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Süper Lig
Referee: Y Kol
Eyüpspor
T S T S U
2–0
Full-time
Hatayspor
U T U T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Eyüpspor Hatayspor
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 17%
33%
0%
Points per game
1,3
0,3
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
67%
33%
Both score Ø 58%
83%
33%
Average goals
3,0
2,0
Scored
1,5
0,5
Conceded
1,5
1,5
Goal diff per game
+0,0
-1,0
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Süper Lig · 10/9 matches
Win Ø 20%
40%
0%
Points per game
1,6
0,3
Over 2.5 Ø 47%
50%
44%
Both score Ø 63%
70%
56%
Average goals
2,6
2,4
Scored
1,5
0,8
Conceded
1,1
1,7
Goal diff per game
+0,4
-0,9
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

1,60 xG 0,94
53% Possession 47%
9 Shots 15
4 Shots on target 2
4 Blocked shots 6
2 Goalkeeper saves 1
3 Corners 5
2 Offside 2
16 Free kicks against 16
3 Yellow cards 4
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Eyüpspor 6. · Hatayspor 18.
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 Galatasaray 10 9 1 0 +20 +7.8 28
2 Samsunspor 10 7 1 2 +10 +4.8 22
3 Fenerbahce 9 6 2 1 +13 +11.5 20
4 Besiktas 10 6 2 2 +9 +7.6 20
5 Sivasspor 11 5 2 4 +1 -7.6 17
6 Eyüpspor 10 4 4 2 +4 -0.3 16
7 Goztep 10 4 3 3 +4 +0.9 15
8 Buyuksehyr 10 4 3 3 +3 +2.4 15
9 Kasimpasa 11 3 5 3 -2 +0.7 14
10 Konyaspor 11 4 2 5 -4 -1.8 14
11 Trabzonspor 9 2 6 1 +1 -1.6 12
12 Gaziantep 10 3 3 4 -1 -2.1 12
13 Antalyaspor 10 3 2 5 -8 -6.9 11
14 Bodrumspor 10 3 1 6 -5 -0.9 10
15 Rizespor 10 3 1 6 -11 -2.4 10
16 Alanyaspor 10 2 3 5 -5 +1.0 9
17 Kayserispor 10 1 6 3 -6 -3.4 9
18 Hatayspor 9 0 3 6 -8 -6.1 3
19 Ad. Demirspor 10 0 2 8 -15 -3.7 2

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Eyüpspor Hatayspor
1–0 M. Thiam
A. Kutucu
11′
21′
ℹ️ Rui Pedro
VAR: Goal cancelled
24′
🟨 Rui Pedro
Samu Sáiz 🟨
32′
Half-time 1–0
Rúben Vezo 🔁
↦ U. Meraş
46′
48′
🟨 Görkem Sağlam
51′
🟨 Kerim Alıcı
55′
🔁 F. Bamgboye
↦ K. Alıcı
T. İlter 🔁
↦ Samu Sáiz
58′
2–0 M. Thiam
60′
67′
🔁 B. Yılmaz
↦ G. Kilama
67′
🔁 A. Parmak
↦ Rui Pedro
67′
🔁 B. Boutobba
↦ Joelson Fernandes
Ahmed Kutucu 🟨
71′
Berke Özer 🟨
72′
H. Akbunar 🔁
↦ E. Akbaba
85′
S. Gümüş 🔁
↦ A. Kutucu
85′
86′
🔁 S. Temel
↦ G. Sağlam
91′
🟨 Francisco Calvo
T. Bingöl 🔁
↦ P. Ampem
94′
Full-time 2–0

Line-ups

Eyüpspor

4-1-4-1
1 B. Özer G
15 L. Dubois D
6 R. Yalçın D
4 Luccas Claro D
77 U. Meraş D
57 M. Kabasakal M
40 P. Ampem M
8 E. Akbaba M
10 Samu Sáiz M
23 A. Kutucu M
9 M. Thiam F
Bench (10)
14 Rúben Vezo
28 T. İlter
7 H. Akbunar
11 S. Gümüş
75 T. Bingöl
71 B. Tetik
99 G. Bruno
16 J. Shelvey
5 D. Toköz
88 C. Erkin

Coach: A. Turan

Hatayspor

4-2-3-1
1 E. Kardeşler G
22 K. Alıcı D
3 G. Kilama D
4 F. Calvo D
27 C. Demir D
5 G. Sağlam M
17 L. Diack M
99 R. Rivas M
14 Rui Pedro M
77 Joelson Fernandes M
9 V. Aboubakar F
Bench (9)
7 F. Bamgboye
15 B. Yılmaz
6 A. Parmak
98 B. Boutobba
16 S. Temel
12 V. Bekaj
34 D. Sarıcalı
10 C. Strandberg
31 O. Matur

Coach: R. Çalımbay

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
1,73
U
3,75
B
4,56
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5
1,89
U2,5 ✓
1,89
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

Y Kol · 59 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,3 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
26,0 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,37 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.