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Serie B

Referee: F Cosso

Sassuolo

U S S S U

1–0

Full-time

Mantova

T U U T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Sassuolo Mantova

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 42%

67%

17%

Points per game

2,3

1,0

Over 2.5 Ø 34%

50%

17%

Both score Ø 50%

50%

Average goals

3,7

2,0

Scored

2,8

0,8

Conceded

0,8

1,2

Goal diff per game

+2,0

-0,3

This season — Serie B · 11/11 matches

Win Ø 41%

55%

27%

Points per game

2,0

1,2

Over 2.5 Ø 36%

45%

27%

Both score Ø 55%

64%

45%

Average goals

3,2

2,3

Scored

2,1

1,0

Conceded

1,1

1,3

Goal diff per game

+1,0

-0,3

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

40% Possession 60%

20 Shots 12

7 Shots on target 4

4 Blocked shots 5

3 Goalkeeper saves 6

5 Corners 4

1 Offside 1

12 Free kicks against 13

1 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Sassuolo 3. · Mantova 16. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Pisa	12	7	4	1	+8	25
2	Spezia	12	6	6	0	+8	24
3	Sassuolo	11	6	4	1	+11	22
4	Cesena	12	5	3	4	+2	18
5	Cremonese	12	5	3	4	+2	18
6	Juve Stabia	12	4	5	3	+0	17
7	Palermo	12	4	4	4	+2	16
8	Sampdoria	11	4	3	4	+2	15
9	Cosenza	12	3	6	3	-1	15
10	Bari	12	2	8	2	+2	14
11	Catanzaro	12	2	8	2	+2	14
12	Brescia	11	4	2	5	-2	14
13	Reggiana	12	3	4	5	-2	13
14	Carrarese	12	3	4	5	-2	13
15	Salernitana	12	3	4	5	-3	13
16	Mantova	11	3	4	4	-3	13
17	Sudtirol	12	4	1	7	-5	13
18	Cittadella	12	3	4	5	-8	13
19	Modena	12	2	5	5	-3	11
20	Frosinone	12	1	6	5	-10	9

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Cesena	7	5	1	1	+6	16
2	Spezia	6	5	1	0	+6	16
3	Pisa	6	4	2	0	+6	14
4	Mantova	5	3	2	0	+3	11
5	Sassuolo	5	3	1	1	+5	10
6	Catanzaro	7	2	4	1	+4	10
7	Brescia	6	3	1	2	+2	10
8	Carrarese	6	2	3	1	+3	9
9	Cosenza	7	2	3	2	-1	9
10	Modena	6	2	2	2	+1	8
11	Reggiana	6	2	2	2	+1	8
12	Bari	7	1	5	1	+0	8
13	Salernitana	6	2	2	2	-1	8
14	Cremonese	6	2	2	2	-1	8
15	Juve Stabia	5	2	1	2	+0	7
16	Sampdoria	5	2	1	2	+0	7
17	Sudtirol	6	2	1	3	-2	7
18	Palermo	5	1	2	2	+0	5
19	Cittadella	5	0	4	1	-1	4
20	Frosinone	6	0	4	2	-4	4

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Sassuolo	6	3	3	0	+6	12
2	Palermo	7	3	2	2	+2	11
3	Pisa	6	3	2	1	+2	11
4	Cremonese	6	3	1	2	+3	10
5	Juve Stabia	7	2	4	1	+0	10
6	Cittadella	7	3	0	4	-7	9
7	Sampdoria	6	2	2	2	+2	8
8	Spezia	6	1	5	0	+2	8
9	Bari	5	1	3	1	+2	6
10	Cosenza	5	1	3	1	+0	6
11	Sudtirol	6	2	0	4	-3	6
12	Salernitana	6	1	2	3	-2	5
13	Reggiana	6	1	2	3	-3	5
14	Frosinone	6	1	2	3	-6	5
15	Catanzaro	5	0	4	1	-2	4
16	Brescia	5	1	1	3	-4	4
17	Carrarese	6	1	1	4	-5	4
18	Modena	6	0	3	3	-4	3
19	Cesena	5	0	2	3	-4	2
20	Mantova	6	0	2	4	-6	2

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.