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Premiership
Referee: D McFarlane
Dundee
T T S T T
3–2
Full-time
Kilmarnock
U S S T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Dundee Kilmarnock
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 34%
17%
50%
Points per game
0,5
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
50%
83%
Both score Ø 67%
50%
83%
Average goals
2,7
3,7
Scored
0,8
2,0
Conceded
1,8
1,7
Goal diff per game
-1,0
+0,3
This season — Premiership · 10/10 matches
Win Ø 25%
20%
30%
Points per game
0,9
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 70%
70%
70%
Both score Ø 65%
70%
60%
Average goals
3,2
3,3
Scored
1,4
1,3
Conceded
1,8
2,0
Goal diff per game
-0,4
-0,7
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–2

55% Possession 45%
17 Shots 15
5 Shots on target 4
8 Blocked shots 5
2 Goalkeeper saves 2
7 Corners 1
1 Offside 2
16 Free kicks against 8
2 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Dundee 10. · Kilmarnock 7. ▾
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Celtic 10 9 1 0 +26 28
2 Aberdeen 10 9 1 0 +11 28
3 Rangers 10 6 1 3 +7 19
4 Motherwell 10 5 1 4 +0 16
5 Dundee United 10 4 3 3 +2 15
6 St Mirren 12 3 3 6 -6 12
7 Kilmarnock 10 3 3 4 -7 12
8 Ross County 12 2 6 4 -8 12
9 ST Johnstone 12 3 1 8 -10 10
10 Dundee 10 2 3 5 -4 9
11 Hearts 12 2 3 7 -5 9
12 Hibernian 10 1 4 5 -6 7

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Recent head-to-head meetings

5. Oct -24 Dundee – Kilmarnock 2–3 18. May -24 Dundee – Kilmarnock 1–1 2. Mar -24 Dundee – Kilmarnock 2–2 30. Dec -23 Kilmarnock – Dundee 2–2 23. Sep -23 Dundee – Kilmarnock 2–2

Match report

Dundee Kilmarnock
24′
⚽ B. Anderson 0–1
33′
🔁 J. Wright
↦ S. Findlay
40′
⚽ M. Kennedy 0–2
D. Armstrong
1–2 S. Palmer-Houlden ⚽
O. Adewumi
41′
Half-time 1–2
J. McGhee 🔁
↦ E. Ingram
46′
J. Mulligan 🔁
↦ L. Cameron
46′
52′
🔁 J. Burroughs
↦ D. Armstrong
2–2 J. McGhee ⚽
56′
Oluwaseun Adewumi 🟨
60′
S. Tiffoney 🔁
↦ O. Adewumi
64′
74′
🔁 R. McKenzie
↦ D. Watson
74′
🔁 I. Cameron
↦ B. Anderson
Ziyad Larkeche 🟨
78′
78′
🟨 Corrie Ndaba
B. Koumetio 🔁
↦ C. Robertson
84′
3–2 Z. Larkeche ⚽
J. Mulligan
94′
Full-time 3–2

Line-ups

Dundee

3-4-2-1
1 J. McCracken G
4 R. Astley D
29 A. Portales D
3 C. Robertson D
2 E. Ingram M
10 L. Cameron M
28 M. Sylla M
21 Z. Larkeche M
23 S. Palmer-Houlden F
11 O. Adewumi F
15 S. Murray F
Bench (9)
6 J. McGhee
8 J. Mulligan
7 S. Tiffoney
20 B. Koumetio
9 C. Main
19 F. Robertson
22 S. Braybrooke
47 J. Vetro
30 H. Sharp

Coach: T. Docherty

Kilmarnock

3-5-2
20 R. McCrorie G
5 L. Mayo D
6 R. Deas D
17 S. Findlay D
11 D. Armstrong M
12 D. Watson M
8 B. Lyons M
10 M. Kennedy M
3 C. Ndaba M
9 K. Vassell F
19 B. Anderson F
Bench (9)
4 J. Wright
2 J. Burroughs
7 R. McKenzie
18 I. Cameron
15 F. Murray
14 G. Mackay-Steven
22 L. Donnelly
24 B. Wales
1 K. O'Hara

Coach: D. McInnes

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
2,29
🔒
U
3,45
🔒
B
2,95
🔒
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5 ✓
1,78
🔒
U2,5
2,00
🔒
O3,5 ✓
–
🔒
U3,5
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
🔒
BLS nei
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

D McFarlane · 16 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,6 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
27,8 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,31 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.