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Serie B

Referee: M Piccinini

Sassuolo

U T S S S

0–0

Full-time

Spezia

S U S U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Sassuolo Spezia

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 59%

67%

50%

Points per game

2,2

2,0

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

33%

67%

Both score Ø 67%

50%

83%

Average goals

2,5

3,0

Scored

1,5

1,8

Conceded

1,0

1,2

Goal diff per game

+0,5

+0,7

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Serie B · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 50%

50%

Points per game

1,8

2,0

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

33%

67%

Both score Ø 75%

67%

83%

Average goals

2,5

3,0

Scored

1,3

1,8

Conceded

1,2

Goal diff per game

+0,2

+0,7

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

60% Possession 40%

12 Shots 13

3 Shots on target 1

4 Blocked shots 6

1 Goalkeeper saves 3

4 Corners 3

0 Offside 1

11 Free kicks against 12

2 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Sassuolo 3. · Spezia 2. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Pisa	6	4	2	0	+5	14
2	Spezia	6	3	3	0	+4	12
3	Sassuolo	6	3	2	1	+1	11
4	Cremonese	6	3	1	2	+3	10
5	Mantova	6	3	1	2	+0	10
6	Brescia	6	3	0	3	+2	9
7	Sudtirol	6	3	0	3	+0	9
8	Modena	6	2	2	2	+2	8
9	Bari	6	2	2	2	+2	8
10	Cesena	6	2	2	2	+1	8
11	Reggiana	6	2	2	2	+0	8
12	Cosenza	6	2	2	2	+0	8
13	Palermo	6	2	2	2	+0	8
14	Cittadella	7	2	2	3	-1	8
15	Juve Stabia	6	2	2	2	-2	8
16	Salernitana	6	2	1	3	-1	7
17	Catanzaro	6	1	3	2	-1	6
18	Frosinone	7	1	3	3	-7	6
19	Sampdoria	6	1	2	3	-2	5
20	Carrarese	6	1	0	5	-6	3

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Pisa	4	3	1	0	+4	10
2	Spezia	3	3	0	0	+4	9
3	Mantova	3	3	0	0	+3	9
4	Cesena	3	2	1	0	+3	7
5	Cosenza	4	2	1	1	+1	7
6	Brescia	3	2	0	1	+4	6
7	Modena	3	2	0	1	+3	6
8	Salernitana	3	2	0	1	+1	6
9	Sudtirol	3	2	0	1	+1	6
10	Catanzaro	4	1	2	1	+1	5
11	Reggiana	4	1	2	1	+0	5
12	Bari	3	1	1	1	+0	4
13	Cremonese	3	1	1	1	+0	4
14	Sampdoria	3	1	1	1	+0	4
15	Carrarese	2	1	0	1	+0	3
16	Juve Stabia	2	1	0	1	-1	3
17	Sassuolo	2	1	0	1	-2	3
18	Frosinone	4	0	3	1	-3	3
19	Palermo	2	0	2	0	+0	2
20	Cittadella	3	0	2	1	-1	2

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Sassuolo	4	2	2	0	+3	8
2	Cremonese	3	2	0	1	+3	6
3	Palermo	4	2	0	2	+0	6
4	Cittadella	4	2	0	2	+0	6
5	Juve Stabia	4	1	2	1	-1	5
6	Bari	3	1	1	1	+2	4
7	Pisa	2	1	1	0	+1	4
8	Spezia	3	0	3	0	+0	3
9	Reggiana	2	1	0	1	+0	3
10	Sudtirol	3	1	0	2	-1	3
11	Brescia	3	1	0	2	-2	3
12	Frosinone	3	1	0	2	-4	3
13	Modena	3	0	2	1	-1	2
14	Cosenza	2	0	1	1	-1	1
15	Sampdoria	3	0	1	2	-2	1
16	Cesena	3	0	1	2	-2	1
17	Salernitana	3	0	1	2	-2	1
18	Catanzaro	2	0	1	1	-2	1
19	Mantova	3	0	1	2	-3	1
20	Carrarese	4	0	0	4	-6	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.