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Serie B

Referee: A Prontera

Brescia

S T T S U

2–5

Full-time

Sassuolo

S S S U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Brescia Sassuolo

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 59%

50%

67%

Points per game

1,7

2,2

Over 2.5 Ø 58%

83%

33%

Both score Ø 58%

83%

33%

Average goals

3,5

2,8

Scored

2,0

Conceded

1,5

0,8

Goal diff per game

+0,5

+1,2

This season — Serie B · 8/8 matches

Win Ø 50%

50%

Points per game

1,6

1,9

Over 2.5 Ø 44%

50%

38%

Both score Ø 57%

50%

63%

Average goals

2,6

2,8

Scored

1,5

1,8

Conceded

1,1

1,0

Goal diff per game

+0,4

+0,8

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

49% Possession 51%

20 Shots 21

8 Shots on target 8

1 Blocked shots 5

3 Goalkeeper saves 6

3 Corners 3

0 Offside 1

15 Free kicks against 4

2 Yellow cards 3

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Brescia 5. · Sassuolo 3. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Pisa	9	6	2	1	+6	20
2	Spezia	9	5	4	0	+7	19
3	Sassuolo	8	4	3	1	+6	15
4	Juve Stabia	8	4	2	2	+1	14
5	Brescia	8	4	1	3	+3	13
6	Palermo	9	3	3	3	+1	12
7	Sudtirol	9	4	0	5	-1	12
8	Cremonese	8	3	2	3	+2	11
9	Bari	9	2	5	2	+2	11
10	Cesena	8	3	2	3	+1	11
11	Salernitana	9	3	2	4	-2	11
12	Mantova	8	3	2	3	-2	11
13	Modena	9	2	4	3	+0	10
14	Cosenza	9	2	4	3	-2	10
15	Catanzaro	9	1	6	2	-1	9
16	Reggiana	8	2	3	3	-1	9
17	Cittadella	9	2	3	4	-6	9
18	Sampdoria	8	2	2	4	-1	8
19	Carrarese	8	2	1	5	-5	7
20	Frosinone	8	1	3	4	-8	6

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Pisa	5	4	1	0	+6	13
2	Spezia	4	4	0	0	+5	12
3	Cesena	4	3	1	0	+5	10
4	Mantova	4	3	1	0	+3	10
5	Brescia	4	3	0	1	+5	9
6	Sassuolo	4	2	1	1	+3	7
7	Modena	5	2	1	2	+1	7
8	Salernitana	5	2	1	2	-1	7
9	Cosenza	5	2	1	2	-1	7
10	Catanzaro	5	1	3	1	+1	6
11	Juve Stabia	3	2	0	1	+1	6
12	Bari	5	1	3	1	+0	6
13	Sudtirol	5	2	0	3	-2	6
14	Reggiana	4	1	2	1	+0	5
15	Cremonese	4	1	2	1	+0	5
16	Carrarese	3	1	1	1	+0	4
17	Sampdoria	4	1	1	2	-1	4
18	Cittadella	4	0	3	1	-1	3
19	Frosinone	5	0	3	2	-4	3
20	Palermo	3	0	2	1	-1	2

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Palermo	6	3	1	2	+2	10
2	Sassuolo	4	2	2	0	+3	8
3	Juve Stabia	5	2	2	1	+0	8
4	Spezia	5	1	4	0	+2	7
5	Pisa	4	2	1	1	+0	7
6	Cremonese	4	2	0	2	+2	6
7	Sudtirol	4	2	0	2	+1	6
8	Cittadella	5	2	0	3	-5	6
9	Bari	4	1	2	1	+2	5
10	Sampdoria	4	1	1	2	+0	4
11	Salernitana	4	1	1	2	-1	4
12	Reggiana	4	1	1	2	-1	4
13	Brescia	4	1	1	2	-2	4
14	Modena	4	0	3	1	-1	3
15	Cosenza	4	0	3	1	-1	3
16	Catanzaro	4	0	3	1	-2	3
17	Frosinone	3	1	0	2	-4	3
18	Carrarese	5	1	0	4	-5	3
19	Cesena	4	0	1	3	-4	1
20	Mantova	4	0	1	3	-5	1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.