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Serie B

Cittadella

U S T S S

2–0

Full-time

Perugia

T T S S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Cittadella Perugia

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 50%

67%

33%

Points per game

2,2

1,2

Over 2.5 Ø 25%

33%

17%

Both score Ø 17%

17%

Average goals

2,0

1,2

Scored

1,5

0,5

Conceded

0,5

0,7

Goal diff per game

+1,0

-0,2

This season — Serie B · 30/30 matches

Win Ø 42%

47%

37%

Points per game

1,6

1,3

Over 2.5 Ø 43%

43%

Both score Ø 44%

47%

40%

Average goals

2,4

2,2

Scored

1,3

1,0

Conceded

1,1

1,2

Goal diff per game

+0,2

-0,2

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

11 Shots 11

1 Shots on target 4

5 Corners 5

15 Free kicks against 18

3 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Cittadella 4. · Perugia 12. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Benevento	30	22	7	1	+40	73
2	Crotone	30	15	6	9	+14	51
3	Spezia	30	14	8	8	+11	50
4	Cittadella	30	14	7	9	+7	49
5	Frosinone	30	13	9	8	+8	48
6	Pordenone	30	13	7	10	+0	46
7	Salernitana	31	12	8	11	+3	44
8	Chievo	30	10	12	8	+5	42
9	Virtus Entella	30	11	8	11	-1	41
10	Empoli	30	10	11	9	-2	41
11	Pisa	30	10	10	10	+1	40
12	Perugia	30	11	7	12	-6	40
13	Pescara	30	11	5	14	-5	38
14	Venezia	30	8	12	10	-6	36
15	Juve Stabia	30	10	6	14	-11	36
16	Cremonese	31	8	10	13	-5	34
17	Ascoli	30	9	5	16	-9	32
18	Cosenza	30	7	9	14	-3	30
19	Trapani	30	6	11	13	-18	29
20	Livorno	30	5	6	19	-23	21

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Benevento	15	12	3	0	+28	39
2	Crotone	15	9	4	2	+14	31
3	Pordenone	15	9	4	2	+11	31
4	Salernitana	15	8	6	1	+11	30
5	Frosinone	15	9	3	3	+11	30
6	Spezia	15	9	3	3	+10	30
7	Virtus Entella	15	8	4	3	+6	28
8	Empoli	16	6	8	2	+7	26
9	Pisa	16	7	5	4	+4	26
10	Juve Stabia	16	8	2	6	+1	26
11	Perugia	16	7	4	5	+2	25
12	Chievo	15	7	3	5	+5	24
13	Ascoli	14	7	3	4	+5	24
14	Pescara	15	6	5	4	+7	23
15	Cremonese	15	5	4	6	+1	19
16	Cittadella	15	5	4	6	-3	19
17	Trapani	15	4	6	5	+1	18
18	Venezia	15	3	5	7	-7	14
19	Cosenza	14	3	4	7	-4	13
20	Livorno	14	3	2	9	-13	11

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Benevento	15	10	4	1	+12	34
2	Cittadella	15	9	3	3	+10	30
3	Venezia	15	5	7	3	+1	22
4	Spezia	15	5	5	5	+1	20
5	Crotone	15	6	2	7	+0	20
6	Chievo	15	3	9	3	+0	18
7	Frosinone	15	4	6	5	-3	18
8	Cosenza	16	4	5	7	+1	17
9	Cremonese	16	3	6	7	-6	15
10	Perugia	14	4	3	7	-8	15
11	Empoli	14	4	3	7	-9	15
12	Pordenone	15	4	3	8	-11	15
13	Pescara	15	5	0	10	-12	15
14	Pisa	14	3	5	6	-3	14
15	Salernitana	16	4	2	10	-8	14
16	Virtus Entella	15	3	4	8	-7	13
17	Trapani	15	2	5	8	-19	11
18	Livorno	16	2	4	10	-10	10
19	Juve Stabia	14	2	4	8	-12	10
20	Ascoli	16	2	2	12	-14	8

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.