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Championship
Referee: W Finnie
Swansea
S S T T S
2–2
Full-time
Portsmouth
T T U T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Swansea Portsmouth
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
50%
33%
Points per game
1,5
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
50%
50%
Both score Ø 59%
50%
67%
Average goals
2,7
2,5
Scored
1,3
1,2
Conceded
1,3
1,3
Goal diff per game
+0,0
-0,2
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Championship · 17/15 matches
Win Ø 24%
35%
13%
Points per game
1,3
0,8
Over 2.5 Ø 45%
29%
60%
Both score Ø 51%
35%
67%
Average goals
1,8
2,9
Scored
0,9
1,1
Conceded
0,9
1,9
Goal diff per game
+0,1
-0,8
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–2

2,69 xG 0,92
74% Possession 26%
22 Shots 6
6 Shots on target 4
7 Blocked shots 0
2 Goalkeeper saves 5
9 Corners 1
2 Offside 6
8 Free kicks against 11
2 Yellow cards 4
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Swansea 11. · Portsmouth 24.
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 Leeds 18 10 5 3 +18 +17.9 35
2 Sheffield United 16 10 4 2 +14 +7.5 34
3 Burnley 17 9 6 2 +15 +4.7 33
4 Sunderland 16 9 5 2 +14 +2.0 32
5 Middlesbrough 18 9 3 6 +11 +16.6 30
6 Watford 18 9 3 6 +2 -2.9 30
7 Blackburn 17 8 4 5 +4 +0.6 28
8 West Brom 17 6 9 2 +7 +5.1 27
9 Millwall 17 6 7 4 +5 +8.5 25
10 Norwich 17 5 7 5 +6 +3.8 22
11 Swansea 17 6 4 7 +1 -3.6 22
12 Bristol City 16 5 7 4 +0 +0.5 22
13 Sheffield Weds 17 6 4 7 -6 -0.4 22
14 Stoke 17 5 6 6 -1 -7.1 21
15 Derby 17 5 5 7 -1 +0.1 20
16 Oxford 18 4 6 8 -8 -11.2 18
17 Luton 17 5 3 9 -11 -1.5 18
18 Preston 17 3 8 6 -8 -3.6 17
19 Plymouth 17 4 5 8 -16 -19.3 17
20 Coventry 16 4 4 8 -3 +5.1 16
21 Cardiff 17 4 4 9 -11 -6.6 16
22 Hull 18 3 6 9 -9 -2.9 15
23 QPR 18 2 9 7 -11 -5.3 15
24 Portsmouth 15 2 6 7 -12 -7.9 12

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Swansea Portsmouth
1′
🟨 Marlon Pack
Ben Cabango 🟨
9′
25′
M. Ritchie 0–1
J. Murphy
Liam Cullen 🟨
35′
35′
🟨 Matt Ritchie
45′
J. Murphy 0–2
Half-time 0–3
0–3 C. Ogilvie
own goal
47′
1–3 L. Cullen
M. Peart-Harris
53′
55′
🔁 M. O’Mahony
↦ C. Bishop
Eom Ji-Sung 🔁
↦ J. Allen
65′
67′
🔁 C. Saydee
↦ M. O’Mahony
67′
🔁 H. Blair
↦ M. Ritchie
71′
🟨 Harvey Blair
A. Abdulai 🔁
↦ Ronald
73′
F. Bianchini 🔁
↦ Ž. Vipotnik
73′
81′
🔁 P. Lane
↦ J. Murphy
83′
🟨 Andre Dozzell
Full-time 1–3

Line-ups

Swansea

4-2-3-1
22 L. Vigouroux G
2 J. Key D
5 B. Cabango D
6 H. Darling D
14 J. Tymon D
7 J. Allen M
8 M. Grimes M
25 M. Peart-Harris M
20 L. Cullen M
35 Ronald M
9 Ž. Vipotnik F
Bench (9)
10 Eom Ji-Sung
47 A. Abdulai
19 F. Bianchini
17 Gonçalo Franco
33 J. McLaughlin
23 C. Christie
21 N. Tjoe-A-On
26 K. Naughton
4 J. Fulton

Coach: L. Williams

Portsmouth

4-2-3-1
13 N. Schmid G
24 T. Devlin D
5 R. Poole D
7 M. Pack D
3 C. Ogilvie D
8 F. Potts M
21 A. Dozzell M
30 M. Ritchie M
49 C. Lang M
23 J. Murphy M
9 C. Bishop F
Bench (9)
11 M. O’Mahony
15 C. Saydee
29 H. Blair
32 P. Lane
31 J. Archer
18 E. Sørensen
25 A. Kamara
17 O. Moxon
16 T. McIntyre

Coach: J. Mousinho

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
1,70
U ✓
3,90
B
4,73
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,85
U2,5
1,96
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

W Finnie · 35 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,6 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
21,4 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,06 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.