M
79 S. Molina M
24 S. Davì M
17 D. Casiraghi F
90 R. Odogwu F
Bench (11)
8 A. Mallamo
7 M. Rover
11 K. Zedadka
33 S. Merkaj
29 J. Arlanch
68 A. Vimercati
9 V. Crespi
14 F. Davi
30 A. Giorgini
19 N. Pietrangeli
66 L. Coco

Coach: M. Zaffaroni

Cremonese

3-5-1-1
1 A. Fulignati G
26 V. Antov D
5 L. Ravanelli D
15 M. Bianchetti D
98 L. Zanimacchia M
18 M. Collocolo M
19 M. Castagnetti M
10 C. Buonaiuto M
17 L. Sernicola M
20 F. Vázquez F
90 F. Bonazzoli F
Bench (12)
44 L. Lochoshvili
27 J. Vandeputte
3 G. Quagliata
9 M. De Luca
37 Ž. Majer
99 M. Nasti
42 L. Moretti
6 C. Pickel
21 G. Saro
4 T. Barbieri
23 F. Ceccherini
11 D. Johnsen

Coach: G. Stroppa

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
3,42
U
3,01
B ✓
2,26
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
2,45
U2,5
1,52
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

A Arena · 26 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,2 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
25,9 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,08 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.