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Bundesliga
Referee: J Semler
2–1
Full-time
BW Linz
S T U T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Austria Vienna BW Linz
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
50%
33%
Points per game
1,7
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
67%
33%
Both score Ø 50%
50%
50%
Average goals
2,7
1,8
Scored
1,5
0,8
Conceded
1,2
1,0
Goal diff per game
+0,3
-0,2
This season — Bundesliga · 11/11 matches
Win Ø 41%
45%
36%
Points per game
1,6
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 55%
55%
55%
Both score Ø 60%
64%
55%
Average goals
2,5
2,6
Scored
1,5
1,2
Conceded
1,1
1,5
Goal diff per game
+0,4
-0,3
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

58% Possession 42%
16 Shots 9
8 Shots on target 5
3 Blocked shots 1
4 Goalkeeper saves 5
7 Corners 3
1 Offside 1
6 Free kicks against 14
3 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Austria Vienna 3. · BW Linz 9.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Sturm Graz 12 8 2 2 +13 26
2 SK Rapid 12 6 5 1 +4 23
3 Austria Vienna 11 5 3 3 +4 18
4 Salzburg 10 5 3 2 +3 18
5 Wolfsberger AC 12 5 2 5 +5 17
6 Hartberg 11 4 4 3 +1 16
7 A. Klagenfurt 11 4 3 4 -5 15
8 LASK 12 4 2 6 -1 14
9 BW Linz 11 4 2 5 -3 14
10 Tirol 12 3 3 6 -6 12
11 Altach 12 2 3 7 -5 9
12 Grazer AK 12 0 6 6 -10 6

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.