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La Liga

Referee: Javier Alberola

Ath Bilbao

S T S S U

1–1

Full-time

Betis

T S U S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Ath Bilbao Betis

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 50%

50%

Points per game

1,8

1,7

Over 2.5 Ø 33%

33%

Both score Ø 50%

50%

Average goals

2,2

2,5

Scored

1,5

1,7

Conceded

0,7

0,8

Goal diff per game

+0,8

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — La Liga · 11/11 matches

Win Ø 45%

45%

Points per game

1,6

Over 2.5 Ø 36%

45%

27%

Both score Ø 55%

64%

45%

Average goals

2,5

1,8

Scored

1,5

1,0

Conceded

1,0

0,8

Goal diff per game

+0,5

+0,2

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

4,01 xG 0,84

49% Possession 51%

17 Shots 7

8 Shots on target 4

2 Blocked shots 2

3 Goalkeeper saves 7

6 Corners 2

3 Offside 0

9 Free kicks against 8

0 Yellow cards 0

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Ath Bilbao 6. · Betis 7. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Barcelona	12	11	0	1	+29	+16.1	33
2	Real Madrid	11	7	3	1	+10	+8.0	24
3	Ath Madrid	12	6	5	1	+11	+9.6	23
4	Villarreal	11	6	3	2	+1	+3.5	21
5	Osasuna	12	6	3	3	+1	-0.6	21
6	Ath Bilbao	11	5	3	3	+6	+1.8	18
7	Betis	11	5	3	3	+2	+7.3	18
8	Mallorca	12	5	3	4	+1	+3.2	18
9	Vallecano	11	4	4	3	+2	-1.6	16
10	Sociedad	12	4	3	5	+0	+2.1	15
11	Girona	12	4	3	5	-2	+3.5	15
12	Sevilla	12	4	3	5	-5	-2.4	15
13	Celta	11	4	1	6	-3	+1.5	13
14	Alaves	12	4	1	7	-5	-3.6	13
15	Leganes	12	2	5	5	-4	-10.5	11
16	Getafe	11	1	7	3	-1	+3.2	10
17	Espanol	12	3	1	8	-11	-10.9	10
18	Las Palmas	12	2	3	7	-8	-10.8	9
19	Valladolid	12	2	2	8	-15	-9.5	8
20	Valencia	11	1	4	6	-9	-9.8	7

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Osasuna	7	5	1	1	+5	+4.3	16
2	Barcelona	5	5	0	0	+15	+9.3	15
3	Real Madrid	6	5	0	1	+7	+6.4	15
4	Ath Madrid	6	4	2	0	+10	+11.9	14
5	Betis	6	4	1	1	+4	+7.3	13
6	Ath Bilbao	6	3	2	1	+5	+0.0	11
7	Celta	6	3	1	2	+3	+2.4	10
8	Girona	6	3	1	2	+2	+2.8	10
9	Alaves	6	3	1	2	+0	-2.4	10
10	Mallorca	6	2	3	1	+1	+1.2	9
11	Espanol	6	3	0	3	-1	-1.0	9
12	Sevilla	6	3	0	3	-2	+1.6	9
13	Vallecano	5	2	2	1	+2	+2.8	8
14	Getafe	6	1	5	0	+2	+5.6	8
15	Villarreal	5	2	2	1	-1	-0.5	8
16	Leganes	5	2	1	2	+1	+0.1	7
17	Las Palmas	6	1	3	2	-1	-3.8	6
18	Valencia	5	1	2	2	+0	-1.2	5
19	Valladolid	6	1	2	3	-2	-1.4	5
20	Sociedad	6	1	1	4	-3	+1.8	4

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Barcelona	7	6	0	1	+14	+6.9	18
2	Villarreal	6	4	1	1	+2	+4.0	13
3	Sociedad	6	3	2	1	+3	+0.3	11
4	Real Madrid	5	2	3	0	+3	+1.6	9
5	Ath Madrid	6	2	3	1	+1	-2.3	9
6	Mallorca	6	3	0	3	+0	+2.0	9
7	Vallecano	6	2	2	2	+0	-4.4	8
8	Ath Bilbao	5	2	1	2	+1	+1.7	7
9	Sevilla	6	1	3	2	-3	-4.0	6
10	Betis	5	1	2	2	-2	-0.0	5
11	Girona	6	1	2	3	-4	+0.6	5
12	Osasuna	5	1	2	2	-4	-5.0	5
13	Leganes	7	0	4	3	-5	-10.6	4
14	Alaves	6	1	0	5	-5	-1.3	3
15	Celta	5	1	0	4	-6	-0.9	3
16	Las Palmas	6	1	0	5	-7	-7.0	3
17	Valladolid	6	1	0	5	-13	-8.1	3
18	Getafe	5	0	2	3	-3	-2.4	2
19	Valencia	6	0	2	4	-9	-8.6	2
20	Espanol	6	0	1	5	-10	-9.8	1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.