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Eliteserien

Referee: Tore Hansen

Rosenborg

U S S T S

1–0

Full-time

Stromsgodset

U S U U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Rosenborg Stromsgodset

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 50%

67%

33%

Points per game

2,2

1,5

Over 2.5 Ø 42%

67%

17%

Both score Ø 50%

67%

33%

Average goals

3,0

1,3

Scored

2,0

0,8

Conceded

1,0

0,5

Goal diff per game

+1,0

+0,3

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Eliteserien · 26/26 matches

Win Ø 41%

50%

31%

Points per game

1,7

1,2

Over 2.5 Ø 56%

69%

42%

Both score Ø 58%

65%

50%

Average goals

3,2

2,6

Scored

1,7

1,2

Conceded

1,5

1,4

Goal diff per game

+0,2

-0,3

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

1,74 xG 0,59

61% Possession 39%

18 Shots 11

5 Shots on target 2

5 Blocked shots 5

2 Goalkeeper saves 4

7 Corners 5

0 Offside 1

10 Free kicks against 7

3 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Rosenborg 6. · Stromsgodset 9. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Bodo/Glimt	27	16	7	4	+35	+21.2	55
2	Brann	27	16	7	4	+22	+13.7	55
3	Viking	27	14	8	5	+17	+15.5	50
4	Molde	27	14	6	7	+28	+18.1	48
5	Fredrikstad	27	12	8	7	+2	+4.1	44
6	Rosenborg	26	13	4	9	+6	-0.2	43
7	KFUM Oslo	27	8	10	9	-1	+5.4	34
8	Ham-Kam	27	8	9	10	+0	-4.3	33
9	Stromsgodset	26	8	8	10	-7	-6.1	32
10	Sarpsborg 08	27	9	5	13	-13	-4.8	32
11	Kristiansund	27	7	10	10	-9	-10.6	31
12	Tromso	27	8	6	13	-9	-12.3	30
13	Sandefjord	27	7	7	13	-8	-2.7	28
14	Haugesund	27	7	6	14	-16	-9.0	27
15	Lillestrom	27	7	3	17	-23	-6.7	24
16	Odd	27	5	8	14	-24	-21.2	23

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Viking	14	9	4	1	+12	+10.5	31
2	Bodo/Glimt	13	9	3	1	+26	+14.3	30
3	Rosenborg	13	9	1	3	+11	+6.2	28
4	Brann	13	8	2	3	+11	+11.1	26
5	Molde	14	7	3	4	+15	+13.2	24
6	Fredrikstad	14	6	6	2	+3	+7.8	24
7	Kristiansund	13	5	6	2	+1	+4.4	21
8	Sandefjord	13	6	2	5	+2	+2.7	20
9	Stromsgodset	13	5	4	4	+3	+6.5	19
10	Ham-Kam	13	4	4	5	+2	-1.5	16
11	Tromso	14	4	4	6	+1	+0.8	16
12	KFUM Oslo	14	2	7	5	-5	+7.7	13
13	Haugesund	13	4	1	8	-8	+0.5	13
14	Odd	14	3	4	7	-11	-6.4	13
15	Lillestrom	14	3	3	8	-11	-1.0	12
16	Sarpsborg 08	13	3	2	8	-11	-0.3	11

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Brann	14	8	5	1	+11	+2.6	29
2	Bodo/Glimt	14	7	4	3	+9	+6.9	25
3	Molde	13	7	3	3	+13	+4.9	24
4	KFUM Oslo	13	6	3	4	+4	-2.3	21
5	Sarpsborg 08	14	6	3	5	-2	-4.5	21
6	Fredrikstad	13	6	2	5	-1	-3.7	20
7	Viking	13	5	4	4	+5	+4.9	19
8	Ham-Kam	14	4	5	5	-2	-2.8	17
9	Rosenborg	13	4	3	6	-5	-6.4	15
10	Haugesund	14	3	5	6	-8	-9.5	14
11	Tromso	13	4	2	7	-10	-13.1	14
12	Stromsgodset	13	3	4	6	-10	-12.5	13
13	Lillestrom	13	4	0	9	-12	-5.7	12
14	Kristiansund	14	2	4	8	-10	-15.0	10
15	Odd	13	2	4	7	-13	-14.8	10
16	Sandefjord	14	1	5	8	-10	-5.5	8

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.