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Serie B
Referee: A Arena
Sampdoria
S T S S U
0–1
Full-time
Brescia
S U T T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Sampdoria Brescia
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 34%
50%
17%
Points per game
1,8
0,8
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
50%
50%
Both score Ø 75%
67%
83%
Average goals
3,0
3,7
Scored
1,8
1,3
Conceded
1,2
2,3
Goal diff per game
+0,7
-1,0
This season — Serie B · 11/11 matches
Win Ø 36%
36%
36%
Points per game
1,4
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
55%
45%
Both score Ø 55%
55%
55%
Average goals
2,7
2,9
Scored
1,5
1,4
Conceded
1,3
1,5
Goal diff per game
+0,2
-0,2
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

57% Possession 43%
17 Shots 22
6 Shots on target 5
5 Blocked shots 7
3 Goalkeeper saves 6
7 Corners 11
1 Offside 3
14 Free kicks against 11
3 Yellow cards 2
1 Red cards 0
The table before the match Sampdoria 8. · Brescia 12.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Pisa 12 7 4 1 +8 25
2 Spezia 12 6 6 0 +8 24
3 Sassuolo 11 6 4 1 +11 22
4 Cesena 12 5 3 4 +2 18
5 Cremonese 12 5 3 4 +2 18
6 Juve Stabia 12 4 5 3 +0 17
7 Palermo 12 4 4 4 +2 16
8 Sampdoria 11 4 3 4 +2 15
9 Cosenza 12 3 6 3 -1 15
10 Bari 12 2 8 2 +2 14
11 Catanzaro 12 2 8 2 +2 14
12 Brescia 11 4 2 5 -2 14
13 Reggiana 12 3 4 5 -2 13
14 Carrarese 12 3 4 5 -2 13
15 Salernitana 12 3 4 5 -3 13
16 Mantova 11 3 4 4 -3 13
17 Sudtirol 12 4 1 7 -5 13
18 Cittadella 12 3 4 5 -8 13
19 Modena 12 2 5 5 -3 11
20 Frosinone 12 1 6 5 -10 9

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Sampdoria Brescia
Fabio Depaoli 🟨
17′
18′
🟨 Giacomo Olzer
Ebenezer Akinsanmiro ℹ️
VAR: Goal cancelled
20′
23′
🟨 Lorenzo Dickmann
Half-time 0–0
Alessandro Pio Riccio 🟨
46′
46′
🔁 A. Jallow
↦ L. Dickmann
N. Ioannou 🔁
↦ L. Venuti
61′
M. Coda 🔁
↦ F. Borini
61′
67′
🔁 B. Bjarnason
↦ G. Olzer
69′
B. Bjarnason 0–1
A. Jurič
Estanis Pedrola 🔁
↦ P. Kasami
72′
L. Benedetti 🔁
↦ E. Akinsanmiro
72′
Alessandro Pio Riccio 🟨
75′
Alessandro Pio Riccio 🟥
75′
82′
🔁 R. Fogliata
↦ M. Bertagnoli
82′
🔁 P. Nuamah
↦ A. Jurič
92′
ℹ️ Alexander Jallow
VAR: Goal cancelled
N. Sekulov 🔁
↦ F. Depaoli
93′
93′
🔁 A. Papetti
↦ G. Borrelli
Full-time 0–1

Line-ups

Sampdoria

3-5-2
1 P. Vismara G
24 B. Bereszyński D
6 S. Romagnoli D
5 A. Riccio D
23 F. Depaoli M
15 E. Akinsanmiro M
17 M. Meulensteen M
14 P. Kasami M
18 L. Venuti M
16 F. Borini F
10 G. Tutino F
Bench (12)
44 N. Ioannou
9 M. Coda
11 Estanis Pedrola
80 L. Benedetti
84 N. Sekulov
33 M. Silvestri
28 Gerard Yepes
7 A. Bellemo
22 S. Ghidotti
31 S. Vulikić
25 A. Ferrari
21 S. Giordano

Coach: A. Sottil

Brescia

4-2-2-2
1 L. Lezzerini G
24 L. Dickmann D
15 A. Cistana D
28 D. Adorni D
19 N. Corrado D
26 M. Bertagnoli M
6 M. Verreth M
27 G. Olzer M
39 M. Besaggio M
29 G. Borrelli F
7 A. Jurič F
Bench (9)
18 A. Jallow
8 B. Bjarnason
21 R. Fogliata
20 P. Nuamah
32 A. Papetti
16 T. Buhagiar
9 F. Bianchi
5 G. Calvani
22 L. Andrenacci

Coach: R. Maran

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
1,73
U
3,63
B ✓
4,54
Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
O2,5
1,94
U2,5 ✓
1,83
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

A Arena · 26 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,2 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
25,9 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,08 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.