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Serie B

Referee: M Gariglio

Como

T T T U T

1–0

Full-time

Perugia

T T S T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Como Perugia

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 9%

17%

Points per game

0,3

0,7

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

50%

Both score Ø 50%

50%

Average goals

3,2

2,2

Scored

1,0

0,7

Conceded

2,2

1,5

Goal diff per game

-1,2

-0,8

This season — Serie B · 7/7 matches

Win Ø 7%

14%

Points per game

0,4

0,6

Over 2.5 Ø 43%

43%

Both score Ø 50%

57%

43%

Average goals

3,0

2,1

Scored

1,0

0,6

Conceded

2,0

1,6

Goal diff per game

-1,0

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

47% Possession 53%

13 Shots 10

4 Shots on target 0

4 Blocked shots 4

0 Goalkeeper saves 3

4 Corners 3

1 Offside 3

21 Free kicks against 15

6 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Como 20. · Perugia 19. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Reggina	8	6	0	2	+14	18
2	Bari	8	5	3	0	+9	18
3	Ternana	8	5	1	2	+4	16
4	Brescia	8	5	1	2	+0	16
5	Frosinone	8	5	0	3	+6	15
6	Genoa	8	4	3	1	+4	15
7	Parma	8	3	4	1	+3	13
8	Cosenza	8	3	2	3	-1	11
9	Cagliari	8	3	2	3	-1	11
10	Sudtirol	7	3	1	3	-3	10
11	Modena	8	3	0	5	-1	9
12	Ascoli	8	2	3	3	-2	9
13	Spal	8	2	3	3	-3	9
14	Cittadella	8	2	3	3	-4	9
15	Benevento	7	2	2	3	-1	8
16	Venezia	8	2	2	4	-2	8
17	Palermo	8	2	1	5	-6	7
18	Pisa	8	1	3	4	-2	6
19	Perugia	7	1	1	5	-7	4
20	Como	7	0	3	4	-7	3

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Reggina	4	4	0	0	+13	12
2	Frosinone	4	4	0	0	+8	12
3	Ternana	4	3	1	0	+5	10
4	Brescia	4	3	1	0	+4	10
5	Parma	4	2	1	1	+1	7
6	Cittadella	4	2	1	1	+0	7
7	Cosenza	3	2	0	1	+2	6
8	Modena	4	2	0	2	+1	6
9	Palermo	4	2	0	2	+1	6
10	Genoa	4	1	3	0	+1	6
11	Spal	4	2	0	2	-1	6
12	Cagliari	4	2	0	2	-2	6
13	Bari	3	1	2	0	+4	5
14	Ascoli	5	1	2	2	-2	5
15	Sudtirol	3	1	1	1	+0	4
16	Benevento	4	1	1	2	-2	4
17	Perugia	4	1	1	2	-3	4
18	Pisa	4	0	2	2	-2	2
19	Como	4	0	2	2	-3	2
20	Venezia	4	0	1	3	-4	1

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Bari	5	4	1	0	+5	13
2	Genoa	4	3	0	1	+3	9
3	Venezia	4	2	1	1	+2	7
4	Parma	4	1	3	0	+2	6
5	Reggina	4	2	0	2	+1	6
6	Ternana	4	2	0	2	-1	6
7	Sudtirol	4	2	0	2	-3	6
8	Brescia	4	2	0	2	-4	6
9	Cagliari	4	1	2	1	+1	5
10	Cosenza	5	1	2	2	-3	5
11	Benevento	3	1	1	1	+1	4
12	Pisa	4	1	1	2	+0	4
13	Ascoli	3	1	1	1	+0	4
14	Spal	4	0	3	1	-2	3
15	Frosinone	4	1	0	3	-2	3
16	Modena	4	1	0	3	-2	3
17	Cittadella	4	0	2	2	-4	2
18	Como	3	0	1	2	-4	1
19	Palermo	4	0	1	3	-7	1
20	Perugia	3	0	0	3	-4	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.