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Serie B

Referee: D Ghersini

Salernitana

T U T U S

0–2

Full-time

Spezia

S U S U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Salernitana Spezia

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 34%

17%

50%

Points per game

0,8

2,0

Over 2.5 Ø 33%

33%

Both score Ø 42%

33%

50%

Average goals

1,8

2,0

Scored

0,7

1,3

Conceded

1,2

0,7

Goal diff per game

-0,5

+0,7

This season — Serie B · 8/8 matches

Win Ø 44%

38%

50%

Points per game

1,4

2,0

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

50%

Both score Ø 57%

50%

63%

Average goals

2,5

2,4

Scored

1,3

1,5

Conceded

1,3

0,9

Goal diff per game

+0,0

+0,6

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

62% Possession 38%

18 Shots 14

5 Shots on target 4

5 Blocked shots 3

2 Goalkeeper saves 5

5 Corners 9

1 Offside 0

9 Free kicks against 15

4 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Salernitana 11. · Spezia 2. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Pisa	8	5	2	1	+5	17
2	Spezia	8	4	4	0	+5	16
3	Sassuolo	8	4	3	1	+6	15
4	Juve Stabia	8	4	2	2	+1	14
5	Brescia	8	4	1	3	+3	13
6	Sudtirol	8	4	0	4	+0	12
7	Cremonese	8	3	2	3	+2	11
8	Bari	9	2	5	2	+2	11
9	Cesena	8	3	2	3	+1	11
10	Palermo	8	3	2	3	+1	11
11	Salernitana	8	3	2	3	+0	11
12	Mantova	8	3	2	3	-2	11
13	Modena	8	2	3	3	+0	9
14	Catanzaro	9	1	6	2	-1	9
15	Reggiana	8	2	3	3	-1	9
16	Cosenza	8	2	3	3	-2	9
17	Sampdoria	8	2	2	4	-1	8
18	Cittadella	8	2	2	4	-6	8
19	Carrarese	8	2	1	5	-5	7
20	Frosinone	8	1	3	4	-8	6

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Pisa	5	4	1	0	+6	13
2	Spezia	4	4	0	0	+5	12
3	Cesena	4	3	1	0	+5	10
4	Mantova	4	3	1	0	+3	10
5	Brescia	4	3	0	1	+5	9
6	Sassuolo	4	2	1	1	+3	7
7	Salernitana	4	2	1	1	+1	7
8	Cosenza	5	2	1	2	-1	7
9	Catanzaro	5	1	3	1	+1	6
10	Modena	4	2	0	2	+1	6
11	Juve Stabia	3	2	0	1	+1	6
12	Bari	5	1	3	1	+0	6
13	Sudtirol	4	2	0	2	-1	6
14	Reggiana	4	1	2	1	+0	5
15	Cremonese	4	1	2	1	+0	5
16	Carrarese	3	1	1	1	+0	4
17	Sampdoria	4	1	1	2	-1	4
18	Frosinone	5	0	3	2	-4	3
19	Cittadella	3	0	2	1	-1	2
20	Palermo	3	0	2	1	-1	2

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Palermo	5	3	0	2	+2	9
2	Sassuolo	4	2	2	0	+3	8
3	Juve Stabia	5	2	2	1	+0	8
4	Cremonese	4	2	0	2	+2	6
5	Sudtirol	4	2	0	2	+1	6
6	Cittadella	5	2	0	3	-5	6
7	Bari	4	1	2	1	+2	5
8	Sampdoria	4	1	1	2	+0	4
9	Spezia	4	0	4	0	+0	4
10	Pisa	3	1	1	1	-1	4
11	Salernitana	4	1	1	2	-1	4
12	Reggiana	4	1	1	2	-1	4
13	Brescia	4	1	1	2	-2	4
14	Modena	4	0	3	1	-1	3
15	Catanzaro	4	0	3	1	-2	3
16	Frosinone	3	1	0	2	-4	3
17	Carrarese	5	1	0	4	-5	3
18	Cosenza	3	0	2	1	-1	2
19	Cesena	4	0	1	3	-4	1
20	Mantova	4	0	1	3	-5	1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.