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Serie B

Referee: A Giua

Brescia

T U S T U

1–1

Full-time

Bari

U U U S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Brescia Bari

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 25%

17%

33%

Points per game

0,8

1,7

Over 2.5 Ø 33%

33%

Both score Ø 50%

50%

Average goals

2,8

2,2

Scored

1,0

1,3

Conceded

1,8

0,8

Goal diff per game

-0,8

+0,5

This season — Serie B · 14/14 matches

Win Ø 33%

36%

29%

Points per game

1,3

1,4

Over 2.5 Ø 40%

43%

36%

Both score Ø 54%

50%

57%

Average goals

2,7

2,2

Scored

1,3

Conceded

1,4

0,9

Goal diff per game

-0,1

+0,4

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

47% Possession 53%

12 Shots 14

4 Shots on target 2

1 Blocked shots 6

1 Goalkeeper saves 3

2 Corners 3

0 Offside 1

23 Free kicks against 15

3 Yellow cards 3

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Brescia 9. · Bari 6. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Sassuolo	15	10	4	1	+19	34
2	Spezia	14	8	6	0	+14	30
3	Pisa	14	8	4	2	+10	28
4	Cesena	14	6	4	4	+4	22
5	Cremonese	14	6	3	5	+2	21
6	Bari	14	4	8	2	+5	20
7	Cosenza	14	4	7	3	+0	19
8	Palermo	14	4	6	4	+2	18
9	Brescia	14	5	3	6	-2	18
10	Juve Stabia	14	4	6	4	-3	18
11	Mantova	14	4	5	5	-3	17
12	Catanzaro	14	2	10	2	+2	16
13	Sampdoria	14	4	4	6	-2	16
14	Carrarese	14	4	4	6	-3	16
15	Modena	14	3	6	5	-1	15
16	Reggiana	15	3	6	6	-4	15
17	Sudtirol	14	4	1	9	-9	13
18	Salernitana	14	3	4	7	-9	13
19	Cittadella	14	3	4	7	-11	13
20	Frosinone	14	1	7	6	-11	10

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Spezia	7	6	1	0	+9	19
2	Pisa	7	5	2	0	+9	17
3	Cesena	8	5	2	1	+6	17
4	Sassuolo	7	5	1	1	+10	16
5	Mantova	6	4	2	0	+4	14
6	Carrarese	7	3	3	1	+4	12
7	Catanzaro	8	2	5	1	+4	11
8	Modena	7	3	2	2	+3	11
9	Bari	8	2	5	1	+1	11
10	Cremonese	7	3	2	2	+0	11
11	Brescia	7	3	1	3	+1	10
12	Cosenza	8	2	4	2	-1	10
13	Reggiana	8	2	3	3	-1	9
14	Salernitana	7	2	2	3	-3	8
15	Juve Stabia	7	2	2	3	-3	8
16	Sampdoria	6	2	1	3	-1	7
17	Sudtirol	7	2	1	4	-3	7
18	Palermo	6	1	3	2	+0	6
19	Frosinone	7	0	5	2	-4	5
20	Cittadella	6	0	4	2	-3	4

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Sassuolo	8	5	3	0	+9	18
2	Palermo	8	3	3	2	+2	12
3	Spezia	7	2	5	0	+5	11
4	Pisa	7	3	2	2	+1	11
5	Cremonese	7	3	1	3	+2	10
6	Juve Stabia	7	2	4	1	+0	10
7	Bari	6	2	3	1	+4	9
8	Cosenza	6	2	3	1	+1	9
9	Sampdoria	8	2	3	3	-1	9
10	Cittadella	8	3	0	5	-8	9
11	Brescia	7	2	2	3	-3	8
12	Reggiana	7	1	3	3	-3	6
13	Sudtirol	7	2	0	5	-6	6
14	Cesena	6	1	2	3	-2	5
15	Catanzaro	6	0	5	1	-2	5
16	Salernitana	7	1	2	4	-6	5
17	Frosinone	7	1	2	4	-7	5
18	Modena	7	0	4	3	-4	4
19	Carrarese	7	1	1	5	-7	4
20	Mantova	8	0	3	5	-7	3

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.