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Serie B
Referee: A Rapuano
Sudtirol
U U S U T
1–0
Full-time
Reggina
T T S T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Sudtirol Reggina
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
17%
33%
Points per game
1,0
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 34%
17%
50%
Both score Ø 50%
33%
67%
Average goals
1,2
2,3
Scored
0,5
1,0
Conceded
0,7
1,3
Goal diff per game
-0,2
-0,3
This season — Serie B · 38/38 matches
Win Ø 41%
37%
45%
Points per game
1,5
1,4
Over 2.5 Ø 41%
26%
55%
Both score Ø 45%
45%
45%
Average goals
1,9
2,5
Scored
1,0
1,3
Conceded
0,9
1,2
Goal diff per game
+0,1
+0,1
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

49% Possession 51%
4 Shots 18
1 Shots on target 8
2 Blocked shots 0
8 Goalkeeper saves 0
3 Corners 8
0 Offside 2
15 Free kicks against 13
3 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Sudtirol 6. · Reggina 7.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Frosinone 38 24 8 6 +37 80
2 Genoa 38 21 11 6 +25 74
3 Bari 38 17 14 7 +21 65
4 Parma 38 17 10 11 +9 61
5 Cagliari 38 15 15 8 +16 60
6 Sudtirol 38 14 16 8 +4 58
7 Reggina 38 17 4 17 +4 55
8 Venezia 38 13 10 15 +1 49
9 Palermo 38 11 16 11 -1 49
10 Modena 38 13 9 16 -6 48
11 Pisa 38 11 14 13 +6 47
12 Como 38 10 17 11 -1 47
13 Ascoli 38 12 11 15 -7 47
14 Cittadella 38 9 16 13 -11 43
15 Ternana 38 11 10 17 -15 43
16 Cosenza 39 10 13 16 -22 43
17 Brescia 39 9 13 17 -22 40
18 Perugia 38 10 9 19 -12 39
19 Spal 38 8 14 16 -10 38
20 Benevento 38 7 14 17 -16 35

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Sudtirol Reggina
29′
🟨 Riccardo Gagliolo
Moustapha Cissé 🟨
30′
Luca Belardinelli 🟨
43′
Half-time 0–0
D. Casiraghi 🔁
↦ M. Cissé
46′
K. Vinetot 🔁
↦ A. Masiello
57′
64′
🔁 G. Gori
↦ D. Strelec
66′
🟨 Hernani Jr.
J. Larrivey 🔁
↦ M. Rover
73′
Marco Curto 🟨
79′
81′
🔁 F. Ricci
↦ R. Gagliolo
1–0 D. Casiraghi
L. Fiordilino
89′
90′
🔁 A. Galabinov
↦ G. Loiacono
90′
🔁 D. Liotti
↦ G. Di Chiara
G. Lunetta 🔁
↦ L. Fiordilino
91′
Full-time 1–0

Line-ups

Sudtirol

4-4-2
1 G. Poluzzi G
4 M. Curto D
19 G. Zaro D
55 A. Masiello D
26 F. De Col D
18 M. Rover M
6 L. Fiordilino M
21 F. Tait M
16 L. Belardinelli M
14 M. Cissé F
90 R. Odogwu F
Bench (12)
17 D. Casiraghi
5 K. Vinetot
32 J. Larrivey
8 G. Lunetta
25 S. Minelli
29 M. Marano
23 M. Pompetti
10 M. Carretta
20 S. Mawuli
9 S. Mazzocchi
7 N. Siega
45 A. Giorgini

Coach: P. Bisoli

Reggina

3-5-2
1 N. Contini G
3 T. Cionek D
6 G. Loiacono D
28 R. Gagliolo D
27 N. Pierozzi M
14 G. Fabbian M
37 Ž. Majer M
20 Hernani M
17 G. Di Chiara M
19 D. Strelec F
31 L. Canotto F
Bench (10)
9 G. Gori
21 F. Ricci
16 A. Galabinov
94 D. Liotti
13 D. Bouah
22 S. Colombi
8 L. Crisetig
24 E. Terranova
25 A. Lombardi
12 T. Aglietti

Coach: F. Inzaghi

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

A Rapuano · 81 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,8 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
26,7 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,32 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.