Eredivisie
Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.
The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.
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Feyenoord
For Sittard
Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.
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The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.
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Half-time score: 0–1
| # | Team | K | V | U | T | +/− | xG +/− | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
PSV Eindhoven
|
13 | 12 | 0 | 1 | +36 | +20.6 | 36 |
| 2 |
Utrecht
|
12 | 10 | 1 | 1 | +10 | -1.3 | 31 |
| 3 |
Ajax
|
12 | 9 | 2 | 1 | +16 | +13.6 | 29 |
| 4 |
Feyenoord
|
13 | 8 | 4 | 1 | +18 | +14.2 | 28 |
| 5 |
Twente
|
13 | 7 | 4 | 2 | +14 | +12.5 | 25 |
| 6 |
NAC Breda
|
14 | 6 | 1 | 7 | -8 | -5.7 | 19 |
| 7 |
Go Ahead Eagles
|
13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | -2 | +10.1 | 18 |
| 8 |
AZ Alkmaar
|
12 | 5 | 2 | 5 | +2 | +4.0 | 17 |
| 9 |
For Sittard
|
13 | 5 | 2 | 6 | -4 | +1.6 | 17 |
| 10 |
Nijmegen
|
13 | 5 | 1 | 7 | +8 | +2.0 | 16 |
| 11 |
Willem II
|
14 | 4 | 4 | 6 | -1 | -10.2 | 16 |
| 12 |
Heerenveen
|
13 | 4 | 3 | 6 | -5 | -3.3 | 15 |
| 13 |
Groningen
|
14 | 4 | 3 | 7 | -10 | -11.3 | 15 |
| 14 |
Heracles
|
13 | 3 | 4 | 6 | -11 | -10.9 | 13 |
| 15 |
Zwolle
|
13 | 3 | 3 | 7 | -10 | -11.9 | 12 |
| 16 |
Sparta Rotterdam
|
13 | 2 | 5 | 6 | -7 | +0.7 | 11 |
| 17 |
Waalwijk
|
14 | 1 | 3 | 10 | -21 | -14.3 | 6 |
| 18 |
Almere City
|
14 | 1 | 3 | 10 | -25 | -10.5 | 6 |
Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.
Green columns are the outcomes that came in.
Man City
Feyenoord
Feyenoord
Heerenveen
Almere City
Feyenoord
Feyenoord
Salzburg
Feyenoord
AZ Alkmaar
J van der Laan · 63 kamper i vår database
🟥 Red cards: 0,08 per match
The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.